He aha ka hōʻailona ATR ma Forex a pehea e hoʻohana ai
ʻO J Welles Wilder ma waena o nā mea loiloi loea kaulana loa i kākau nui e pili ana i ka volatility. Ua hoʻolauna ʻo ia i nā hōʻailona ʻenehana he nui i kāna puke 1978 i kapa ʻia ʻo 'New Concepts in Technical Trading', e pili mau ana i ka loiloi ʻenehana hou i kēia lā. ʻO kekahi o lākou ka Parabolic SAR Indicator (PSAR), Average True Range Indicator (a i ʻole ATR indicator) a me ka Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Kūkākūkā kēia ʻatikala i ka hōʻailona Average True Range, i hoʻomohala ʻia ma ke ʻano he ala kūpono i ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā waiwai helu i ke kumu o ka volatility i nā mākeke kālā.
Hoʻohālikelike ka Volatility i ka wikiwiki o ka neʻe ʻana o ke kumukūʻai o kahi waiwai i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka awelika o nā loli i kekahi manawa. Ke nānā nei nā hōʻailona volatility i ka volatility o kahi waiwai, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻoholo i ka wā e lilo ai ke kumu kūʻai o kahi waiwai i mea liʻiliʻi.
ʻO ka mea nui, ke ana ka ATR i ka volatility koe wale nō ʻaʻole hiki iā ia ke wānana i ke kuhikuhi ʻana a i ʻole ke ana i ka manawa.
Pehea e ana ka hōʻailona ATR i ka volatility o kahi waiwai?
Ma ke aʻo ʻana i ka mākeke kūʻai, ua ʻike ʻo Wilder ʻaʻole lawa ka hoʻohālikelike maʻalahi o nā pae kālepa i kēlā me kēia lā e ana i ka volatility. Wahi a ia, i mea e helu pono ai i ka volatility i loko o kahi manawa, pono e noʻonoʻo ʻia ka pili o ka hālāwai mua a me ke kiʻekiʻe a me ka haʻahaʻa o kēia manawa.
No laila, ua wehewehe ʻo ia i ka laulā ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻo ia ka mea nui loa o kēia mau waiwai ʻekolu:
- ʻO ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o ke kiʻekiʻe a me ka haʻahaʻa o kēia manawa
- ʻO ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o ka kokoke o ka wā ma mua a me ke kiʻekiʻe o kēia manawa
- ʻO ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o ka wā i hala a me ka haʻahaʻa o kēia manawa
Ua ʻōlelo hou ʻo Wilder ʻo ka lawe ʻana i ka awelika kaumaha o kēia mau waiwai i nā lā he nui e hāʻawi i kahi ana kūpono o ka volatility. Ua kapa ʻia kēia ʻo ka Average True Range.
Ma kāna helu ʻana, ʻike ʻia ka waiwai paʻa wale nō, me ka ʻole o ka maikaʻi a i ʻole ka maikaʻi. Ma hope o ka helu ʻana o ka ATR mua, helu ʻia nā koina ATR ma hope me ke ʻano ma lalo nei:
ATR = ((ATR x (n-1)) + TR o kēia manawa /(n-1)
Aia 'n' ka helu o nā manawa
Ma ka hapa nui o nā kahua kālepa, hoʻonohonoho ʻia ka 'n' paʻamau i ka 14, akā hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻololi i ka helu e like me ko lākou pono. ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka 'n' i kahi waiwai kiʻekiʻe e hopena i kahi ana haʻahaʻa o ka volatility. Eia naʻe, ʻo ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka 'n' i kahi waiwai haʻahaʻa e hopena i kahi ana wikiwiki o ka volatility. ʻO ke kumu, ʻo ka Average True Range ka awelika neʻe kaumaha o nā pae ʻoiaʻiʻo i kekahi manawa.
Loaʻa i nā kahua kālepa e like me MT4 a me MT5 kahi helu inbuilt no ka awelika o ka hōʻailona ʻoiaʻiʻo, no laila ʻaʻole pono nā mea kālepa e hopohopo e pili ana i ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i kēia mau helu.
Ka laʻana o ka helu awelika ʻoiaʻiʻo (ATR).
No ka laʻana, ʻo ka ATR no ka lā mua o ka manawa 10-lā he 1.5 a ʻo ka ATR no ka lā ʻumikumamākahi he 1.11.
Hiki iā ʻoe ke koho i ka sequential ATR me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka waiwai mua o ka ATR, i hui pū ʻia me ka laulā ʻoiaʻiʻo no kēia manawa, a me ka helu o nā lā ma lalo o hoʻokahi.
A laila, e puunaue ʻia kēia huina e ka helu o nā lā a me ke ʻano hoʻohālikelike i hana hou ʻia i ka manawa ke loli ka waiwai.
I kēia hihia, ua manaʻo ʻia ka lua o ka ATR he 1.461, a i ʻole (1.5 * (10 - 1) + (1.11)) / 10.
Ma ke ʻano he hana aʻe, e loiloi mākou pehea e hoʻohana ai i ka hōʻailona ATR i nā kahua kālepa.
Pehea e hoʻohana ai i nā hōʻailona ATR ma nā kahua kālepa
ʻO ka Average True Range hōʻailona ma waena o ka pūʻolo o nā hōʻailona i kūkulu ʻia i loko o ka hapa nui o nā kahua kālepa e like me Mt4, Mt5 a me TradingView.
No ka ʻike ʻana i ka hōʻailona Average True Range ma ka paepae Mt4
- Kaomi ma ka hoʻokomo pono ma luna o ka pakuhi kumu kūʻai
- Ma ka papa kuhikuhi o ka ʻāpana kuhikuhi, e kaomi i lalo i ka ʻāpana oscillator indicators.
- Kaomi ma ka hōʻailona Average True Range e hoʻohui i kāu pakuhi kumukūʻai.
Ke hoʻohui koke ʻia i kāu pakuhi kumukūʻai, e hōʻike ʻia ʻoe me ka puka aniani hoʻonohonoho ATR. ʻO ka hoʻololi wale nō āu e hoʻololi ai e kūpono i kāu makemake, ʻo ia ka helu o nā manawa e helu ʻia ai ka Average True Range.
E like me ka mea i hōʻike ʻia ma ke kiʻi ma luna nei, loaʻa iā MT4 a me MT5 kahi waiwai hōʻailona ATR paʻamau o 14, kahi kumu hoʻomaka kōkua no nā mea kālepa. Hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻokolohua me nā manawa like ʻole e ʻike i ka manawa kūpono i kūpono loa iā lākou.
Ke hoʻohui koke ʻia ka hōʻailona i kāu kahua kālepa, e ʻike ʻia kahi pakuhi e hōʻike ana i ka Average True Ranges ma lalo o kāu pakuhi kumukūʻai, e like me ka hōʻike ʻana ma lalo nei.
Hiki ke unuhi ʻia nā waiwai hōʻailona ATR ma ke ʻano pololei. Hōʻike nā kiʻekiʻe o ka pakuhi hōʻailona ATR i kahi manawa kālepa ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi, ʻoiai ke hōʻike nei nā haʻahaʻa i kahi manawa kālepa liʻiliʻi.
Ma ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ka volatility i ka mākeke, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻonohonoho i nā pahuhopu kumu kūʻai a me nā pahuhopu waiwai. No ka laʻana, inā loaʻa i ka hui kālā EURUSD kahi ATR o 50 pips i nā manawa 14 i hala. ʻO kahi pahuhopu waiwai ma lalo o 50 pips e hiki ke hoʻokō ʻia i loko o ke kau kālepa o kēia manawa.
Pehea e hoʻohana ai i ka hōʻailona hōʻailona kālepa ma ke kālepa
Ke hoʻohana nei i nā waiwai o ka hōʻailona hōʻailona ʻoiaʻiʻo, hiki i kēia ke koho i ka lōʻihi o ka neʻe ʻana o ke kumukūʻai o kahi waiwai kālā e hiki ke hoʻonui i loko o kahi manawa kikoʻī. Hiki ke hoʻohana ʻia kēia ʻike e ʻike i nā manawa kālepa e like me:
- Hoʻokuʻu ʻia nā breakouts
Hōʻike nā breakouts consolidation i kekahi o ka maikaʻi loa o nā manawa kālepa i ka mākeke forex. Me ke kōkua ʻana o ka awelika ʻano hōʻailona ʻoiaʻiʻo, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻokaʻawale i kēia mau breakouts me ka maikaʻi a komo i ka papahele o kahi ʻano hou i ka wā e ulu ana.
Ma nā mākeke haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i ka wā e hoʻohui ʻia ai ka neʻe ʻana o ke kumukūʻai, e hōʻike ana ka awelika o ka ʻike kikoʻī ʻoiaʻiʻo i nā pahu o nā waiwai haʻahaʻa. Ma hope o ka manawa o nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa a pālahalaha paha, i ka piʻi ʻana o ka volatility o ka mākeke, e hōʻike ka piʻi ʻana o ka ATR i ka volatility kiʻekiʻe ma ka mākeke a hōʻike i nā kiʻekiʻe o nā waiwai kiʻekiʻe. ʻO ka hopena o kēia ka wehe ʻana o ka neʻe ʻana o ke kumukūʻai mai ka hoʻohui ʻana. Ma hope o ka breakout, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻolālā i ka pehea a me kahi e komo ai i kahi kālepa me ka poho kūpono.
- ʻO ka hui pū ʻana o ka hōʻailona ATR me nā hōʻailona ʻē aʻe
ʻO ka ATR kahi ana wale nō o ka volatility mākeke. No laila, ʻo ka hui pū ʻana i ka hōʻailona ATR me nā hōʻailona ʻē aʻe he mea nui ia e ʻike ai i nā manawa kālepa hou aʻe. Eia nā hoʻolālā hoʻohui maikaʻi loa no ka hōʻailona ATR.
- Ke hoʻohana nei i ka awelika neʻe exponential ma ke ʻano he laina hōʻailona
ʻO ka ATR wale nō ke ana o ka volatility a ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻopuka i nā hōʻailona komo i nā mākeke trending. Ma kēiaʻano, no ka hoʻonui a me ka maikaʻi o ka hōʻailona ATR, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke uhi i kahi awelika neʻe exponential ma ka hōʻailona ATR e hana ma keʻano he laina hōʻailona.
ʻO kahi hoʻolālā kālepa maikaʻi paha e hoʻohui i kahi awelika neʻe exponential 30-manawa ma luna o ka ATR a me ka nānā ʻana i nā hōʻailona cross-over.
Ke piʻi nei ka neʻe o ke kumukūʻai a piʻi ka hōʻailona ATR ma luna o ka awelika neʻe exponential. Hōʻike kēia i kahi mākeke bullish ikaika. No laila, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke wehe i nā kauoha kūʻai hou aku ma ka mākeke. ʻO ke kū'ē no ka neʻeʻana o ke kumukūʻai ma keʻano iho,ʻo ia; inā e hele ka hōʻailona ATR ma lalo o ka awelika neʻe exponential, hōʻike ia i kahi mākeke bearish ikaika, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi no ke kūʻai pōkole.
- ʻO ka hui pū ʻana o ka hōʻailona ATR a me Parabolic SAR
ʻO ka hui pū ʻana o ATR me Parabolic SAR he mea maikaʻi hoʻi no nā mākeke kālepa e hele nei. Me ka ATR, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hoʻokumu i ka pau ʻana o ka pau ʻana a lawe i nā kumukūʻai kumukūʻai. E hōʻoia kēia e hoʻohana pono lākou i kahi mākeke trending me ka liʻiliʻi o ka hōʻike pilikia.
- ʻO ka hui pū ʻana o ka hōʻailona ATR a me Stochastics
Stochastics: Me ko lākou hiki ke hāʻawi i nā hōʻailona overbought a oversold, maikaʻi loa lākou no ke kālepa ʻana i nā mākeke nui i ka wā haʻahaʻa ka waiwai o ka hōʻailona ATR. ʻO ka mea nui, kōkua ka hōʻailona ATR i ka hoʻokō ʻana i nā mākeke ma ka heluhelu ʻana i ka volatility haʻahaʻa, a laila hiki ke hāʻawi ʻia nā hōʻailona kūʻai / kūʻai aku ma ka heluhelu ʻana i nā crossovers Stochastics ma nā ʻāpana overbought a oversold.
- ʻO ka nui o ke kālepa
ʻO ka nui o kahi kūlana a i ʻole ka nui he kaʻina hoʻoholo koʻikoʻi no ka mālama ʻana i ka pilikia i ke kālepa ʻana i nā waiwai kālā. Me ka nui o ka hailona kūpono no nā waiwai kālā like ʻole, hiki i nā mea kālepa ke hōʻemi i ko lākou ʻike pilikia a hoʻonui nui i kā lākou hana mākeke.
ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ua ʻōlelo ʻia e kālepa i nā mākeke kiʻekiʻe-volatility me nā ʻāpana liʻiliʻi liʻiliʻi, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka nui o ka nui no nā mākeke haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa.
Hiki ke kūʻai ʻia nā hui Forex me nā koina ATR kiʻekiʻe, e like me GBPUSD a me USDCAD, me nā ʻāpana liʻiliʻi liʻiliʻi; ʻokoʻa, hiki ke kūʻai ʻia nā waiwai me nā waiwai haʻahaʻa ATR, e like me nā mea kūʻai aku me ka nui o ka nui.
Ka palena o ka awelika hōʻailona laulā ʻoiaʻiʻo
Pono e noʻonoʻo ʻia kēia mau palena i ka wā e hoʻohana ai i ka hōʻailona ATR. ʻO ka mea mua, hōʻike ka hōʻailona ATR i ka volatility o ka neʻe ʻana o ke kumukūʻai. ʻO ka lua, ʻo ka heluhelu ʻana o ka ATR he kumuhana a wehe ʻia i nā wehewehe like ʻole. ʻAʻohe waiwai ATR kikoʻī e hiki ke wānana i ka huli ʻana pololei o kahi ʻano a i ʻole ke kumu kūʻai. No laila hiki i nā heluhelu ATR ke lilo i hōʻailona o ka ikaika a i ʻole nāwaliwali o kahi ʻano.
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