Dab tsi yog overbought thiab oversold hauv forex
Hauv kev ua lag luam forex, tus nqi hloov pauv mus rau txhua lub sijhawm ib txwm txuas mus rau qhov taw qhia ntawm overbought thiab oversold huab tsis hais txog ntawm cov qauv kev lag luam (uptrend, downtrend lossis consolidation) piv txwv li cov kev lag luam loj lossis cov nqi swings yog txheeb ze thiab raug rau ib qho twg. kev lag luam profile thiab txhua lub sijhawm ntawm kev ua lag luam.
Yog li ntawd, kev paub txog cov kev lag luam no thiab yuav ua li cas khiav lag luam cov dej ntws ntawm overbought thiab oversold tej yam kev mob yog ib tug loj ntug ntawm ib tug tub luam txheej txheem.
Ib qho kev ruaj khov thiab noj qab nyob zoo (bullish lossis bearish) yuav ib txwm tau mus rau qhov taw tes ntawm kev yuav lossis muag climax hu ua overbought lossis oversold qib rau ib qho retracement (pullback), ib qho kev thim rov qab lossis lub sijhawm sib sau ua ke.
MECHANISM ntawm overbought thiab oversold hauv FOREX
Overbought hauv forex feem ntau yog qhov huab lossis qhov kawg ntawm tus nqi bullish txav los yog ib qho uptrend qhov twg qhov kev thov ntawm cov cuab tam forex yog tag. Qhov no tsuas yog txhais tau tias cov neeg yuav khoom tau ua tiav lawv txoj haujlwm ntev hauv cov txiaj ntsig ntawm tus nqi qib uas cov neeg muag khoom tau sau lawv cov xaj luv.
Ib yam li Oversold nyob rau hauv forex yog qhov huab lossis qhov kawg ntawm tus nqi qis qis lossis kev poob qis qhov twg cov khoom ntawm ib khub forex yog tag nrho. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias cov neeg muag khoom tau ua tiav lawv txoj haujlwm luv luv hauv cov nyiaj tau los ntawm tus nqi qib uas cov neeg muag khoom muaj kev sib sau ntawm kev txiav txim ntev.
Tsis tas li ntawd nyob rau hauv ib qho kev sib koom ua ke lossis kev lag luam sib txawv, uas feem ntau yog tshwm sim los ntawm kev txiav txim siab lossis kev sib npaug ntawm cov khoom siv thiab kev thov.
Sab sauv ib nrab ntawm qhov siab thiab qhov qis ntawm kev sib koom ua ke yog qhov khoom siv feem ntau yog qhov tseem ceeb vim li no nws tau suav tias yog thaj chaw overbought. Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov qis dua ib nrab ntawm kev sib sau ua ke lossis qhov ntau qhov kev xav tau feem ntau yog qhov tseem ceeb yog suav tias yog ib cheeb tsam oversold.
Vim li cas koj thiaj yuav tsum nkag siab txog cov ntsiab lus no?
- Txhawm rau txhim kho kev nkag siab, kev txawj ntse thiab kev ntseeg siab hauv kev lag luam.
- Txhawm rau pab txiav txim siab nkag thiab tawm.
- Kom nkag siab txog kev xav txog kev ua lag luam forex
- Qhov no yog qhov tseem ceeb heev kom paub thaum twg qhov kev hloov pauv yuav tshwm sim. 5. Qhov kev pom no pab tswj kev pheej hmoo nrog rau kev pheej hmoo raug thiab tseem ua kom paub ntau ntxiv txog kev txiav txim siab ua lag luam.
UNIQUE APPROACHES IDENTIFICATION THIAB TRADE OVERBOUGHT THIAB OVERSOLD hauv FOREX
1. CALIBRATE overbought thiab oversold theem ntawm ib daim ntawv teev nqi huv.
Lub interbank nqi xa algorithm (IPDA) yog raws li 4 kev lag luam profiles, uas yog consolidation, expansion, retracement thiab thim rov qab. Nyob rau hauv cov lag luam profiles, muaj ib txwm ib tug oversold thiab overbought mob.
- CONSOLIDATION PROFILE: Hauv qhov sib txawv lossis sib sau ua lag luam profile, txhawm rau txheeb xyuas thaj chaw overbought thiab oversold, qhov siab tshaj plaws thiab qhov qis tshaj ntawm qhov ntau yog muab qhab nia rau hauv 4 lub hlis twg. Lub quarter sab sauv ntawm qhov ntau yog qhov siab tshaj qhov yuav tshwm sim overbought cheeb tsam rau kev muag khoom. Lub quarter qis ntawm qhov ntau yog qhov siab tshaj qhov yuav tshwm sim oversold cheeb tsam rau kev yuav khoom.
(i) GBPCAD Daim Ntawv Qhia Txhua Lub Limtiam - Kev Ua Lag Luam Loj
- TRENDING PROFILE: Nyob rau hauv ib tug trending lag luam profile uas muaj xws li ib tug expansion viav vias, retracement (pullback) los ntawm kev nthuav dav thiab kev thim rov qab. Overbought thiab oversold zones yog ntsuas los ntawm cov kauj ruam hauv qab no,
- Txheeb xyuas qhov siab thiab qis ntawm tus nqi impulsive viav vias.
- Faib qhov kev sib tham ntawm tus nqi impulsive viav vias hauv ib nrab los xaiv tus nqi hwm thiab luv nqi qib.
- Nyob rau hauv ib qho kev sib tw, tus nqi txav mus rau hauv ib cheeb tsam luv nqi yog suav tias yog oversold thiab zoo tagnrho rau kev yuav khoom. Nyob rau hauv ib qho kev poob qis, tus nqi txav mus rau hauv cheeb tsam hwm yog suav tias yog overbought thiab zoo tagnrho rau kev muag khoom.
(ii) US30 Teev Daim Ntawv Qhia - Uptrend (iii) GBPUSD Daim Ntawv Teev Npe - Downtrend
- MULTIPLE TIMEFRAME analysis: Nqe yog fractal (piv txwv li cov qauv kev lag luam yog tib yam ntawm txhua lub sijhawm), yog li daim ntawv thov ntawm overbought thiab oversold yog raug thiab txheeb ze rau txhua lub sij hawm-thav duab hauv nws cov khoom lag luam sib txawv.
Lub sij hawm ncua sij hawm (tej zaum loj dua) ntawm ib khub forex tshwj xeeb tuaj yeem yog nyob rau hauv kev sib koom ua lag luam profile thaum lub sij hawm qis dua tuaj yeem yog trending.
(iv) GBPCAD Txhua Hnub Bullish Trend hauv (i) GBPCAD Daim Ntawv Qhia Txhua Lub Limtiam Consolidation
Tsis tas li ntawd lub interbank nqi xa algorithm (IPDA) yog universal nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov sij hawm-thav duab, yog li daim ntawv thov ntawm oversold thiab overbought nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov sij hawm-thav duab thiab kev ua lag luam tej yam kev mob tseem ceeb heev.
- SMT (SMART NYIAJ TECHNIQUE):
Qhov no yog ib qho kev txheeb xyuas kev lag luam uas siv los txheeb xyuas cov khoom lag luam overbought thiab oversold los ntawm kev sib piv qhov sib txawv ntawm tus nqi swings ntawm cov khoom muaj nqis.
Qhov sib txawv ntawm cov khoom vaj khoom tsev sib cuam tshuam tus nqi viav vias yog ib qho ntawm cov nqe lus tseem ceeb tshaj plaws uas tuaj yeem siv los ua tus tub luam vim tias nws nthuav tawm cov theem meej ntawm overbought thiab oversold extremes los ntawm qhov txawv qhov tsis muaj zog thiab muaj zog sib cuam tshuam cov khoom muaj nqis. Nws kuj yog siv los txheeb xyuas lub koom haum tsub zuj zuj ntawm kev txiav txim ntev ntawm oversold theem lossis lub koom haum tsub zuj zuj ntawm kev txiav txim luv luv ntawm cov nqi overbought rau cov nqi loj rov qab.
Piv txwv li, feem ntau, tus nqi qis US Dollar txhais tau tias muaj kev nce siab rau cov nyiaj txawv teb chaws xws li EURUSD thiab lwm yam.
Bearish US Dollar ua rau qis qis qhia tias EURUSD yuav ua rau siab dua. Thaum twg muaj tus nqi asymmetric txav xws li US Dollar ua rau qis qis thiab EURUSD tsis ua kom siab dua. Qhov kev sib txawv ntawm tus nqi viav vias qhia tias EURUSD yog overbought, US Dollar yog oversold thiab kev thim rov qab tab tom pib.
(v) EURUSD Overbought Scenario Rov Los Sib Piv rau Duas
Cov cuab yeej no siv rau hauv cov ntsiab lus nrog rau lwm cov confluences xws li kev lag luam profile (kev sib tw lossis kev sib koom ua ke), RSI, Stochastics, hwm - luv nqi calibration, tuaj yeem txheeb xyuas qhov tseeb tus nqi ntawm kev yuav climax (overbought level) lossis muag climax (oversold level) rau ob qho tib si. tus nqi retracement (pullback) lossis ib qho kev hloov pauv loj.
2. APPLICATION OF Indicators
- RSI Indicator: RSI yog ib qho taw qhia lub sijhawm siv los qhia txog overbought lossis oversold tus nqi hauv cov khub forex.
Nws yog qhov muaj txiaj ntsig zoo hauv kev lag luam trending thiab yog siv los ntsuas lub zog ntawm tus nqi txav, tab sis tsis tsim nyog rau kev sib koom ua lag luam lossis kev ua lag luam. Tsis tas li ntawd, Nws yog siv los tsim cov kev xav txog seb qhov kev hloov pauv tau zoo li cas thiab yuav muaj qhov hloov pauv li cas.
RSI suav nrog qhov nruab nrab ntawm qhov siab thiab qis tus nqi kaw ntawm lub sijhawm muab - feem ntau 14 lub sijhawm. Nws tau nthuav tawm ntawm qhov feem pua ntawm 0 thiab 100.
Yog tias qhov ntsuas siab tshaj 70, kev ua lag luam raug suav tias yog overbought, thiab yog tias nws qis dua 30, nws yuav suav tias yog oversold.
Vim li no, kev ua lag luam yog qhov tseem ceeb rau luv thaum RSI tshaj 70 thiab kev ua lag luam tseem ceeb rau ntev thaum RSI nyeem qis dua 30.
Nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb uas yuav tsum nco ntsoov tias RSI tuaj yeem nyob twj ywm saum toj lossis qis dua cov nqi siab rau lub sijhawm ntev thiab yog li nws tsis yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws los xaiv tam sim rau sab saum toj ntawm qhov kev sib tw bullish uas twb muaj lawm lossis hauv qab ntawm qhov kev sib tw uas twb muaj lawm nrog cov kev xav tias kev ua lag luam. yuav tig vim tias kev lag luam tuaj yeem nyob twj ywm overbought lossis oversold rau lub sijhawm ntev. (vi) GBPJPY Daim Ntawv Teev Sijhawm - Downtrend
Yuav ua li cas peb thiaj paub tias kev ua lag luam hloov pauv tiag tiag thiab yuav muaj kev thim rov qab yuav tshwm sim?
Siv RSI, tus yuam sij yog tos kom txog thaum tus nqi ntsuas ntsuas rov qab qis dua 70 lossis siab dua 30.
RSI yuav thiab muag cov teeb liab yuav tsum tau soj ntsuam ib txwm nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm cov qauv tam sim no txhawm rau txo qis kev pheej hmoo thiab yuav tsum tau siv nrog rau lwm qhov ntsuas kom pom cov txiaj ntsig zoo.
- STOCHASTIC Indicator: Stochastic yog ib qho yooj yim lub zog oscillator uas tseem nrhiav cov overbought thiab oversold tus nqi heev tab sis muaj feem cuam tshuam ntau dua hauv kev sib sau lossis tsis yog kev lag luam ib puag ncig.
Qhov taw qhia stochastic tsis tso siab rau cov ntaub ntawv sib txawv los qhia thaum lub lag luam yog overbought thiab oversold, thiab nws muaj peev xwm muab kev nkag siab rau cov kab txawv forex khub rau cov nqi txav muaj me me los yog tsis muaj kev sib raug zoo.
Nws siv li cas?
Qhov kev nyeem ntawv saum toj no 80 qib txhais tau hais tias khub yog overbought thiab kev nyeem ntawv hauv qab 20 qib qhia tias khub oversold.
(vii) GBPJPY Daim Ntawv Teev Sijhawm - Consolidation Profile
Thaum lub lag luam yog bullish, tus nqi zoo li kaw ntawm qhov tsawg kawg nkaus ntawm qhov teev thiab thaum lub lag luam yog bearish, tus nqi nyhav kaw ntawm qhov siab ntawm qhov teev. Raws li tus nqi txav deb ntawm cov kev kub ntxhov no thiab mus rau qhov nruab nrab ntawm qhov ntsuas, qhov no feem ntau yuav yog qhov qhia tau tias lub zog tau qaug zog thiab yuav hloov pauv.
Rau qhov raug thiab precision ntawm overbought thiab oversold nyeem,
- Koj yuav tsum tshuaj xyuas tus nqi txav mus rau qhov kev nyeem ntawv ntawm qhov taw qhia stochastic thiab tseem siv cov qauv qhia xws li qhov txav nruab nrab ntawm kev sib hloov / sib txawv (MACD) rau kev sib txuas lus pom zoo kom paub meej cov kev taw qhia thiab lub zog ntawm cov qauv tam sim no.
- Cov tub lag luam tuaj yeem ua pov thawj ntxiv qhov kev yuav thiab muag cov teeb liab tsim los ntawm overbought thiab oversold stochastic nyeem los ntawm kev nrhiav kev sib txawv thiab cov teeb liab hla.
Ib qho kev sib txawv tshwm sim thaum tus khub forex ua rau lub siab tshiab lossis qhov qis tshiab thiab lub stochastic oscillator tsis ua rau qhov zoo sib xws siab lossis qis. Divergence paub tias ua ntej qhov kev hloov pauv vim tias tus nqi nrawm (raws li ntsuas los ntawm stochastic oscillator) yog qhov qhia txog kev hloov pauv hauv kev coj ua ua ntej tus nqi nws tus kheej.
- Lub stochastic yuav thiab muag cov cim tuaj yeem siv los ntxiv rau RSI overbought thiab oversold signals vim RSI qib tuaj yeem nyob rau hauv qib overbought lossis oversold rau lub sijhawm ntev. Qhov taw qhia stochastic pab nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb ntawm lub sijhawm thiab tus nqi hloov pauv los ntawm kev yuav lossis muag qhov kawg.
Nyem rau ntawm lub pob hauv qab no txhawm rau rub tawm peb "Dab tsi yog overbought thiab oversold hauv forex" Qhia hauv PDF
