Ukubuyisela umva kwi-forex

Phakathi kwezixhobo ezibalulekileyo kwi-arsenal yomthengisi yinkqubo eyaziwa ngokuba yi "backtesting." I-Backtesting ibhekisa kwinkqubo ecwangcisiweyo yokuvavanya ukusebenza kwesicwangciso sorhwebo ngokuvavanya ukusebenza kwayo ngokwembali kusetyenziswa idatha yemarike yexesha elidlulileyo. Ngokusisiseko, yindlela yokuhamba umva ngexesha phakathi kweemarike zemali, usebenzisa isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba kwidatha yembali, kunye nokulinganisa ukuba ngekwenzeke njani.

Ukubaluleka kokubuyisela umva akukwazi ukugqithiswa kwimarike ye-forex. Nasi isizathu sokuba iyimfuneko:

Ukunciphisa umngcipheko: Ngokuvavanya isicwangciso sakho ngokuchasene nedatha yembali, ufumana ulwazi malunga nemingcipheko enokubakho kunye nokutsalwa. Oku kukunceda ukuba ulungise indlela yakho kwaye uphuhlise izicwangciso zokulawula umngcipheko.

Ukuqinisekiswa kwesicwangciso: Ukubuyisela umva kunika ubungqina obubambekayo bokusebenza kweqhinga. Iqinisekisa okanye iyayikhaba ingqikelelo ephantsi kwendlela yakho yokurhweba.

Ukuphucula iinkqubo zokurhweba: Ukubuyisela umva kuvumela abarhwebi ukuba basulungekise kwaye baphucule iinkqubo zabo zokurhweba. Unokwazi ukuchonga apho isicwangciso sakho sigqwesa kwaye apho kufuneka uphuculo, okukhokelela ekuthathweni kwezigqibo ezingcono.

Ukubuyisela umva ngesandla

Ehlabathini lorhwebo lwe-forex, kukho iindlela ezimbini eziphambili zokubuyela umva: i-manual kunye ne-automated. I-backtesting ye-manual ibandakanya ukuhlalutya kwezandla, ukuhlaziya isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba ngokuchasene nedatha yemarike yembali.

Ukubuyisela i-Manual backtesting yinkqubo ecokisekileyo apho abarhwebi balinganisa isicwangciso sabo sokurhweba ngokuhlalutya idatha yexabiso lembali kunye nokwenza izigqibo zokurhweba ngaphandle koncedo lwezixhobo ezizenzekelayo. Ngokusisiseko, ubuyela umva ngexesha kwaye urekhode ngokucokisekileyo isigqibo ngasinye sokurhweba, ukungena, ukuphuma, kunye nokuyeka-ilahleko, ukuthobela imithetho yesicwangciso.

eziluncedo:

Ulawulo lulonke: Ukubuyisela umva okwenziwa ngesandla kunika ulawulo olupheleleyo kuwo wonke umba wenkqubo yovavanyo, kukuvumela ukuba uphendule ngeenuances kunye neemeko zentengiso.

leMfundo: Inika abarhwebi ukuqonda okunzulu kwesicwangciso sabo, ukubanceda ukuba bafake ingqiqo emva korhwebo lwabo.

Isebenza kakuhle emalini: Ngokungafaniyo nezisombululo ezizenzekelayo, ukubuyisela umva ngesandla akufuni isoftware ebiza kakhulu okanye urhumo lwedatha.

Imida:

Itya ixesha: Inokuba ngumsebenzi onzima kunye nexesha elide, ngakumbi xa uhlalutya ii-datasets ezinkulu.

Ukuxhomekeka: Iziphumo zinokuhluka ngokusekelwe kwingqiqo yomthengisi kunye nokuchazwa kwedatha yembali.

Ukuchaneka okulinganiselwe: Isenokungabaleli ukutyibilika, ukusasazeka, kunye nokulibaziseka kokubulawa ngokuchanekileyo.

I-Metatrader 5 (MT5) inikeza iqonga eliqinileyo lokubuyisela umva ngesandla. Ukusebenzisa i-MT5 yokubuyisela umva ngesandla, abarhwebi banokusebenzisa idatha eyakhelwe-ngaphakathi yembali kunye nezixhobo zokutshatha ukuphonononga iintshukumo zamaxabiso adlulileyo, ukuthengisa ngokuthengisa ngesandla, kunye nokuvavanya ukusebenza kweqhinga. Le nkqubo ivumela uvavanyo olubanzi lwezicwangciso zokurhweba kwindawo elawulwayo.

I-Metatrader 4 (MT4) yenye iqonga elidumileyo lokubuyisela umva ngesandla. Abarhwebi banokufikelela kwidatha yembali kwaye basebenzise i-MT4's charting features ukuphinda benze iimeko zemarike ezidlulileyo kunye nokwenza urhwebo ngesandla. Ngelixa iMT4 ingenazo ezinye iimpawu eziphambili zeMT5, ihlala ilukhetho olusebenzayo kubathengisi abafuna ukwenza ukubuyisela umva ngesandla ngokufanelekileyo.

Izixhobo zokubuyela umva ezizenzekelayo

Ngokwahlukileyo kwi-backtesting manual, izixhobo ezizenzekelayo zokubuyisela umva zinika abarhwebi ukusebenza kakuhle kunye nokuchaneka kohlalutyo oluqhutywa yiteknoloji. I-Forex Strategy Tester luhlobo lwesoftware eyenzelwe ngokucacileyo umva ozenzekelayo. Ezi zixhobo zivumela abahwebi ukuba bahlole izicwangciso zabo zokurhweba besebenzisa idatha yembali kwaye baqeshwe ngokubanzi kwiindawo zokurhweba ngenxa yokulungeleka kunye nokuchaneka kwabo.

Metatrader 5 umvavanyi weqhinga

I-Metatrader 5 (MT5) i-Strategy Tester sisixhobo esinamandla esifakwe kwi-platform ye-MT5 yokurhweba. Ibonelela abarhwebi ngothotho lweempawu:

Amaxesha amaninzi: I-MT5 ivumela ukuvavanywa ngamaxesha ahlukeneyo, inceda kuhlalutyo olubanzi lweqhinga.

Ukulungiselelwa: Abarhwebi banokwandisa izicwangciso zabo ngokulungelelanisa iiparameters zentsebenzo ephezulu.

Imowudi ebonakalayo: Abasebenzisi banokubona urhwebo kwiitshathi zembali, ukunceda ukuqonda ngcono ukuziphatha kweqhinga.

Usetyenziswa njani umvavanyi weqhinga leMT5:

Ukukhetha idatha: Layisha idatha yembali yeemali ezifunekayo kunye namaxesha.

Ukukhetha isicwangciso: Khetha isicwangciso sokurhweba ofuna ukusivavanya.

Ukuseta iiparameter: Chaza iiparamitha ezinje ngobungakanani beqashiso, ilahleko yokuyeka, ukuthatha inzuzo, kunye nediphozithi yokuqala.

Yenza uvavanyo: Qalisa i-backtest kwaye uphonononge iziphumo, kubandakanya i-metrics yokusebenza kunye neecurve ze-equity.

I-Metatrader 4 i-backtesting

I-Metatrader 4 (MT4) inika amandla ayo okubuyisela umva, nangona kukho umahluko xa kuthelekiswa neMT5:

Isebenziseka kakuhle: I-interface yeMT4 iyaziwa ngokulula kwayo, okwenza ukuba ifikeleleke kubathengisi bawo onke amanqanaba.

Uvavanyo olubonakalayo: Abarhwebi banokujonga ngokubonakalayo idatha yembali, ukubanceda benze izigqibo ezinolwazi.

Uyisebenzisa njani isoftware ye-backtesting yeMT4:

Idatha yezembali: Thatha ngaphandle idatha yembali yezibini zemali kunye namaxesha ozimisele ukuwahlalutya.

Ukukhetha isicwangciso: Khetha isicwangciso sokurhweba ukuvavanya.

uqwalaselo: Chaza iiparamitha ezinje ngobungakanani beqashiso, ilahleko yokuyeka, ukuthatha inzuzo, kunye nebhalansi yokuqala.

Yenza uvavanyo: Qalisa i-backtest kwaye uvavanye iziphumo, kubandakanywa izibalo zokusebenza ezineenkcukacha.

Izixhobo ezizenzekelayo zokubuyisela umva njenge-Forex Strategy Tester zibonelela abarhwebi ngeendlela ezicwangcisiweyo kunye nezisebenzayo zokuvavanya izicwangciso zabo zokurhweba, ukubanceda benze izigqibo ezinolwazi ngokusekelwe kwidatha yembali kunye nohlalutyo.

Ukubaluleka kokubuyisela umva kwi-forex

Enye yeendima eziphambili ze-backtesting kukunciphisa umngcipheko. Iimarike ze-Forex zigcwele ukuguquguquka kunye nokungaqiniseki, okwenza ulawulo lomngcipheko lubaluleke kakhulu. Ngokubuyisela umva, abarhwebi banokuvavanya ukuba amaqhinga abo ebeya kuqhuba njani kwiimeko ezahlukeneyo zentengiso. Olu phononongo lubavumela ukuba bachonge imigibe enokubakho, babeke amanqanaba afanelekileyo okulahleka kokuyeka, kwaye baseke umlinganiselo womvuzo womngcipheko ohambelana nokunyamezela kwabo.

Urhwebo oluyimpumelelo luxhomekeke ekubeni nesicwangciso esichazwe kakuhle. I-Backtesting isebenza njengovavanyo lwe-litmus kwezi zicwangciso. Ivumela abarhwebi ukuba baqinisekise iingcamango zabo kunye nokulinganisa ukuba indlela yabo igcina amanzi xa iphantsi kwedatha yemarike yembali. Isicwangciso esisebenza kakuhle ngokuqhubekayo kuzo zonke iimeko ezahlukeneyo kwi-backtesting kusenokwenzeka ukuba somelele kwaye sithembeke xa sisetyenziswa kurhwebo lwexesha lokwenyani.

Uphuculo oluqhubekayo luphawu lwabahwebi abaphumelelayo. I-Backtesting ixhobisa abarhwebi ukuba basebenzise iinkqubo zabo zokurhweba ngokucokisekileyo iiparamitha zokulungelelanisa, ukungena kunye neemeko zokuphuma, kunye nokuzama izikhombisi ezahlukeneyo. Ngokuphonononga ukusebenza kwangaphambili, abahwebi banokuphucula izicwangciso zabo kwaye baziqhelanise nokutshintsha kweemeko zemarike, ngaloo ndlela bandise amathuba abo okuphumelela kwexesha elide.

Iinkqubo ezingcono zokubuyisela umva ngempumelelo

Ukuqinisekisa ukuba i-backtesting kwi-forex ivelisa ingqiqo echanekileyo kunye nesenzo, abahwebi kufuneka babambelele kwiseti yeendlela ezilungileyo. Ezi zikhokelo ziyilelwe ukuphucula ukuthembeka kunye nokufaneleka kweziphumo zokubuyisela umva, ekugqibeleni zikhokelela kwizigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi olungcono.

Isiseko sayo nayiphi na i-backtest enentsingiselo ilele kumgangatho kunye nokuchaneka kwedatha yembali. Abahwebi kufuneka basebenzise imithombo yedatha ethembekileyo kwaye baqinisekise ukuba idatha ikhululekile kwiimpazamo, izikhewu, okanye ukungachaneki. Idatha ye-Subpar inokugqwesa iziphumo kwaye ilahlekise abahwebi, inike yonke inkqubo yokubuyisela umva ingasebenzi.

Ekufuneni izicwangciso ezinenzuzo, abahwebi ngamanye amaxesha babeka iiparameters ezingenakwenzeka ngexesha lokubuyisela umva. Kubalulekile ukugcina uvakalelo lwenyani, kuthathelwa ingqalelo imiba efana neemeko zemarike, ukungabikho kwemali, kunye neendleko zorhwebo. Iisetingi ezinethemba eligqithisileyo zinokudala imvakalelo yobuxoki yokhuseleko kwaye ikhokelele kwiziphumo ezidanisayo zehlabathi lokwenyani.

Urhwebo lwehlabathi lokwenyani lubandakanya ukutyibilika (umahluko phakathi kwamaxabiso alindelekileyo naphunyeziweyo) kunye nokusasazeka (umahluko phakathi kwebhidi kunye nokubuza amaxabiso). Ukubonisa iimeko zokurhweba ngokuchanekileyo, ii-backtests kufuneka zibandakanye ezi zinto. Ukungazihoyi kunokukhokelela ekucingeni ingeniso nokungayijongeli phantsi ilahleko.

Ukwenza amaxwebhu kunye nokugcinwa kweziphumo ze-backtesting yinto ebalulekileyo. Le ngxelo yembali isebenza njengendawo yesalathiso yokuhlalutya isicwangciso sendaleko kunye neenkqubo zokwenza izigqibo. Ikwanceda abarhwebi ukuba balandelele ukusebenza kwezicwangciso ezininzi ngexesha.

Iimarike ze-Forex zinamandla kwaye zinokutshintsha. Into ebisebenza izolo isenokungasebenzi ngomso. Abarhwebi kufuneka bahlaziye rhoqo kwaye bavavanye kwakhona izicwangciso zabo zokuziqhelanisa neemeko zemarike eziguqukayo.

Ukukhetha isoftware ye-backtesting ye forex

Zombini iMT4 kunye neMT5 ngamaqonga amkelwe ngokubanzi, ngalinye linamandla alo:

I-MT4 (Metatrader 4): Iyaziwa ngokuba yi-interface yomsebenzisi-friendly kunye nelayibrari ebanzi yezalathisi eziqhelekileyo, iMT4 ithandwa ngabahwebi abaxabisa ukulula kunye nokusebenza kakuhle. Nangona kunjalo, ayinazo ezinye iimpawu eziphambili zeMT5, ezifana novavanyo lwemali eninzi kunye nekhalenda yezoqoqosho eyakhelweyo.

I-MT5 (Metatrader 5): I-MT5 inikezela uluhlu olubanzi lwempahla, kubandakanywa izitokhwe kunye nempahla, ngaphezu kwe-forex. Iqhayisa ngamandla okubuyisela umva angaphezulu, kubandakanya uvavanyo lwemali eninzi, izixhobo eziphucukileyo zegraphical, kunye nesantya sophumezo esiphuculweyo. Ihlala ilukhetho kubarhwebi abafuna uhlalutyo olubanzi.

Ezinye izixhobo ezithandwayo zokubuyela umva

Ngaphaya kweMT4 kunye neMT5, ezinye izixhobo zokubuyela umva zibonelela ngeemfuno zabarhwebi:

NinjaTrader: Eyaziwayo ngezixhobo ezibanzi zokuhlalutya iimarike kunye nokuhambelana nabanikezeli bedatha abaninzi.

TradeStation: Inikezela ngolwimi olunamandla lokubhala kuphuhliso lweqhinga lesithethe kunye nokwenza ngcono.

Ctrader: Iyaziwa ngokuba yi-interface enembile kunye ne-algorithmic yokurhweba.

Izinto ekufuneka ziqwalaselwe xa ukhetha isoftware

Xa ukhetha isoftware ye-backtesting ye-forex, qwalasela ezi zinto zilandelayo:

ukuhambelana: Qinisekisa ukuba isoftware iyahambelana neqonga lakho lokurhweba kunye ne-brokerage.

Umgangatho wedatha: Ukuvavanya umgangatho kunye nokufumaneka kwedatha yembali yovavanyo oluchanekileyo.

Iimbonakalo: Vavanya iimpawu zesoftware, kubandakanywa iinketho zokwenza ngokwezifiso, amandla okuphucula, kunye nenkxaso yeeklasi ezahlukeneyo ze-asethi.

ixabiso: Qwalasela zombini iindleko zokuthenga kunye neentlawulo eziqhubekayo zobhaliso.

Uluntu kunye nenkxaso: Khangela iqonga lesoftware enoluntu olusebenzayo lwabasebenzisi kunye nenkxaso ethembekileyo yabathengi.

Zivavanye ngononophelo iimfuno zakho kunye nezinto ozikhethayo ukuze ukhethe isoftware ehambelana kakuhle neenjongo zakho zokurhweba kunye nesimbo.

isiphelo

Ukubuyisela umva kwi-forex akusiyo nje inyathelo lokuzikhethela; ngumba obalulekileyo worhwebo. Ixhobisa abarhwebi ngokukwazi:

Nciphisa umngcipheko: Ngokuvavanya ukusebenza kwesicwangciso kwiimeko ezahlukeneyo zeemarike.

Qinisekisa izicwangciso: Ngokubonelela ngobungqina obubambekayo bokusebenza kweqhinga.

Lungiselela iinkqubo zokurhweba: Ngohlengahlengiso olululo kunye nohlengahlengiso lwezicwangciso ekuphuhliseni amandla emarike.

Olu vavanyo olucwangcisiweyo, nokuba lwenziwa ngesandla okanye ngezixhobo ezizenzekelayo, lunika abahwebi ukuqonda okunzulu kwendlela yabo yokurhweba kwaye baxhobise ngolwazi olufunekayo ukwenza izigqibo ezinolwazi.