He aha ke kālepa lawe i ka forex?

Hāʻawi i ke Kaʻina Hana Lawe

ʻO ke kālepa lawe i ka forex kekahi o nā ʻano mua loa o ke kālepa kālā a me ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana. He pololei, ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi o ke kaʻina hana kālepa mua i ke kālepa pūnaewele ʻana ma ka pūnaewele.

ʻO ke kalepa hāpai ʻana i ke kālepa kālā e pili ana i ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka ʻokoʻa o nā uku paneʻe o nā panakō waena e loaʻa kālā ai nā neʻe kālā like ʻole. Hoʻohana ʻoe i ka uku paneʻe uku paneʻe haʻahaʻa e kūʻai i kahi uku paneʻe kiʻekiʻe aʻe e hāpai ana i ke kālā.

ʻO ka maʻamau, piʻi nā kālā mai nā ʻāina me nā uku paneʻe kiʻekiʻe e kūʻē i nā mea me nā helu haʻahaʻa. Ma hope o nā mea āpau, makemake ka poʻe hoʻopukapuka i nā helu kiʻekiʻe i hāʻawi ʻia ma ke ʻano he hoʻopukapuka palekana palekana; inā kūpono ka manawa a maikaʻi loa ka uku paneʻe, ʻo ka hana a neʻe i nā kālā ke lawe i ka liʻiliʻi o ka makaʻu ma mua, no ka laʻana, nā kaulike. Akā aia kahi ana i kēia manawa kūpono, ʻo ka hapa nui e lawe i nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālepa e nānā no nā ʻoihana e pili ana i nā kālā G7.

He aha ke kālepa lawe?

Ma muli o ke kalepa hāpai ʻana e pili ana i ka hōʻaiʻē i kahi kālā uku paneʻe haʻahaʻa a me ka hoʻohuli ʻana i ka nui i ʻaiʻē ʻia i kālā ʻē aʻe, ʻaʻole kaupalena ʻia ka hanana kalepa lawe i ke kālepa kālā. Hoʻohana ia e hoʻopukapuka i kekahi waiwai. Eia nō naʻe, ʻo ia nō kekahi o nā hana i makemake nui ʻia e hoʻopukapuka i nā kālā, a makemake nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā ʻano hana i ka wā e pale ana i kā lākou mea kūʻai aku.

Hiki i nā mea kālepa a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka ke noi i ke kumumanaʻo o ke kalepa hāpai e kūʻai a kūʻai aku i nā waiwai e like me nā waihona, nā ukana, nā hoʻopaʻa, a i ʻole nā ​​waiwai i koho ʻia i ka lua o ke kālā.

Pehea e hana ai i nā ʻoihana?

E hoʻohana i kahi laʻana e hiki iā mākou āpau ke hoʻomaopopo e wehewehe pehea e hana ai ke kalepa lawe i kāna ʻano maʻalahi.

E lawe paha ʻoe i kahi uku paneʻe 0% o $ 10,000 i hāʻawi ʻia e kahi ʻoihana kāleka hōʻaiʻē, ʻo ia nō ke ʻano o ka hāʻawi i hāʻawi ʻia aku i nā mea kūʻai aku hou no kahi manawa palena, hoʻokahi makahiki paha.

I kēia manawa e noʻonoʻo e hoʻohana ana i kēlā kālā mua (uku ʻole ʻia ʻoe i ka hoihoi) e hoʻokomo i kahi waiwai e hōʻoiaʻiʻo iā ʻoe i 3%, e like me kahi palapala hoʻopaʻa. Ma loko o ka makahiki, e hoʻonui ʻoe i $ 300 ma ke ala o ka hoihoi i kāu palapala hoʻopaʻa. No laila, ke uku hou ʻoe i kāu uku paneʻe manuahi, e waiho ʻia ʻoe me kāu loaʻa $ 300.

I kēia manawa, inā pili ʻoe i kēlā hanana i ka forex a noʻonoʻo i ka mana o ka leverage, hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻomaopopo koke i hiki ke hoʻonui ʻia kāu 3% loaʻa i nā manawa he nui.

ʻO ke kumu o ka forex hāpai i ke kālepa

No ka pale ʻana i nā hopena o ka Great Recession o 2008-2010, ua lawe nā panakō kikowaena iā ZIRP (nā kulekele uku paneʻe ʻole) a i ʻole NIRP (nā kulekele uku paneʻe maikaʻi ʻole). Mai kēia hoʻokō ʻana, ua lilo ia i mea paʻakikī e komo i nā hana kālepa.

Inā paha e hoʻohaʻahaʻa ka USA Federal Reserve i ka uku paneʻe ma mua kokoke i ka ʻole, a ʻo ka ECB, Bank of England a me Bank of Japan e loaʻa nā helu like. I kēlā hihia, kokoke ia i ka hiki ʻole ke kaomi i ka loaʻa kālā mai ke kālepa lawe ke helu ʻoe i nā kumukūʻai.

A hana wale nā ​​hana ma mua o forex inā he ʻeke hohonu kāu. Ma hope o nā mea āpau, ke nānā nei ʻoe e loaʻa i nā loaʻa pākēneka liʻiliʻi i loaʻa i ke kālepa ma ka wā lōʻihi. Ma muli o ka nui o nā panakō i lawe i nā kulekele ZIRP a i ʻole NIRP, hiki i nā mea hoʻopukapuka ponoʻī a me nā mea kālepa liʻiliʻi ke paʻakikī i kekahi manawa e hōʻoia i kēlā me kēia kālepa kalepa lawe ʻana ke ʻole lākou e hopohopo i nā kālā maʻalahi.

Hāpai ʻo Forex i nā laʻana kālepa

E nānā i ʻelua mau laʻana me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka mua i ka paio exotic USD / BRL a me ka hui kālā mua AUD / USD.

  • ʻO USD / BRL ma ke ʻano he exotic pair e hāpai i ka manawa kūpono kālepa

ʻO 5.25% ka uku paneʻe mua o Brazil i kēia manawa, ʻoiai ʻo ka helu USA he 0.25%. No laila, i ke kumumanaʻo, e hoʻohana nei i nā kālā US no ke kūʻai ʻana i nā real a Brazil. Akā ma ka lā 22 Kepakemapa, 2021, ua kūʻai aku kekahi USD i ka 5.27 BRL, a i nā pule i hala aku nei ua piʻi nui ʻo USD me BRL.

I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, mai ka hoʻomaka o 2021 a me ka makahiki o ka makahiki, kokoke ka pālua o ke kālā USD / BRL i ka pā, e hōʻike ana i ka maʻalea o ka ʻike ʻana i nā manawa kūpono, ʻoiai ke kaʻawale loa nā helu paneʻe ma waena o nā ʻāina ʻelua.

E like me nā kālepa FX a pau, pilikia ka manawa. I nā mahina he ʻumikūmālua i hala, aia he mau pule hebedoma i ke kālepa ʻana o ka pai kālā ma kahi ākea.

  • ʻO AUD / USD ma ke ʻano he manawa kūʻai kālepa mua

ʻO 0.1% ka uku paneʻe (kālā) o Australia i kēia manawa, kahi haʻahaʻa i hoʻolaha ʻia e ka waihona kikowaena RBA ma Nowemapa 2020 ma ke ʻano he mea hoʻonāukiuki e kūʻē i ka hopena o Covid a me nā lockdown like ʻole.

ʻO ka uku paneʻe USA he 0.25%, a ʻoiai he ʻokoʻa hapa wale nō kēia i ka hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka helu Aus, ua kōkua hapa ka hakahaka e hana i kahi manawa kalepa lawe mai ka huli ʻana o ka makahiki.

Inā ʻoe e kālailai i kahi manawa pule o AUD / USD, ʻike ʻoe i ka piʻi ikaika ʻana o ke kālā ma loko o Malaki a Nowemapa 2020. Eia nō naʻe, i ka makahiki 2021 i ka hopena o ka ʻoki uku paneʻe, ua hoʻihoʻi ka pālua kālā i kahi pākēneka o nā loaʻa.

ʻO nā kumuhana e pili ana i ka piʻi ʻana o 2020 e komo pū ana me AUD kahi kālā kūʻai i hoʻopili ʻia i ke kumukūʻai o ka aila; e like me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua i waho o nā kapu ʻo Covid, ʻo ke kumukūʻai o ka aila a me nā mea kūʻai aku e like me ke keleawe i piʻo nui ʻia i luna.

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo USA Fed i ke kauwela 2021 e hoʻemi nui ʻia ka stimulus kālā. Hoʻohui ʻia i ka ʻoki kōmi RBA, ua hoʻonui kēia i ke kumukūʻai o USD v AUD.

Pehea e pili ai nā uku paneʻe i ke kālepa lawe?

ʻOiai ʻo kekahi o nā kumu i ʻōlelo ʻia ma mua, e like me nā kumukūʻai kūʻai, nā manaʻo mākeke, nā kulekele pili kālā a me ke kālā e hiki ai ke hoʻopili i ke kalepa lawe, ʻo nā pae hoʻohālikelike koʻikoʻi ka helu ukupanee panakō.

Ke hoʻokomo nei ʻoe i kahi kālepa halihali, ke kūʻai haʻahaʻa nei ʻoe a kūʻai aku kiʻekiʻe. Kūʻai ʻoe i ke kālā hua kiʻekiʻe me kahi kālā loaʻa haʻahaʻa me ka hiki ke kūʻai aku i ke kālā hua kiʻekiʻe i ka wā e hiki mai ana ma kahi loaʻa kālā.

Loaʻa nā manawa kūpono i ka wā i hala aku nei e loaʻa kālā mai ke kālepa lawe. ʻO kahi laʻana, mai ka makahiki 2000-2007, ua kokoke ka helu o Iāpana i ka ʻole, ʻoiai ʻo nā helu o Nūhōlani a me Nūhōlani e kau nei ma kahi o 5%. No laila, AUD / JPY a me NZD / JPY kālepa i kūpono.

Eia nō naʻe, e like me ka mea i ʻōlelo ʻia ma mua, mai ka makahiki 2008, paʻakikī ka loaʻa ʻana o ka waiwai kalepa mai kahi waihona kūloko NIRP a i ʻole ZIRP kulekele i hoʻohui ʻia no ka mea ʻaʻole i loaʻa ka pāhune uku paneʻe.

He ʻoiaʻiʻo, aia kahi hiki ke kaomi i kahi loaʻa inā ʻo ka helu Aus he 0.1% a ʻo ka pālākiō JPY he 0.00% a i ʻole maikaʻi ʻole, akā ʻaʻole lawa ka pālahalaha e paipai ai i ka neʻe nuipa mai kekahi kālā i kekahi.

Malia paha he manawa kūpono ia e neʻe i ke kumuhana o nā pilikia e pili ana i ke kālepa lawe.

ʻO nā pilikia o ke kalepa hāpai

  • ʻO ka manawa nō ka mea āpau
  • Pono nā ʻeke hohonu
  • ʻO Leverage ke kī
  • Hoʻomaopopo wale kāu loaʻa kālā ke hoʻolilo ʻoe i kāu kālā i kāu kālā home a kumu paha
  • Lawe nā manawa kūʻai aku i nā exotic a i ʻole nā ​​pā kālā liʻiliʻi

ʻO ka manawa a me ka hoʻolālā ka kī nui

I nā manawa o ka pālahalaha nui loa ʻana o ka uku paneʻe, ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke kaukaʻi i hoʻokahi hoʻokalakupua G7 me ka loaʻa o 4% mau uku paneʻe, a ʻo kekahi he 1% a me ka loaʻa kālā mai ka ʻokoʻa ma ka hele lōʻihi ʻana i ke kālā uku paneʻe kiʻekiʻe. Pono ʻoe e noi i ka ʻenehana a me ka loiloi koʻikoʻi e loaʻa pono kāu manawa.

Pono nā ʻeke hohonu e loaʻa pono

ʻAʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻokau i kahi hoʻolālā kālepa hāpai i kahi me kahi moʻokāki $ 500. ʻO ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana he 5%, ʻoiai e ʻae nei i ka pihi leverage, ʻaʻole e uku i nā bila. ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi inā ʻoe e noʻonoʻo e pili ana i ka manawa kūpono e like me ke kūʻai a hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka hoʻolālā hoʻokele waiwai, no laila pono ʻoe i kahi waihona ʻoi aku ka nui, malia paha i loko o nā ʻumi tausani.

He koʻikoʻi ka leverage

Me ka ʻole o ka leverage, lilo kou makaʻi v i kahi kūlana kalepa lawe i mea hoihoi ʻole. Minamina, ua hōʻoki nā luna o ʻEulopa i nā leverage brokers hiki ke hāʻawi, a pono ʻoe i ka palena hou aku e kau i nā hana kālepa.

I ka manawa e loaʻa ai ka loaʻa kālā

Pono ʻoe e makaʻala mau i nā uku paneʻe o nā kālā o nā ʻāina ʻelua a hoʻolohe i kēlā me kēia panakō a i ʻole nā ​​hoʻolaha kulekele aupuni e pili ana i ka waiwai kālā. Hiki ke hoʻololi koke i ke kulekele e kahi kikowaena kikowaena hiki ke hōʻemi i kāu loaʻa kālā i ka manawa koke.

E hoʻohana ʻoe i kahi hana kālepa kūlana, no laila hiki i ka loiloi loea ke lawe i kahi manawa e hoʻomohala i kahi hōʻailona ikaika na ʻoe e komo, e puka a hoʻololi paha i kāu kū a hoʻokau i kāu ʻoka.

A hoʻomanaʻo, ʻaʻole e loaʻa kāu loaʻa kālā a hiki i kou panakomo ʻana i ka loaʻa kālā ma kāu waihona a me kāu kālā home.

ʻO nā Exotics a me nā keiki liʻiliʻi kahi e lawe ai nā manawa kalepa

E like me ka mea i kūkākūkā ʻia ma mua, ma muli o ka ZIRP a me ka NIRP kikowaena panakō e pili ana i ke kālepa exotic a i ʻole nā ​​hui liʻiliʻi e hōʻike i ka manawa kūpono e lawe i ke kālepa ma ka mākeke FX. Eia naʻe, hele mai kēia me ka makaʻu. Makemake ʻoe e ʻona ponoʻī nā 'peso, bolivars, rupees a me nā reals?

Hoʻopili nā pālua exotic i ka makaʻu kiʻekiʻe aʻe no ka mea hiki i nā helu ukupanee kiʻekiʻe ke pili i ka hoʻonui ʻana i pilikia ma ka ʻāina. ʻO nā uku paneʻe kiʻekiʻe, ma ke kumumanaʻo, nani wale e like me nā kalepa lawe inā kūpaʻa ka hoʻokele waiwai.

A inā ʻoe e kālepa i ka krone o Norewai v USD, ʻo ka ʻike ʻana he kālā paʻa paʻa ka krone i kahi ʻoihana hoʻokele a me ke kaiāulu e holo pono ana. I kēlā hihia, uku ʻoe i kahi pālahalaha nui e like me kāu me nā exotics i ʻōlelo ʻia.

E like me kāu e ʻike ai, ʻoiai ʻo ka hana mekanika lawe lima e hōʻike maʻalahi ʻia nei e hoʻokō, ʻaʻole ka manawa kūpono e pili ana i ka nui o ka uku paneʻe o kekahi ʻāina a ʻo ka haʻahaʻa o kekahi. E like me nā kālepa āpau e pono ai e noi iā ʻoe iho a maopopo i ka mākeke e kūleʻa ai.

 

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OLELO HOOLAHA: Ke kālepa ʻana ma Forex a me nā ʻaelike no ka ʻokoʻa (CFDs), nā huahana leveraged, he mea noʻonoʻo nui a pili i ka nui o ka pohō. Hiki ke lilo i nā kumu waiwai mua i hoʻokomo ʻia. No laila, ʻaʻole kūpono ʻo Forex a me CFD i nā mea hoʻopukapuka āpau. Hoʻokomo wale me ke kālā hiki iā ʻoe ke lilo. No laila e ʻoluʻolu e hoʻomaopopo pono ʻoe i ka ka hopena o ka hopena. Eʻimi i ke aʻo kūʻokoʻa inā pono.

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