Yintoni ukurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex?
Kwihlabathi elikhawulezayo nelihlala livela lorhwebo lwe-forex, iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokusebenzisa imali kwiintshukumo zentengiso. Enye indlela enjalo kukurhweba ixesha elide, indlela egxininisa umonde kunye nombono obanzi kwiindlela zexabiso.
Ukurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex libhekisela kwisicwangciso apho abahwebi babambe izikhundla ixesha elide, ngokuqhelekileyo ukusuka kwiiveki ukuya kwiinyanga, ukuba basebenzise iindlela ezibalulekileyo zemarike. Ngokungafaniyo norhwebo lwexeshana elifutshane, olujolise kwinzuzo ekhawulezayo ngaphakathi kokuguquguquka okuncinci kwamaxabiso, urhwebo lwexesha elide lujolise ekubambeni iintshukumo zamaxabiso amakhulu kwixesha elongeziweyo.
Ukuqonda urhwebo lwexesha elide kubalulekile kubatyali-mali be-forex abafuna inzuzo ezinzileyo. Ngokwamkela imbono yexesha elide, abahwebi banokuphepha ingxolo kunye nokuguquguquka okuhambelana nokuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane. Endaweni yoko, bagxile ekubambeni iindlela ezinkulu eziqhutywa ziziseko zoqoqosho, iziganeko ze-geopolitical, kunye nezinye izinto ezinkulu zoqoqosho. Le ndlela ivumela uhlalutyo olubanzi ngakumbi lwe-dynamics yemarike kunye nokunciphisa impembelelo yengxolo yemarike yexesha elifutshane kwizigqibo zotyalo-mali.
Ingcamango yokurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex
Ukurhweba ixesha elide kwimarike ye-forex kubandakanya ukubamba izikhundla ixesha elide, ngokuqhelekileyo ukusuka kwiiveki ukuya kwiinyanga, ukwenzela ukuba uzuze kwiindlela ezibonakalayo zemarike. Ngokungafaniyo neendlela zokurhweba zexesha elifutshane ezifana nokurhweba kwemini okanye ukurhweba nge-swing, egxile ekusebenziseni ukuguquguquka kwexabiso lexesha elifutshane, ukurhweba kwexesha elide kugxininisa imbono ebanzi malunga nokuhamba kwexabiso kunye neziseko zezoqoqosho.
Abathengisi bexesha elide bahlalutya kwaye bachonge iindlela eziphambili ngokuqhuba uhlalutyo olubanzi olusisiseko kunye nobugcisa. Bafuna ukuchonga izibini zemali ezinokukhula okunamandla kwexesha elide okanye ukuhla, ukusekela izigqibo zabo kwizinto ezifana nezalathisi zezoqoqosho, imigaqo-nkqubo yebhanki ephakathi, iziganeko ze-geopolitical, kunye nemijikelo yemarike yexesha elide.
Xa kuthelekiswa norhwebo lwemini kunye nokurhweba ngokujingi, urhwebo lwexesha elide lubonelela ngeenzuzo ezahlukeneyo. Abarhwebi bemihla bajonge ukufumana inzuzo ekuguquguqukeni kwexabiso lexesha elifutshane phakathi kosuku olunye lokurhweba, ngelixa abarhwebi be-swing babambe izikhundla iintsuku ezimbalwa ukuya kwiiveki ezimbalwa. Ngokwahlukileyo, abarhwebi bexesha elide baxhamla kwiindleko zokuthengiselana ezincitshisiweyo, njengoko bengena kwaye baphuma kwiintengiso ngaphantsi rhoqo. Kwakhona bafumana amanqanaba aphantsi oxinzelelo ahambelana nokubeka iliso rhoqo kwimarike, okwenza kube yindlela ekhangayo kubatyali-mali abanomonde kunye nendlela yobuchule.
Izinto eziphembelela ukufaneleka korhwebo lwexesha elide:
Izinto ezininzi zichaphazela ukufaneleka kokurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex. Okokuqala, kufuna ukuba umrhwebi abe nombono wexesha elide kunye nokukwazi ukumelana nokuguquguquka kwexabiso lexeshana ngaphandle kokunikezela kwisigqibo somzwelo. Ukongeza, urhwebo lwexesha elide lufaneleke ngakumbi kubatyali-mali abaneziseko ezinkulu ezinkulu, njengoko kunokufuna iimfuno ezinkulu zomda kunye nokunyamezela ukutsalwa okunokwenzeka.
Ngaphaya koko, ubukho bezixhobo ezithembekileyo zohlalutyo olusisiseko kunye nobuchwepheshe, ukufikelela kwiinkcukacha zembali, kunye nokuqonda okuqinileyo kwezalathi zoqoqosho zibalulekile kurhwebo oluyimpumelelo lwexesha elide. Abarhwebi kufuneka kwakhona baqwalasele ukunyamezela kwabo umngcipheko kunye nokuzibophelela kwexesha, njengoko urhwebo lwexesha elide lufuna umonde kunye nokuziphatha ukukhwela kwiindlela zemarike ezinde.
Ngokuqonda ingcamango yokurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex, abarhwebi banokuzibeka ngobuchule ukuba babambe iintshukumo ezibalulekileyo zemarike kwixesha elide. Amacandelo alandelayo aya kukhangela amaqhinga athile, izibonelelo, kunye nobungozi obunxulumene nokurhweba ixesha elide, ukubonelela ngengqiqo ebalulekileyo kubatyalo-mali abafuna inzuzo ezinzileyo.
Amaqhinga okurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex
Uhlalutyo olusisiseko kunye nendima yalo kurhwebo lwexesha elide:
Uhlalutyo olusisiseko ludlala indima ebalulekileyo ekurhwebeni kwexesha elide, ukunceda abarhwebi ukuba bachonge izibini zemali ngokukhula okuqinileyo okanye ukuhla okunokwenzeka kwixesha elongeziweyo. Ngokuhlalutya izibonakaliso zezoqoqosho, iziganeko ze-geopolitical, kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yebhanki ephakathi, abahwebi bafumana ukuqonda kwizinto ezisisiseko eziqhuba iindlela zemali zexesha elide. Olu hlalutyo lubandakanya ukuvavanya idatha ye-macroeconomic, efana nokukhula kwe-GDP, izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso, amanani engqesho, kunye neebhalansi zorhwebo, ukuqonda impilo yonke kunye nethemba loqoqosho lwelizwe. Uhlalutyo olusisiseko lubonelela abarhwebi ngesiseko esiluqilima sokwenza izigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi lwexesha elide.
Iindlela zohlalutyo lobuchwephesha zokuchonga iintsingiselo zexesha elide:
Ukongeza kuhlalutyo olusisiseko, abarhwebi bexesha elide basebenzisa iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokuhlalutya lobugcisa ukuchonga nokuqinisekisa iintsingiselo zexesha elide. Iimpawu zobuchwephesha, iipatheni zeetshathi, kunye nezixhobo zokuhlalutya iindlela zinceda abarhwebi babone iindawo ezinokungena kunye nokuphuma kurhwebo lwabo. Iimpawu zobugcisa ezidumileyo ezifana nemilinganiselo ehambayo, imigca yokuhamba, kunye nesalathisi samandla esihambelanayo (RSI) inokubonelela ngengqiqo kumandla kunye nokuzinza kwendlela yexesha elide. Ukudibanisa uhlalutyo olusisiseko kunye nobuchwepheshe luvumela abarhwebi ukuba benze uqikelelo oluchanekileyo kwaye bandise amathuba abo okuphumelela kwintengiso yexesha elide.
Ubuchule bokulawula umngcipheko kurhwebo lwexesha elide:
Ukulawula umngcipheko kubalulekile kurhwebo lwexesha elide ukukhusela inkunzi kunye nokugcina inzuzo ezinzileyo. Abarhwebi basebenzisa iindlela ezinjengokuseta ii-odolo zokuyeka ilahleko, ukuphumeza iindawo zokumisa ezilandelanayo, kunye nokwahluka kweendawo zabo. Imiyalelo yokuyeka ilahleko ibalulekile ukukhawulela ilahleko enokubakho ukuba imarike ihamba ngokuchasene nokulindelwe ngumrhwebi. Ukumisa umkhondo kulungelelaniswa njengoko urhwebo luhamba luthanda umrhwebi, lubavumela ukuba bafumane inzuzo ngelixa besanika igumbi lokurhweba ukuba liphefumle. Ukwahluka kwezikhundla kuzo zonke izibini zemali kunye neeklasi ze-asethi kunceda ukunciphisa ifuthe leentshukumo zemarike ezingalunganga kwipotfoliyo iyonke.
Ukwahluka kunye neengqwalasela zolawulo lweepotfoliyo:
Abarhwebi bexesha elide bayakuqonda ukubaluleka kokwahluka kunye nolawulo olusebenzayo lwepotfoliyo. Ukwahluka phakathi kweemali zemali, imimandla yejografi, kunye neeklasi ze-asethi kunceda ukusasaza umngcipheko kunye nokunciphisa ukuvezwa kokuguquguquka kwemali nganye. Abarhwebi babela ngononophelo imali yabo, babeke iliso kwindlela yokusebenza kwepotfoliyo, kwaye benze uhlengahlengiso xa kuyimfuneko. Ukuphononongwa rhoqo komsebenzi wepotfoliyo kunye nohlalutyo oluqhubekayo lweemeko zemarike zenza ukuba abahwebi basebenzise iindlela zabo zokurhweba ixesha elide.
Ngokusebenzisa indibaniselwano yohlalutyo olusisiseko kunye nobuchwepheshe, ukuphumeza iindlela ezisebenzayo zokulawula umngcipheko, kunye nokwenza izinto ezahlukeneyo kunye nolawulo lweepotfoliyo, abahwebi bexesha elide banokuzibeka ukuze baphumelele kwimarike ye-forex.
Izibonelelo zokurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex
Enye yeenzuzo eziphambili zokurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex yithuba lokufumana inzuzo ephezulu. Ngokubamba izikhundla ixesha elongeziweyo, abarhwebi banokubamba iintsingiselo ezibalulekileyo zemarike kwaye bakhwele kuzo ukuze bafumane inzuzo enkulu. Abathengisi bexesha elide bajolise ekuchongeni iimali ezibonisa ukukhula okucacileyo kwexesha elide okanye ukuhla kweepatheni, okubavumela ukuba basebenzise ukunyakaza okukhulu kwexabiso. Le ndlela yesigulane yenza ukuba abahwebi bagweme ukuchithwa yingxolo yemarike yexesha elifutshane kwaye bagxininise kwiimarike zexesha elide, ezinokukhokelela kwiintengiso ezinenzuzo.
Ukurhweba ixesha elide kunika inzuzo yokunciphisa iindleko zentengiselwano. Ngokungafaniyo neendlela zokurhweba zexesha elifutshane ezibandakanya ukuthenga nokuthengisa rhoqo, abarhwebi bexesha elide bangena kwaye baphume kwiintengiso ezincinci. Oku kuguqulela kwiindleko zentengiselwano eziphantsi, njengoko zifumana ukusasazeka okumbalwa kunye neentlawulo zekhomishini. Ukongeza, abarhwebi bexesha elide bahlala befumana uxinzelelo oluncitshisiweyo lweemvakalelo xa kuthelekiswa nabalingane babo bexesha elifutshane lokurhweba. Abavezwanga kukuguquguquka okukhawulezileyo kwamaxabiso kunye nokubeka iliso rhoqo okunokukhokelela kunxunguphalo oluphezulu kunye nokwenza izigqibo ngokweemvakalelo.
Abarhwebi bexesha elide banokuzuza kulwahlulo lwenzala phakathi kweemali. Ngokurhweba ngeemali ezinenzala ephezulu ngokuchasene nezo zinezinga eliphantsi, abarhwebi banokufumana inzuzo ngokuthengisa. I-Trarry trades ibandakanya ukuboleka ngemali enenzala ephantsi kunye nokutyala imali kwizinga eliphezulu lemali yenzala, ukuthatha inzuzo yokwahluka kwenzala. Esi sicwangciso sivumela abarhwebi ukuba bavelise ingeniso kwizinga lenzala esasazeka ngexesha lorhwebo.
Abathengisi bexesha elide banethuba lokulungelelanisa izikhundla zabo kunye neendlela ze-macroeconomic kunye nezinto ze-geopolitical. Ngokuhlalutya izibonakaliso zezoqoqosho, imigaqo-nkqubo yebhanki ephakathi, kunye neziganeko ze-geopolitical, abahwebi banokuzibeka kwiimali ezinokuthi zizuze ekukhuleni kwexesha elide loqoqosho okanye ukuhla. Ukuqonda le miba ibanzi kwenza abarhwebi benze izigqibo ezisekelwe kuhlalutyo olusisiseko kunye nokulungelelanisa urhwebo lwabo kunye ne-dynamics yemarike esisiseko.
Imingcipheko kunye nemingeni ekurhwebeni kwexesha elide
Ukuguquguquka kwemarike kunye nokuguquguquka kwexabiso okungalindelekanga:
Ukurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex ayikho ngaphandle kweengozi zayo. Ukuguquguquka kweemarike kunye nokuguquguquka kwexabiso elingalindelekanga kunokubangela imingeni kubahwebi bexesha elide. Imarike ye-forex iphenjelelwa zizinto ezahlukeneyo ezifana nokukhutshwa kwedatha yezoqoqosho, iziganeko ze-geopolitical, kunye novakalelo lwemarike, olunokukhokelela ekutshintsheni kwamaxabiso okubalulekileyo. Abarhwebi kufuneka balungele ukumelana neentshukumo zexabiso lexeshana kwaye bahlale bezibophelele kuhlalutyo lwabo lwexesha elide, njengoko ingxolo yentengiso yexesha elifutshane inokuvavanya umonde kunye nokuqiniseka kwabo.
Ukuvezwa kwimingcipheko yezoqoqosho, yezopolitiko, kunye nolawulo:
Abarhwebi bexesha elide bavezwa kwimingcipheko yezoqoqosho, yezopolitiko, kunye nolawulo olukhoyo kwimarike ye-forex. Ukudodobala koqoqosho, utshintsho lomgaqo-nkqubo, kunye noxinzelelo lwe-geopolitical lunokuba nefuthe elinzulu kumaxabiso emali kunye neentsingiselo zexesha elide. Abarhwebi kufuneka bahlale benolwazi malunga nophuhliso lwezoqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye neziganeko zezopolitiko ezinokuchaphazela amazwe abathengisayo. Ukongezelela, utshintsho kwiinkqubo zokulawula okanye ukungenelela kweebhanki eziphambili kunokuzisa imingeni engalindelekanga kwaye kuchaphazele inzuzo yokurhweba kwexesha elide.
Inkalo yezengqondo: umonde, uqeqesho, kunye nokulawula okulindelweyo:
Urhwebo oluyimpumelelo lwexesha elide lufuna iimpawu eziqinileyo zengqondo. Umonde ungundoqo, njengoko abahwebi kufuneka balinde ukuba izikhundla zabo zivuleke kwaye bangashukunyiswa kukuguquguquka kweemarike zexesha elifutshane. Ukuziphatha ngokuthobela isicwangciso sabo sokurhweba kunye neendlela zokulawula umngcipheko kubalulekile kwimpumelelo yexesha elide. Ukulawula okulindelekileyo nako kubalulekile, njengoko imarike ye-forex isenokungasoloko ihamba ngendlela yomgca, kwaye kuya kubakho amaxesha okutsalwa phantsi okanye ukunyakaza okusecaleni okudinga ingqondo ezinzileyo.
Ukuzinikela kwexesha elide kunye neendleko zamathuba anokubakho:
Urhwebo lwexesha elide lufuna ukuzibophelela kwexesha elibalulekileyo. Abarhwebi kufuneka babeke iliso kwizikhundla zabo ngamaxesha athile, bahlale behlaziywa ngophuhliso lweemarike, kwaye benze uhlengahlengiso xa kuyimfuneko. Eli nqanaba lokubandakanyeka lisenokungafanelanga bonke abantu, njengoko linokuba nefuthe kwezinye iinkalo zobomi kwaye lingenise iindleko zamathuba. Abarhwebi kufuneka baqwalasele ngenyameko iimeko zabo zobuqu kunye nezibophelelo ngaphambi kokuba baqalise izicwangciso zokurhweba ixesha elide.
Izifundo kunye nemizekelo yokwenyani yehlabathi
Amabali amaninzi empumelelo akhona phakathi kwabathengisi bexesha elide be-forex, egxininisa imivuzo enokubakho yale ndlela yokurhweba. Ngokomzekelo, uWarren Buffett, omnye wabatyali-mali abadumileyo behlabathi, wasebenzisa imbono yexesha elide xa erhweba ngeemali, ejonge ukufumana inzuzo kwiindlela zoqoqosho olukhulu kunye nohlalutyo olusisiseko. Abanye abathengisi bexesha elide abaphumeleleyo, abanjengoGeorge Soros kunye noPaul Tudor Jones, baye babonisa ukusebenza kwezicwangciso zabo kwixesha elide. La mabali empumelelo asebenza njengenkuthazo kwaye abonelele ngeenzuzo zorhwebo lwexesha elide xa ziphunyezwa ngobuchule kunye nokuziphatha.
Ukuhlalutya iindlela eziphawulekayo zokurhweba ixesha elide kunokubonelela ngengqiqo ebalulekileyo ekusebenzeni kwabo kunye neziphumo. Ngokomzekelo, izicwangciso zokulandela umkhondo, ezibandakanya ukuchonga kunye nokukhwela kwiimarike zexesha elide, zibonakalise impumelelo kubathengisi abaninzi bexesha elide. Izicwangciso zokuqhawula, apho abahwebi bangena kwizikhundla xa amaxabiso edlula amanqanaba angundoqo okuxhasa okanye ukuchasana, baye bavelisa iziphumo ezilungileyo. Ngokuphonononga ezi zicwangciso kunye neziphumo zabo, abahwebi banokufumana ukuqonda okunzulu kwemigaqo exhasa urhwebo oluyimpumelelo lwexesha elide.
Ukuphonononga iindlela ezidlulileyo zeemarike kunye neziganeko kunokubonelela ngezifundo ezibalulekileyo kubahwebi bexesha elide. Iziqendu zembali, ezifana nengxaki yemali yehlabathi ka-2008 okanye ingxaki yamatyala aseYurophu, zinika ulwazi malunga nendlela iintsingiselo zexesha elide ezinokuvela ngayo kunye nefuthe leemeko zoqoqosho nezopolitiko kumaxabiso emali. Ngokufunda ezi ziganeko, abarhwebi banokuphucula ukukwazi kwabo ukuqikelela kunye nokujonga uphuhliso lwemarike yexesha elizayo. Ukongezelela, ukuhlalutya imiphumo yemigaqo-nkqubo yebhanki ephakathi, utshintsho lwenzala, kunye neziganeko ze-geopolitical kwiimarike zemali inokwazisa ngakumbi izicwangciso zexesha elide lokurhweba.
isiphelo
Ukuqukumbela, ukurhweba ixesha elide kwi-forex kunika ithuba elinyanzelisayo kubatyali-mali abazimisele ukuvuma iimpawu zabo ezizodwa kunye nemingeni. Ngokuqonda amacebo, imingcipheko, kunye nezifundo ezifundiweyo kwiindlela zemarike zangaphambili, abarhwebi banokwandisa amathuba abo okuphumelela. Sikhuthaza abafundi ukuba bahlolisise ngakumbi kwaye basebenzise izicwangciso zexesha elide lokurhweba, beqwalasela iinjongo zabo zomntu ngamnye, ukunyamezela umngcipheko, kunye nokuzinikela kuhlalutyo oluqhubekayo lwemarike.
Ngokwamkela imbono yexesha elide, abatyali-mali be-forex banokuhamba ngendlela eguquguqukayo yemarike yemali ngokuzithemba okukhulu kwaye banokufezekisa iinjongo zabo zotyalo-mali.
