Kutsigira mu forex

Pakati pezvishandiso zvakakosha mune arsenal yevatengesi inzira inozivikanwa se "backtesting." Backtesting inoreva maitiro akarongeka ekuongorora kugona kwechirongwa chekutengesa nekuongorora maitiro ayo enhoroondo uchishandisa data remusika rakapfuura. Chaizvoizvo, inzira yekufamba uchidzoka munguva mukati memisika yemari, uchishandisa yako yekutengesa nzira kune nhoroondo data, uye kuona kuti zvingadai zvakafamba sei.

Kukosha kwekudzokera kumashure hakugone kuwedzeredzwa mumusika we forex. Heino chikonzero nei zvichikosha:

Njodzi kuderedza: Nekuyedza zano rako uchipesana nenhoroondo data, iwe unowana ruzivo rwenjodzi dzinogona kuitika uye kudhirowa. Izvi zvinokubatsira kukwenenzvera nzira yako uye kugadzira nzira dzekutonga njodzi.

Kusimbisa nzira: Backtesting inopa humbowo hunoratidza kushanda kwezano. Inosimbisa kana kuramba iyo hypothesis iri pasi pemaitiro ako ekutengesa.

Kugadzirisa zvirongwa zvekutengesa: Backtesting inobvumira vatengesi kunatsa uye kukwenenzvera yavo yekutengesa masisitimu. Iwe unogona kuona uko zano rako rinopfuura uye panodiwa kuvandudzwa, zvichitungamira mukuita sarudzo.

Manual backtesting

Munyika yekutengeserana kwe forex, kune nzira mbiri dzekutanga dzekudzosera kumashure: manyorerwo uye otomatiki. Manual backtesting inosanganisira maoko-on, retrospective ongororo yeako ekutengesa zano achipesana nenhoroondo yemusika data.

Manual backtesting inzira ine hunyanzvi apo vatengesi vanoteedzera zano ravo rekutengesa nekuongorora nhoroondo yemitengo data uye kuita sarudzo dzekutengesa dzekufungidzira pasina rubatsiro rwezvishandiso zveotomatiki. Chaizvoizvo, iwe unodzokera kumashure munguva uye nekungwarira kurekodha yega yega yekutengesa sarudzo, yekupinda, kubuda, uye kumira-kurasikirwa, uchiteera kumitemo yehurongwa.

Advantages:

Kutonga kwese: Manual backtesting inopa kutonga kwakazara pane ese maficha ekuyedza maitiro, achikubvumidza iwe kuzvidavirira kune nuances uye musika mamiriro.

Educational: Inopa vatengesi kunzwisisa kwakadzama kwehurongwa hwavo, vachivabatsira kuisa mukati mechikonzero chekutengesa kwavo.

Cost-inoshanda: Kusiyana nemhinduro dzeotomatiki, kudzokorora kwemaoko hakudi inodhura software kana kunyoreswa kwedata.

Nokuremara:

Kutora nguva: Inogona kuva yebasa-yakanyanya uye inopedza nguva, kunyanya kana uchiongorora makuru dataset.

Subjectivity: Mibairo inogona kusiyana zvichibva pakufunga kwemutengesi uye dudziro yenhoroondo data.

Kunyatsoita zvishoma: Inogona kusaverengera kutsvedza, kupararira, uye kunonoka kwekuuraya nenzira kwayo.

Metatrader 5 (MT5) inopa chikuva chakasimba chekudzosera kumashure. Kuti ushandise MT5 yekudzosera kumashure, vatengesi vanogona kushandisa yakavakirwa-mukati nhoroondo data uye maturusi echati kuongorora mafambiro emitengo yakapfuura, kuisa kutengeserana nemaoko, uye kuongorora mashandiro ehurongwa. Iyi nzira inobvumira kuongororwa kwakazara kwemaitiro ekutengesa munzvimbo inodzorwa.

Metatrader 4 (MT4) imwe chikuva chakakurumbira chekudzosera kumashure. Vatengesi vanogona kuwana nhoroondo data uye kushandisa MT4's charting maficha kudzoreredza ekare mamiriro emusika uye kuita kutengeserana nemaoko. Nepo MT4 ichishaya mamwe emhando yepamusoro yeMT5, inoramba iri sarudzo inoshanda kune vatengesi vari kutsvaga kuita manyore backtesting zvine mutsindo.

Automated backtesting zvishandiso

Mukupesana nemanyorero backtesting, otomatiki backtesting maturusi anopa vatengesi kugona uye kurongeka kwekuongorora kunofambiswa nehunyanzvi. Forex Strategy Tester iboka resoftware rakagadzirirwa zvakajeka kune otomatiki backtesting. Zvishandiso izvi zvinoita kuti vatengesi vaongorore nzira dzavo dzekutengesa vachishandisa data renhoroondo uye vanoshandiswa zvakanyanya munharaunda yekutengeserana nekuda kwekureruka kwavo uye huchokwadi.

Metatrader 5 strategy tester

Metatrader 5 (MT5) Strategy Tester chishandiso chine simba chakaiswa muMT5 yekutengesa chikuva. Inopa vatengesi nehuwandu hwezvinhu:

Nguva zhinji: MT5 inobvumira kuyedzwa pane dzakasiyana nguva, ichibatsira mukuongororwa kwehurongwa hwakakwana.

Optimization: Vatengesi vanogona kukwidziridza maitiro avo nekugadzirisa maparamita ekuita kwakanyanya.

Visual Mode: Vashandisi vanogona kuona kutengeserana pamachati enhoroondo, zvichibatsira kunzwisisa zviri nani maitiro ehurongwa.

Maitiro ekushandisa MT5 strategy tester:

Kusarudzwa kwedata: Rodha nhoroondo data kune yaunoda mari peya uye nguva yakatarwa.

Kusarudza zano: Sarudza nzira yekutengesa yaunoda kuyedza.

Kuisa parameter: Tsanangura paramita senge saizi yakawanda, kumira-kurasikirwa, kutora-purofiti, uye yekutanga dhipoziti.

Mhanyai bvunzo: Tanga iyo backtest uye ongorora zvabuda, kusanganisira maitiro ekuita uye equity curves.

Metatrader 4 backtesting

Metatrader 4 (MT4) inopa yayo yekudzosera kumashure kugona, kunyangwe paine misiyano ichienzaniswa neMT5:

Mushandisi-ane hushamwari: MT4's interface inozivikanwa nekureruka kwayo, ichiita kuti iwanikwe kune vatengesi vematanho ese.

Visual test: Vatengesi vanogona kuongorora nemaziso nhoroondo, vachivabatsira kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo.

Maitiro ekushandisa MT4 backtesting software:

Nhoroondo dhata: Ngenisa data renhoroondo yemapeya emari uye nguva dzaunoda kuongorora.

Kusarudzwa kwehurongwa: Sarudza nzira yekutengesa yekuyedza.

Configuration: Rondedzera paramita senge saizi yakawanda, kumira-kurasikirwa, kutora-purofiti, uye kutanga chiyero.

Mhanyai bvunzo: Tanga iyo backtest uye ongorora zvabuda, kusanganisira yakadzama maitiro ehuwandu.

Otomatiki yekudzosera maturusi senge Forex Strategy Tester inopa vatengesi nzira yakarongeka uye inoshanda yekuongorora maitiro avo ekutengesa, ichivabatsira kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo zvichienderana nenhoroondo yedata uye ongororo.

Kukosha kwekudzokera kumashure mu forex

Rimwe rematanho ekutanga ekudzosera kumashure ndeyekuderedza njodzi. Misika ye Forex yakazara nekusagadzikana uye kusafungira, zvichiita kuti manejimendi enjodzi ive yakakosha. Kuburikidza nebacktesting, vatengesi vanogona kuongorora kuti nzira dzavo dzingadai dzakafamba sei mumamiriro akasiyana emusika. Ongororo iyi inovabvumira kuona njodzi dzinogona kuitika, kuseta mazinga akakodzera ekumira-kurasikirwa, uye kumisikidza mibairo-yengozi inoenderana nekushivirira kwavo njodzi.

Kubudirira kutengeserana kunotsamira pakuva neyakatsanangurwa zano. Backtesting inoshanda seye litmus bvunzo yeaya mazano. Inogonesa vatengesi kusimbisa fungidziro yavo uye kuona kana nzira yavo inobata mvura kana ichiiswa kune nhoroondo yemusika data. A zano rinoita zvinogara richiita zvakanaka munzvimbo dzakasiyana siyana mukudzosera kumashure rinowanzo kuve rakasimba uye rakavimbika kana rakashandiswa mukutengesa-nguva chaiyo.

Kuenderera mberi kwekuvandudza ndicho chiratidzo chevatengesi vanobudirira. Backtesting inopa simba vatengesi kuti vagone kukwidziridza masisitimu avo ekutengesa neakanaka-tuning paramita, tweaking yekupinda uye yekubuda mamiriro, uye kuyedza neakasiyana zviratidzo. Nekuongorora maitiro ekare, vatengesi vanogona kusimudzira mazano avo uye kuenderana nekuchinja kwemamiriro emusika, nekudaro vachiwedzera mikana yavo yekubudirira kwenguva refu.

Maitiro akanakisa ekuita backtesting inoshanda

Kuti ive nechokwadi chekuti backtesting mune forex inoburitsa kwakaringana uye inobatika ruzivo, vatengesi vanofanirwa kutevedzera seti yeakanakisa maitiro. Aya madhairekitori akagadzirirwa kusimudzira kuvimbika uye kukosha kwemhedzisiro yekudzosera kumashure, zvinozotungamira kune zviri nani-ruzivo rwekutengesa sarudzo.

Hwaro hwechero backtest ine musoro huri mumhando uye nekururama kwenhoroondo data. Vatengesi vanofanirwa kushandisa akavimbika data masosi uye kuona kuti iyo data haina zvikanganiso, mapundu, kana zvisizvo. Subpar data inogona kukanganisa mhedzisiro uye kutsausa vatengesi, ichipa iyo yese yekudzosera maitiro kusashanda.

Mukutsvaga mazano ane pundutso, vatengesi dzimwe nguva vanoisa zvisingaite paramita panguva yekudzosera kumashure. Izvo zvakakosha kuchengetedza pfungwa yechokwadi, uchifunga zvinhu zvakaita semamiriro emusika, liquidity, uye mutengo wekutengesa. Kuwedzeredza tarisiro marongero anogona kugadzira pfungwa yenhema yekuchengeteka uye kutungamirira kune zvinoodza mwoyo mhedzisiro yenyika.

Kutengeserana kwenyika-chaiyo kunosanganisira kutsvedza (musiyano uripo pakati pemitengo inotarisirwa uye yakaurayiwa) uye kupararira (musiyano uripo pakati peiyo bhidhi uye kubvunza mitengo). Kuratidzira chaiwo mamiriro ekutengesa nenzira kwayo, backtests inofanirwa kusanganisira izvi zvinhu. Kuzviregeredza kunogona kutungamirira kukuwandisa purofiti uye kurerutsa kurasikirwa.

Kunyora uye kuchengetedza backtesting mhinduro itsika yakakosha. Ichi chinyorwa chenhoroondo chinoshanda sechinongedzo chekuongorora shanduko yehurongwa uye maitiro ekuita sarudzo. Inobatsirawo vatengesi kuronda mashandiro emaitiro akawanda nekufamba kwenguva.

Misika ye Forex ine simba uye inogona kuchinja. Zvakashanda nezuro zvingasashanda mangwana. Vatengesi vanofanirwa kugara vachivandudza uye kuyedzazve maitiro avo kuti vaenderane nemamiriro emusika ari kushanduka.

Kusarudza yakanakisa forex backtesting software

Ose ari maviri MT4 uye MT5 mapuratifomu anogamuchirwa zvakanyanya, imwe neimwe iine masimba ayo:

MT4 (Metatrader 4): Inozivikanwa nemushandisi-inoshamwaridzana interface uye yakakura raibhurari yezviratidziro zvetsika, MT4 inofarirwa nevatengesi vanokoshesa kuve nyore uye kushanda nesimba. Nekudaro, inoshaya mamwe emhando yepamusoro yeMT5, senge yakawanda-mari yekuyedza uye yakavakirwa-mukati hupfumi kalendari.

MT5 (Metatrader 5): MT5 inopa huwandu hwakawanda hwezvinhu, kusanganisira masheya uye zvigadzirwa, kuwedzera kune forex. Iyo inozvirumbidza yepamusoro yekudzosera kumashure kugona, kusanganisira yakawanda-mari yekuyedza, epamberi graphical maturusi, uye yakagadziridzwa kumhanya kwekuita. Kazhinji isarudzo yevatengesi vanotsvaga kuongororwa kwakadzama.

Zvimwe zvakakurumbira backtesting zvishandiso

Kupfuura MT4 uye MT5, mamwe akati wandei ekudzosera maturusi anobatsira kune vatengesi zvinodiwa:

NinjaTrader: Inozivikanwa nekuzara kwayo kwemusika maturusi ekuongorora uye kuenderana nevazhinji vanopa data.

TradeStation: Inopa mutauro wekunyora une simba wekuvandudza nekugadzirisa zano retsika.

cTrader: Inozivikanwa neiyo intuitive interface uye algorithmic yekutengesa kugona.

Zvinhu zvekufunga nezvazvo pakusarudza software

Paunenge uchisarudza forex backtesting software, funga zvinotevera zvinhu:

kugarisana: Ita shuwa kuti software inoenderana neyako yekutengesa chikuva uye brokerage.

Dhata mhando: Ongorora kunaka uye kuwanikwa kweiyo data data yekuongorora kwakaringana.

Features: Ongorora maficha esoftware, kusanganisira sarudzo dzekugadzirisa, kugona kwekugadzirisa, uye rutsigiro rwemakirasi akasiyana easset.

mutengo: Funga nezvese mari yekutanga kutenga uye mari yekunyoresa inoenderera.

Community uye rutsigiro: Tsvaga software yepuratifomu ine inoshanda mushandisi nharaunda uye yakavimbika rutsigiro rwevatengi.

Nyatsoongorora zvaunoda uye zvaunofarira kusarudza software inoenderana zvakanyanya nezvinangwa zvako zvekutengesa uye chimiro.

mhedziso

Backtesting in forex haisi kungoita sarudzo; chinhu chakakosha chekutengesa. Inopa vatengesi simba nekugona:

Deredza njodzi: Nekuongorora maitiro ekuita mumamiriro akasiyana emusika.

Simbisa nzira: Nekupa humbowo hunoratidza kushanda kwezano.

Kugadzirisa zvirongwa zvekutengesa: Nekugadzirisa-kunyatso uye kugadzirisa maitiro ekuchinja misika dynamics.

Iyi ongororo yakarongeka, ingave yakaitwa nemaoko kana kuburikidza nemidziyo yemagetsi, inopa vatengesi kunzwisisa kwakadzama kwemaitiro avo ekutengesa uye inovashongedza neruzivo rwunodiwa kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo.