Menene Elliott Wave a cikin Forex Trading

Ralph Nelson Elliott ne ya inganta Ka'idar Elliott Wave a cikin shekarun 1930. Ya kalubalanci yarda da yarda a lokacin cewa kasuwannin kuɗi suna yin bazuwar rikice-rikice.

Elliott ya yi imanin jin daɗi da halayyar ɗan adam sune shahararrun direbobi da tasiri akan halayen kasuwa. Saboda haka, a ra'ayinsa, ya yiwu a sami tsari da alamu a kasuwa.

Shekaru casa'in bayan gano shi, yawancin yan kasuwa suna ba da gaskiya ga ka'idar Elliott. Anan zamu tattauna fannoni na ƙa'idar Elliott Wave, gami da aikace-aikace a cikin kasuwannin forex masu saurin sauri na yau.

Gaskiyar Ka'idar Elliott Wave

Ka'idar Elliott Wave ita ce hanyar bincike na fasaha don neman tsarin farashin dogon lokaci mai alaƙa da yanayin masu saka jari da canje-canjen ilimin halin ɗan adam.

Ka'idar ta gano raƙuman ruwa iri biyu. Na farko ana kiran raƙuman ruwa na motsa jiki waɗanda ke kafa tsarin ɗabi'a - biye da raƙuman ruwa masu gyara waɗanda ke adawa da yanayin da ake ciki.

Kowane saitin kalaman yana kunshe ne a cikin gungun raƙuman ruwa masu yawa waɗanda ke manne da wannan motsawar ko tsarin gyara.

Tushen Elliott Wave

• Elliott ya ba da shawarar cewa hauhawar farashin kadarorin kuɗi saboda ilimin masu saka jari.
• Ya tabbatar da cewa sauye -sauye a cikin ilimin halin dan Adam yana ci gaba da maimaitawa a cikin tsarin maimaita fractal (ko raƙuman ruwa) a kasuwannin kuɗi.
• Ka'idar Elliott tayi kama da ka'idar Dow kamar yadda duka biyun ke ba da shawarar farashin hannun jari yana motsawa cikin raƙuman ruwa.
• Koyaya, Elliott ya zurfafa ta hanyar gano halayen fractal a cikin kasuwanni, yana ba shi damar yin bincike mai zurfi.
• Fractals sune tsarin lissafi, wanda a ƙarshe yana maimaita kansa akan sikelin raguwa.
• Elliott ya yi iƙirarin farashin farashi a cikin kadarori kamar alamun hannun jari sun yi daidai.
• Sannan ya ba da shawarar waɗannan samfuran maimaitawa na iya yin hasashen motsi na kasuwa nan gaba.

Hasashen kasuwa ta amfani da tsarin igiyar ruwa

Elliott ya kirga hasashen kasuwar hannun jarinsa dangane da halayen da ya hango a cikin tsarin igiyar ruwa.

Raƙuman motsin sa, wanda ke tafiya daidai da babban yanayin, yana da raƙuman ruwa guda biyar a cikin tsarin sa.

A gefe guda kuma, madaidaicin madaidaicin motsi yana tafiya a cikin kishiyar yanayin da ya mamaye.

Elliot ya gano ƙarin raƙuman ruwa guda biyar a cikin kowane raƙuman ruwa, kuma ya yi hasashen cewa wannan ƙirar tana maimaita kanta har abada ga mafi ƙarancin adadin fractal.

Elliott ya gano wannan tsarin fractal a kasuwannin kuɗi a cikin shekarun 1930, amma ya ɗauki shekaru da yawa don masana kimiyya su gane wannan sabon abu a matsayin fractals da amfani da su ta hanyar lissafi.

A kasuwannin hada -hadar kuɗi, mun san abin da ke tashi daga ƙarshe yana saukowa. Ko yana sama ko ƙasa, yakamata motsi koyaushe ya biyo bayan wani motsi na daban.

Farashin farashi a duk nau'ikan sa na iya rarrabu zuwa fasali da gyara. Yanayin yana nuna babban jagora na farashin, yayin da lokacin gyara yana tafiya akan yanayin da ake ciki.

Aikace -aikacen Ka'idar Elliott Wave

Za mu iya rushe Elliott Wave kamar haka.

• Raƙuman ruwa guda biyar suna motsawa cikin jagorancin yanayin farko, biye da raƙuman ruwa guda uku a cikin gyara (jimlar motsi 5-3).
• Yunƙurin 5-3 ya zama rarrabuwa a cikin motsi mafi girma na gaba.
• Tsarin 5-3 na yau da kullun yana ci gaba, amma lokacin kowane igiyar ruwa na iya bambanta.
• Gaba ɗaya, kuna samun raƙuman ruwa takwas, biyar sama, uku ƙasa.

Samuwar raƙuman ruwa na motsa jiki, wanda ke biye da madaidaicin madaidaiciya, yana haifar da ƙa'idar Elliott Wave wanda ya ƙunshi abubuwan da ke faruwa da rikice -rikice.

Raƙuman ruwa biyar ba koyaushe suke tafiya sama ba, kuma raƙuman ruwa uku ba koyaushe suke tafiya ƙasa ba. Lokacin da yanayin girma ya faɗi ƙasa, jerin raƙuman ruwa biyar na iya zama ƙasa.

Babban darajar Elliott Wave

Elliott ya gano raƙuman ruwa na tara, kuma ya sanya wa waɗannan manyan daga ƙarami zuwa ƙarami:

1. Babban Super Cycle
2. Super zagaye
3. Tsarin
4. primary
5. Intermediate
6. Ƙananan
7. minute
8. Minute
9. Sub-Minuette

Saboda raƙuman ruwa na Elliott fractals ne, matakin raƙuman ruwa na iya haɓaka a sarari ya fi girma kuma ya kasance mafi ƙanƙanta a sama da bayan jerin da ke sama.

Ra'ayin ciniki na forex mai sauƙi ta amfani da Ka'idar Elliott Wave

Mai ciniki zai iya gano raƙuman motsi mai tasowa zuwa sama kuma ya daɗe don amfani da ka'idar don ciniki na yau da kullun.

Sannan za su sayar ko takaita matsayin yayin da tsarin ya kammala raƙuman ruwa guda biyar, yana ba da shawarar juyawa yana gabatowa.

 Shin Elliott Wave yana aiki a cikin kasuwancin forex?

Ka'idar Elliott Wave tana da masu bautar sa da masu tozarta ta kamar sauran hanyoyin bincike.

Kawai saboda ana iya bincika kasuwanni har zuwa matakin fractal mai ƙarfi ba ya sa kasuwannin kuɗi su zama masu hasashe ta amfani da Elliott Wave.

Fractals sun wanzu a yanayi, amma wannan ba yana nufin kowa zai iya hasashen ci gaban shuka ko kuma yana da abin dogaro 100% lokacin cinikin kuɗin kuɗin forex.

Masu koyar da ka'idar koyaushe suna dora laifin cinikin da suka rasa akan karanta jadawalin ko halayyar kasuwa mara ma'ana da rashin tabbas maimakon rauni a cikin ka'idar Elliott Wave.

Manazarta da 'yan kasuwa na iya samun wahalar gano takamaiman raƙuman ruwa a kan jadawalin su, duk lokacin da suke amfani da su.

Dabarun Elliot Wave

Akwai ƙa'idodi kai tsaye da za a bi don ƙididdigar Elliott Wave don tabbatarwa:

• Wave 2 kada ya sake komawa sama da 100% na raƙuman ruwa 1.
• Wave 4 kada ya sake komawa sama da 100% na raƙuman ruwa 3.
• Wave 3 yana buƙatar tafiya fiye da ƙarshen raƙuman ruwa 1, kuma ba shine mafi guntu ba.

Idan an bayyana ƙaƙƙarfan motsi mai motsi biyar, za mu iya gano salo iri-iri na gyara.

Hanyoyin gyara suna zuwa cikin sifofi 2: gyare-gyare masu kaifi da gyare-gyare na gefe saboda ana rarrabe samfuran zuwa manyan fannoni uku: lebur, zig-zag da alwatika. Don haka, bari mu tattauna rarrabuwa guda uku dalla -dalla.

Elliott Wave Flat Pattern

Ana lura da tsarin lebur na Elliott Wave a cikin nau'i uku, na yau da kullun, faɗaɗa da gudana. Wannan ƙirar tana motsawa kan alkibla ta farko, yawanci tana bayyana a ƙarshen sake zagayowar. Yan kasuwa suna tsammanin ci gaba da raƙuman ruwa da ƙarfi a cikin jagorancin yanayin da ake ciki.

Bari yanzu mu mai da hankali kan madaidaicin madaidaicin madaidaiciyar madaidaiciya da aka gani a cikin tashin hankali. Babban ƙa'idodin tsarin Elliott Wave dole ne ya bi ta wannan hanyar sune:

• Wave B koyaushe yana tsayawa kusa da farkon farawa na kalaman A.
• Idan akwai hutu a sama da wannan batu, muna da madaidaicin madaidaiciya ko faɗin falo.
• Wave C koyaushe yana karyewa a ƙarƙashin ƙarshen ƙarshen A.

Tsarin Elliott Wave Zig-Zag

Tsarin zig-zag na Elliott Wave shine tsarin raƙuman ruwa guda uku wanda aka yiwa lakabi da ABC an raba shi zuwa raƙuman ruwa na 5-3-5 na ƙarin ƙaramin digiri.

• Dukansu raƙuman ruwa A da C ana rarrabasu azaman raƙuman ruwa, yayin da raƙuman B ke zama madaidaiciyar igiyar ruwa.
• Wave C gabaɗaya yana tafiya daidai nesa a farashin kamar raƙuman A.
• Yawanci yana haɓaka a cikin raƙuman ruwa na 2 na sake zagayowar 5.

Elliott Wave Triangle

Tsarin ƙarshe shine ƙirar alwatika wanda shine nau'i na tsawaita aikin gefe a kasuwa.

Wannan ƙirar tana son bayyana sau da yawa a cikin raƙuman ruwa na 4 na sake zagayowar 5.

Bari mu bincika waɗannan ƙa'idodin dole ne su tabbatar da alwatika mai hawa, wanda ke kafawa lokacin da aka ƙirƙiri samfuran masu zuwa.

• Triangle yana nuna tsarin kalaman ABCDE a sarari.
• Kowane raƙuman ruwa yana rarrabuwa cikin raƙuman ruwa na 3 na ƙarin ƙananan digiri.
• A shine ainihin ganiya na farko, sannan B ya zama sabon babban kololuwa.
• Bayan an kai B, ana samun tsarin madaidaicin madaidaici.
• C ya zama ƙaramin bugawa a cikin jerin, a ƙarƙashin ainihin ƙimar A.

A taƙaice, Ka'idar/Ka'idar Elliott Wave ba ta da kyau ko muni fiye da sauran kayan aikin bincike na fasaha da kuke da su.

Zai taimaka idan kun hau kan cewa an ƙirƙira wannan ka'idar kusan ƙarni da suka gabata ta wani manazarci wanda ya ba da shawarar yin amfani da shi akan tsarin lokaci na mako -mako da kowane wata.

Rashin daidaituwa da aka gani a kasuwanni da ƙimar ciniki a lokacin ya kasance kaɗan daga abin da muke fuskanta a yau.

Yawancin masu sha'awar ka'idar Elliott za su ba da shawarar cewa ra'ayin yana da ƙarin aminci a kasuwannin da suka fi yawa a yau saboda yakamata a ƙara bayyana alamu. Kuma a wasu hanyoyi, za su yi daidai. Halin kasuwa shine babban direba na matakin farashi a duk kasuwannin kuɗi.

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