Parabolic stop kunye nesalathisi sokubuyela umva

Urhwebo lwe-Forex, kunye nendalo yalo eguquguqukayo kunye noluhlu oluninzi lwezinto ezinempembelelo, lufuna indlela enolwazi kunye neqhinga. Kulapho izikhombisi zobugcisa zingena khona ekukhanyeni. Ezi zixhobo zokuhlalutya, ngokusekelwe kwizibalo zemathematika, idatha yexabiso lembali, kunye neendlela zemarike, zisebenza njengezikhokelo ezixabisekileyo kubathengisi.

Izalathi zobugcisa, njenge-Parabolic SAR, zibonelela abahwebi ngamanqaku edatha yenjongo enokunceda ekwenzeni izigqibo ezinolwazi. Banceda ekuchongeni iindawo ezinokungena kunye nokuphuma, ukulinganisa amandla okuhamba, kunye nokulawula umngcipheko ngokufanelekileyo. Kwimarike apho izigqibo zokwahlulwahlulwa kwesibini zinokwenza okanye ziphule urhwebo, ukuba nokuqonda okuqinileyo kwezalathi zobugcisa akubi nje luncedo kodwa kuyimfuneko.

Ukuqonda iziseko

I-Parabolic Stop and Reverse Indicator, eyaziwa ngokuba yiParabolic SAR okanye i-PSR, sisixhobo sokuhlalutya kobugcisa obuguquguqukayo esenzelwe ukunceda abarhwebi be-forex ekuchongeni ukuguqulwa kwendlela enokwenzeka ngayo kunye nokumisela iindawo ezifanelekileyo zokungena kunye nokuphuma ngaphakathi kwendlela ekhoyo. Ephuhliswe ngumthengisi owaziwayo kunye nomhlalutyi u-J. Welles Wilder Jr., esi salathisi siye safumana indawo yaso njengecandelo elixabisekileyo kwi-arsenal yabarhwebi emhlabeni jikelele.

Embindini wayo, iParabolic SAR ixhomekeke kwifomula yemathematika ukwenza amachaphaza kwitshathi yexabiso. La machaphaza, avela ngasentla okanye ngaphantsi kwemivalo yexabiso, asebenza njengeengongoma zesalathiso ezinceda abarhwebi ukuba balinganise ulwalathiso lwendlela ehamba phambili. Xa amachaphaza engaphantsi kwexabiso, abonisa ukunyuka, kwaye xa engaphezulu, kubonisa i-downtrend. Injongo ephambili ye-Parabolic SAR kukubonelela abahwebi ngokubonakaliswa okubonakalayo kwamanqaku anokuthi aguqulwe, ngaloo ndlela ebancedisa ekwenzeni izigqibo ezinolwazi malunga nokungena okanye ukuphuma kwizikhundla.

Imbali ye-Parabolic SAR inokulandelwa emva kokuqala kwayo kwi-1970 ngu-J. Welles Wilder Jr., umntu obalaseleyo kuhlalutyo lobugcisa. UWilder, owaziwa ngamagalelo akhe kwizalathisi ezahlukeneyo zobugcisa, waphuhlisa iPSR njengempendulo kwimingeni abarhwebi abajongene nayo ekuchongeni ukuguqulwa kwendlela. Injongo yakhe yayikukudala isixhobo esinokulungelelanisa nokutshintsha kweemeko zeemarike kunye nokubonelela ngemiqondiso ecacileyo kubahwebi.

Indlela i-parabolic stop and reverse indicator isebenza ngayo

I-Parabolic Stop and Reverse Indicator (SAR) isebenzisa ifomula ethe ngqo kodwa enamandla ekubaleni kwayo. Ukuqonda le fomula ngundoqo ekuqondeni indlela isalathisi esisebenza ngayo. Nalu ucazululo lwenyathelo ngalinye:

Inkqubo iqala ngokukhethwa kwexabiso lokuqala le-SAR, elikholisa ukuba lelona lisezantsi lamanqaku edatha ambalwa okuqala. Eli xabiso lokuqala lisebenza njengesiqalo sobalo olulandelayo.

Isalathisi sichonga elona liphezulu liphezulu (kwi-uptrends) okanye lisezantsi (kwi-downtrends) kuluhlu lwedatha kwixesha elichaziweyo. Eli nqaku ligqithileyo liba sisalathiso sokubala kwe-SAR.

I-AF licandelo elibalulekileyo elimisela ukuba i-SAR ihamba ngokukhawuleza kangakanani ukuphendula utshintsho lwamaxabiso. Iqala ngexabiso elincinane kwaye inokunyuka ngokubala ngakunye okulandelayo, ivumela i-SAR ukuba ibambe iintshukumo zamaxabiso.

Ukusebenzisa ixabiso lokuqala le-SAR, iqondo eligqithileyo, kunye ne-AF, ixabiso le-SAR kwixesha langoku liyabalwa. Ifomula yokubala kwe-SAR kwi-uptrend yile:

I-SAR = I-SAR yangaphambili + I-AF yangaphambili × (I-EP yaNgaphambili - i-SAR yaNgaphambili)

Kwaye kwi-downtrend:

I-SAR = I-SAR yangaphambili - I-AF yangaphambili × (I-SAR yangaphambili - i-EP yangaphambili)

Ixabiso le-SAR elibaliweyo libekwe kwitshati yexabiso njengechaphaza. Elichaphaza limele indawo enokubakho yokumisa kunye nendawo yokubuyela umva yentsingiselo.

Ukutolika

Ukutolika imiqondiso ye-Parabolic SAR kubalulekile kwizigqibo ezisebenzayo zokurhweba:

Ukuphumla: Xa amachaphaza e-SAR engaphantsi kwemivalo yexabiso, iphakamisa ukunyuka. Abarhwebi banokuthatha oku njengophawu lokuthenga okanye ukubamba izikhundla ezide.

Downtrend: Ngokuchasene noko, xa amachaphaza e-SAR engaphezulu kwemivalo yexabiso, ibonisa i-downtrend, ebonisa ithuba elinokwenzeka lokuthengisa okanye ukugcina izikhundla ezimfutshane.

Ukuguqulwa komqondiso: Ukubuyisela umva kwenzeka xa amachaphaza e-SAR etshintsha iindawo ukusuka phezulu ukuya ngaphantsi (okanye ngokuphendululekileyo) ngokunxulumene nebhari zamaxabiso. Olu phawu lubuyisela umva lubalulekile kwaye luhlala lusetyenziswa ukuphuma kwindawo esele lukhona kwaye lubenakho ukungena kwelinye icala.

Isicelo esisebenzayo

I-Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) isicelo esisebenzayo sixhomekeke ekukwazini ukubonelela abahwebi ngeempawu ezicacileyo zokungena kunye nokuphuma, ukubanceda ukuba bahambe ngobunzima bemarike ye-forex.

Ngeempawu zokungena, abahwebi bahlala becinga ngezikhundla zokuqalisa xa amachaphaza e-SAR ehambelana nexabiso lentengo. Kwi-uptrend, oku kuthetha ukukhangela amathuba okuthenga xa amachaphaza engaphantsi kweebhari zexabiso, ebonisa i-bullish sentiment. Ngokwahlukileyo, kwi-downtrend, izibonakaliso zokuthengisa zivela xa amachaphaza engaphezulu kweebhari zexabiso, ebonisa i-bearish sentiment.

Iimeko zokurhweba zokwenyani zibonisa usetyenziso lweParabolic SAR. Umzekelo, ukuba amachaphaza e-SAR ebesoloko engaphantsi kweebar zamaxabiso kwi-uptrend kwaye emva koko atshintshele ngaphezulu kwawo, inokuba luphawu olunamandla lokuphuma kwizikhundla ezide kwaye unokungena kwizikhundla ezimfutshane, ulindele ukuguqulwa kwendlela.

Xa umrhwebi engena kwindawo esekelwe kwiimpawu ze-SAR, banokubeka umyalelo wokulahleka kokuyeka ngaphantsi kwe-dot ye-SAR kwi-uptrend (okanye ngaphezu kwayo kwi-downtrend). Oku kubekwa kobuchule kuhambelana nenjongo yesalathisi yokuchonga amanqaku anokubakho okubuyisela umva. Ukuba urhwebo luhamba ngokuchasene nomrhwebi, umyalelo wokuyeka ukulahleka unceda ukukhusela inkunzi ngokuvala isikhundla ngaphambi kokuba ilahleko enkulu ifumaneke.

eziluncedo

Ukubandakanya iParabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) Isalathisi kwisicwangciso sakho sokurhweba se-forex sinika iingenelo ezininzi ezahlukileyo:

Cacisa ukuchongwa kwendlela: Ukubonakaliswa okubonakalayo kwe-SAR ye-trend direction yenza lula inkqubo yokuchonga iindlela, ukunceda abahwebi ukuba benze izigqibo ezinolwazi.

Ukuziqhelanisa ngamandla: I-SAR ilungelelanisa iimeko zemarike, iyivumela ukuba ihlale isabela ekugutyungelweni kwamaxabiso kunye nokuhle okunokwenzeka.

Ukungena kunye neempawu zokuphuma: Isalathisi sinikezela ngeempawu ezichanekileyo zokungena kunye nokuphuma, ukunceda abarhwebi ekuphuculeni ixesha labo lokurhweba.

Ulawulo lwengozi: Ngokubeka ngokucwangcisekileyo imiyalelo yokuyeka ukulahleka okusekelwe kwiimpawu ze-SAR, abahwebi banokulawula umngcipheko ngokufanelekileyo, ukugcina inkunzi.

Ukulula: Ubume obuchanekileyo be-SAR benza ukuba ifikeleleke kubathengisi bawo onke amanqanaba amava.

Unyino kunye nokuqwalaselwa

Ngelixa iParabolic SAR isisixhobo esibalulekileyo, kubalulekile ukuba uyamkele imida yayo kwaye usebenzise isilumkiso:

Iiwindows: Kwiimarike ze-choppy okanye ezisecaleni, i-SAR inokuvelisa rhoqo kunye neempawu zobuxoki, ezikhokelela kwilahleko ukuba abahwebi benza kubo ngaphandle kokuqonda.

Isalathisi sokuLagging: Njengezalathi ezininzi ezilandela umkhondo, i-SAR inokungaboneleli ngemiqondiso ngexesha elifanelekileyo ngalo mzuzu ukuguqulwa kwendlela okwenzeka ngayo.

Ukuxhomekeka kwixesha elimisiweyo: Ukukhetha ixesha elibekiweyo kunokuchaphazela kakhulu ukusebenza kwe-SAR. Abarhwebi kufuneka bahlengahlengise iisetingi ukuze zihambelane nesitayela sabo sokurhweba.

Ayisiso isisombululo esizimeleyo: Nangona luncedo, i-SAR kufuneka isetyenziswe ngokubambisana nezinye izixhobo zobugcisa kunye nohlalutyo olusisiseko ukwenza izigqibo zokurhweba ngokufanelekileyo.

Ukukhetha imarike: I-SAR inokwenza ngokwahlukileyo kwiimeko zeemarike ezahlukeneyo, ngoko ke abarhwebi kufuneka bathathele ingqalelo ukusetyenziswa kwayo kwiintlobo zemali ezizithengisayo.

I-Case study 1: Ukukhwela intsingiselo

Kulo mzekelo, qwalasela umthengisi ogxile kwi-EUR / USD currency pair. Umrhwebi uchonga ukunyuka okuqinileyo ngokuqwalasela ukuba amachaphaza e-SAR ahlala ebonakala ngaphantsi kweebhari zexabiso. Ukuqaphela oku njengophawu lwe-bullish, umrhwebi ungena kwindawo ende.

Njengoko umkhwa uqhubeka, amachaphaza e-SAR alandelela ngokuthembekileyo ngaphantsi kwemivalo yexabiso, enika isikhokelo esicacileyo. Umrhwebi ubeka umyalelo wokuyeka ilahleko ngaphantsi nje kwechaphaza le-SAR yamva nje yokulawula umngcipheko. Ngokuhamba kwexesha, amachaphaza e-SAR ahlala engaphantsi kwemivalo yexabiso, eqinisa ukunyuka okunyukayo.

Ekugqibeleni, xa amachaphaza e-SAR etshintsha izikhundla, ehamba ngaphezu kwemivalo yexabiso, umrhwebi ufumana uphawu lokuphuma kwindawo ende. Oku kuphuma kweqhinga kubangela urhwebo olunenzuzo, kunye nomrhwebi othatha inxalenye enkulu yentshukumo ephezulu.

I-Case study 2: Ithuba lokubuyisela umva intsingiselo

Kule meko, makhe sihlolisise i-GBP/JPY currency pair. Umrhwebi ubona i-downtrend eyenza njengoko amachaphaza e-SAR ehlala ebonakala ngaphezu kwemivalo yexabiso. Ukuqaphela oku njengophawu lwe-bearish, umrhwebi ungena kwindawo emfutshane.

Njengoko umkhwa uqhubeka, amachaphaza e-SAR agcina isikhundla sawo ngaphezulu kwemivalo yexabiso. Umrhwebi ubeka umyalelo welahleko yokuyeka ngaphezu kwechaphaza le-SAR yamva nje yokulawula umngcipheko. Emva kwexesha, amachaphaza e-SAR atshintshe izikhundla, ehamba ngaphantsi kwemivalo yexabiso. Oku kubonisa ujiko olunokwenzeka.

Umrhwebi uphuma kwisithuba esifutshane kwaye ucinga ngokungena kwindawo ende, elindele ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish. Esi sigqibo sicwangcisiweyo sivelisa urhwebo olunenzuzo, njengoko isibini semali eneneni siqala indlela eya phezulu.

isiphelo

Ukuqukumbela, iParabolic SAR, ephuhliswe nguJ. Welles Wilder Jr., isebenza kwifomula ethe ngqo, ivelisa amachaphaza ngaphezulu okanye ngaphantsi kwemivalo yexabiso ukubonisa isikhokelo somkhwa. Sisixhobo esisebenzayo esilungele abarhwebi bawo onke amanqanaba.

Izinto ezilungileyo ze-SAR ziquka indima yayo ekuchongweni kwendlela, ukubonelela ngeempawu ezichanekileyo zokungena kunye nokuphuma, ukulungelelaniswa okuguquguqukayo kwiimeko zemarike, kunye nolawulo olusebenzayo lomngcipheko.

Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukusondela kwi-SAR ngolwazi olubukhali malunga nemida yayo. Iimpawu zobuxoki kwiimarike ze-choppy kunye nobume bayo obubambekayo ngexesha lokuguqulwa kwendlela zizinto ekufuneka ziqwalaselwe.

Enyanisweni, abahwebi banokusebenzisa i-SAR ngokufanelekileyo ngokubeka imiyalelo yokuyeka ukulahleka okusekelwe kwiimpawu zayo kunye nokubandakanya kwisicwangciso esibanzi sokurhweba.

Isitshixo sempumelelo ngeParabolic SAR ilele ekuqondeni okucokisekileyo koomatshini bayo, ukutolika, kunye nokusetyenziswa okufanelekileyo. Abarhwebi ababuqondayo ubuncinci bayo kwaye basebenzise uqeqesho ekusetyenzisweni kwayo banokusebenzisa amandla ayo ukwenza izigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi nezinengeniso.