I-Outlook Market Yi-2018: Iziganeko ezibalulekileyo zezoqoqosho, i-Political & Fundamental Overview kwiNgingqi

Yiziphi abathengisi beFX abangalindela kwi-2018? I-FXCC ikunika ingxelo ebalulekileyo yonke imicimbi yezoqoqosho kunye neemarike kufuneka ugcine iliso njengomthengisi!

isishwankathelo

Ukuzama ukuqikelela kwanoma yiyiphi na iqondo lokungenzeka, apho iimarike ziya kuba ngasekupheleni kwe-2018, akunakwenzeka. I-oracle yoshishino kuphela enegunya lamandla, unokucinga ukuba; I-DJIA yayiza kuphakama nge-circa 29%, i-NASDAQ nge-approx. I-31% kunye namanye amasheya e-FAANG ukuya kwi-50% kwi-2017. Bangaphi abahlalutyi bethu be-forex abanokulindela ukuba i-EUR / i-USD iya kuphakama kwizinga eliphezulu kakhulu kwiminyaka emithathu ngoJanuwari 2018, nangona ixabiso le-ECB lokugcina inzala ngelixa, ngelixa i-Fed iphakanyisiwe amaxesha amathathu kwi-1.5% kwi-2017?

Ngokwabo ngokwemvelo nathi (ngokubaluleka) asizange sibone i-Black Swans ebomnkcenkcenkcazo enkulu kwi-horizon, umzekelo; kwakukho imali encinci yabatyalomali kunye nabahlalutyi abaye baxela kwangaphambili ukutshatyalaliswa kwe-sub prime, kunye nabancinci abasenayo. Ngaphezu koko, abatyali-mali bafuna izityholo zensimbi ukuba zihlale zityalomali ngexesha loxinaniso, kwaye abo batheba ngokubhekiselele kwinkqubo abanakuze baqiniseke ngokufumana iibhenki zabo ezihlawulwayo, ezivela kumaziko afanayo abaza kubhekisa ngazo. Njengoko iNtshona yeNtshona yelizwe kunye neenkqubo zezimali zifunyenwe, ithemba kunye nekhredithi yanyuswa.

Injongo yethu ngale ngxelo ayiyikubalisa oko kuza kwenzeka kwi-2018, kodwa ukwenza ukuba abathengi bethu baqonde ngeendlela ezintle kunye neengozi ezinokubangela ukuba kube yimpumelelo kwimpumelelo yethu. Ukuxhaswa kwangaphambili kuboniswe kwangaphambili kwaye kunikezelwa ukuba uninzi lwethu unamakhono (okanye ube yizakhono) kokubambisa kunye nokuba kude kwiimarike zethu, ngoko asimele sinoyiko ngokubhekiselele ekubuyiseleni okanye ekuwa kweyona nto; Iimbini eziphambili, iinsimbi ezixabisekileyo, okanye iindices zingase zibe namava.

Sifanele sibe nazo (okanye ziphuhlise) ingqondo kunye nezakhono zokukwazi ukufikelela kwisigqibo sethu sokurhweba kunye nokutshala-mali ukusuka kumbono ongenalucalulo nokungathathi hlangothi, kunye nomthamo ophilileyo wokungqinelani nokungathembeki; Ukuba neglasi yakho i-51% epheleleyo, njengengqondo yongqondo, ikhona indlela efanelekileyo yokuyifumana xa iimarike zorhwebo.

Njengomsebenzi wokuhlalutya siye sahlula lo mbhalo ngamacandelo amaninzi kwaye amanqaku amacandelo, ngokujoliswe ngundoqo ekuhlalutheni kwethu okujoliswe kwiinkalo eziphambili kwi-Eurozone, eU.SA, eUnited Kingdom, eJapan naseTshayina.

IYurophu

Ukurhweba kunye nokutshala imali kusoloko kuhamba ngokukhawuleza, kwi-2015 saqhubeka sithetha nge-Eurozone ukuhlawulelwa kwemali kunye neengxaki zemali nezentlalo ephezulu iGrisi yaxhomekeka kuyo. Kwi-2017 le micimbi ebonakalayo ibonakala ilahleka kwi-radar ye-media. Amagama athi "iTroika aya", ngokuqinisekileyo ibinzana elibangela ukwesaba kwiintliziyo zabantu abaninzi baseGrike, liye laphela kwi-lexicon yethu yezopolitiko neyezemali.

I-Eurozone kunye ne-euro ngokukodwa, kubonakala ingabonakali kwiimeko ezininzi zezopolitiko ezenzeka ngexesha le-2017; U-Brexit, ukhetho lwaseFransi lwe-centrististist Macron, eCatalonia, ukhetho lwaseJamani kunye nomphumo walo ongabonakaliyo, iphalamende yase-Italy ichithwa ngumongameli. Le miba emikhulu ayiphumelelanga ukuzithemba abantu abathembekileyo kwi-euro kunye nama-indices aseYurophu, ngaphezulu kweentsuku ngelo xesha. Njengokuvavanywa kwangaphambili, kwendawo yokuqina ngokubanzi kunye neemeko ezingenakwenzeka ngaphandle, le mizekelo ingabonakala iyaziwayo.