Isu le-Donchian Channel Breakout

I-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy iyindlela eyaziwa kabanzi ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe, enikeza abahwebi indlela ehlelekile yokuhlonza izitayela zemakethe ezingaba khona namathuba okuhweba. Igxilile ezimisweni zokulandela izitayela, leli su lisebenzisa inkomba ye-Donchian Channel, eyathuthukiswa ngu-Richard Donchian, evame ukuthathwa ngokuthi "Uyise Wokulandela Okuthrendayo." Umsebenzi wakhe omusha wabeka isisekelo sezinhlelo eziningi zesimanje zokuhweba futhi uyaqhubeka nokuba nomthelela amasu okuhweba namuhla.

Emgogodleni wayo, i-Donchian Channel iyithuluzi elisekelwe ekuguquguqukeni elihlela inani eliphakeme kakhulu neliphansi kakhulu lentengo esikhathini esithile. Ngokwenza kanjalo, idala ibhendi ephezulu, ibhendi ephansi, nomugqa omaphakathi ohlanganisa ukunyakaza kwentengo ngaphakathi kwebanga elichaziwe. Lesi sibonakaliso sisebenza njengesisetshenziswa esibalulekile sabahwebi abahlose ukuthwebula ama-breakouts-izikhathi lapho intengo ihamba ngokuqiniseka ngaphezu kobubanzi obuchaziwe, okubonisa ukuqala okungaba khona kwethrendi entsha.

Isu lokuphuma kwe-Donchian Channel lidume kakhulu ekuhwebeni kwe-forex ngenxa yekhono layo lokuzivumelanisa nezimo zemakethe eziguqukayo. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ukuhweba ngamapheya emali, izitoko, noma impahla, leli su lisiza abahwebi ukuthi bakhombe izindawo ezicacile zokungena nokuphuma, ukuhlinzeka ngesakhiwo emakethe evame ukungaqondakali.

Ukuqonda inkomba ye-Donchian Channel

Inkomba ye-Donchian Channel iyithuluzi elinamandla lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe elisiza abathengisi ukuthi bahlonze amathrendi emakethe namathuba okuthengisa angaba khona. Isebenza ngokuhlela inani eliphezulu kakhulu neliphansi eliphansi kakhulu esikhathini esishiwo, lidale isiteshi esigqamisa ngokubukeka ibanga lentengo impahla ebihweba ngayo. Lesi siteshi siqukethe izingxenye ezintathu ezibalulekile: ibhendi ephezulu, ibhendi engezansi, nomugqa omaphakathi (isilinganiso samabhendi aphezulu naphansi).

Okwenza i-Donchian Channel ihluke ubulula baso. Ngokungafani nezinkomba eziyinkimbinkimbi, igxile kuphela ekuhambeni kwentengo, okuvumela abadayisi ukuthi babone ukusekelwa okubalulekile namazinga okumelana kalula. Isibonelo, uma intengo inqamuka ngaphezu kwebhendi ephezulu, ikhombisa umfutho we-bullish futhi ikhombisa ithuba lokuthenga elingaba khona. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ikhefu elingaphansi kwebhendi ephansi liphakamisa umfutho we-bearish futhi lingase lilethe isignali yokuthengisa.

I-Donchian Channel iwusizo ikakhulukazi ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo njenge-forex, lapho amathrendi amanani evamise ukuvela ngemva kwezikhathi zokuhlanganisa. Abahwebi bangalungisa isikhathi senkomba ukuze sihambisane nesitayela sabo sokuhweba. Isilungiselelo esivamile isiteshi sezikhathi ezingu-20, esidume ngamasu alandelayo, kodwa izikhathi ezimfushane noma ezinde zingasetshenziselwa ukuhweba kosuku noma ukutshala izimali zesikhathi eside.

Umakhenikha wesu le-Donchian Breakout

I-Donchian Breakout Strategy iyindlela yokuhweba eqondile nesebenzayo esebenzisa umqondo wokunqamuka ukuhlonza amathrendi emakethe angaba khona. Izungeza ekusebenziseni inkomba ye-Donchian Channel ukuze ikhombe lapho intengo yempahla yeqa ngaphezu kwebhendi ephezulu yesiteshi noma ngaphansi kwebhendi yaso ephansi, okubonisa ukuthi kungenzeka kwethrendi entsha ye-bullish noma ye-bearish. Leli su lingasetshenziswa ezinhlobonhlobo zezikhathi zokuhweba, okulenza lifaneleke kokubili abahwebi besikhathi esifushane nabesikhathi eside.

Ukuze usebenzise i-Donchian Breakout Strategy, abahwebi ngokuvamile balandela lezi zinyathelo:

Setha isikhathi

Isilungiselelo esivame ukusetshenziswa yi-Donchian Channel yezikhathi ezingu-20, ebala okuphakeme kakhulu nokuphansi okuphansi kunamabha noma izinti zamakhandlela zokugcina ezingu-20. Abahwebi bangakwazi ukulungisa isikhathi ngokusekelwe kulokho abakuthandayo.

Khomba ukuqubuka

Uma inani lihamba ngaphezu kwebhendi ephezulu, libonisa ukuphuma liye phezulu futhi linikeza isignali yokuthenga okungenzeka. Ngokufanayo, lapho intengo inqamuka ngaphansi kwebhendi ephansi, iphakamisa ukwehlukana kuya phansi futhi ibonise ithuba lokuthengisa elingase libe khona.

Faka ama-stop-loss orders

Ukuze ulawule ubungozi, abadayisi bavame ukufaka ama-oda okulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngaphandle nje kohlangothi oluphambene lwesiteshi. Isibonelo, ekuphumeni kwe-bullish, ukulahleka kokuma kungase kusethwe ngaphansi kwebhendi ephansi kancane.

Sebenzisa izitobhi ezilandelanayo

Njengoba intengo iya lapho ofisa ukuya ngakhona, izitobhi zokulandela umkhondo zingasetshenziselwa ukukhiya inzuzo kuyilapho kuvumela uhwebo ukuthi luqhubeke nokuzuza ekunyakazeni kwamanani okuqhubekayo.

Izinzuzo kanye nemikhawulo yesu le-Donchian Channel breakout

I-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy inikeza izinzuzo eziningana, okwenza kube ukukhetha okudumile phakathi kwabahwebi be-forex. Enye yamandla ayo ayisihluthulelo atholakala ekululameni kwayo. Inkomba kulula ukuyiqonda futhi iqalise, ngisho nakubaqalayo, njengoba igxile esenzweni samanani esiqondile kunezibalo eziyinkimbinkimbi. Ngokugqamisa ngokubonakalayo okuphakeme kakhulu nokuphansi okuphansi kakhulu phakathi nesikhathi esithile, i-Donchian Channel isiza abathengisi ukuthi bakhombe amaphuzu aphumayo ngokucacile.

Enye inzuzo ukusebenza kwayo ezimakethe ezihamba phambili. Isu livumela abadayisi ukuthi bathwebule ukunyakaza kwentengo okubalulekile ngokungena kwezohwebo lapho imakethe ibonisa umfutho ocacile wokuqondisa. Lokhu kwenza kube kuhle ekuhwebeni kwe-forex, lapho amapheya emali evamisile ukuthola amathrendi aqinile. Ukwengeza, isu lingenziwa ngendlela oyifisayo ukuze livumelane nezitayela ezahlukene zokuhweba, ngezikhathi ezilungisekayo ezivumela abahwebi ukuthi bagxile kumathrendi esikhathi esifushane, amaphakathi, noma esikhathi eside.

Kodwa-ke, njenganoma yiliphi isu lokuhweba, indlela yeDonchian Channel Breakout inemikhawulo yayo. Enye into ewumphumela omkhulu ukuba sengozini kwayo ekuqubukeni okungamanga, okwenzeka lapho intengo iphuma okwesikhashana ngaphandle kwesiteshi ukuze ihlehle ibuyele emuva ngaphakathi kwayo. Lezi zimpawu ezingamanga zingaholela ekulahlekelweni uma zingaphathwa ngendlela efanele. Isu liphinda lenze kabi ezimakethe ezihlukene noma ezisemaceleni, lapho amanani enyuka phakathi kwebanga elincane, ekhiqiza amasignali avamile kodwa angathembekile.

Ukuze unciphise le mikhawulo, abadayisi bavame ukuhlanganisa i-Donchian Channel nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, njenge-Relative Strength Index (RSI) noma isilinganiso esihambayo, ukuze kuqinisekiswe amasiginali. Amathuluzi okulawula ubungozi, njengama-oda okulahlekelwa kokuyeka kanye nokulinganisa indawo efanele, nawo abalulekile ekwehliseni ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona kanye nokuqinisekisa impumelelo yesikhathi eside.

Amathiphu okukhulisa impumelelo ngesu le-Donchian Channel

Nakuba i-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy iyithuluzi elinamandla labahwebi, ukusebenza kwayo kuncike ekubulaweni okufanele, ekulawuleni ubungozi, kanye nokusetshenziswa kwamasu ahambisanayo. Ngezansi kukhona amathiphu ayisihluthulelo okusiza abahwebi bakhulise impumelelo yabo ngaleli su.

1. Hlanganisa nezinye izinkomba zokuqinisekisa

Ukugqekeza kwesinye isikhathi kungenza amasiginali angamanga, ikakhulukazi ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo noma ezihlukene. Ukuze kuthuthukiswe ukunemba, abahwebi bavame ukubhanqa i-Donchian Channel nezinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezengeziwe. Isibonelo, i-Relative Strength Index (RSI) ingaqinisekisa amandla ethrendi, kuyilapho ukuhambisa okumaphakathi okufana ne-SMA yezinsuku ezingu-50 noma ezingu-200 kungasiza ukucacisa isiqondiso sethrendi ebanzi. Ngokufanayo, I-Average True Range (ATR) iwusizo ekuhloleni ukuntengantenga kwemakethe kanye nokubeka amazinga okulahleka kokuyeka aguqukayo.

2. Lungisa izikhathi ezizimele ukuze zihambisane nesitayela sokuhweba

Abahwebi kufanele benze ngokwezifiso isikhathi se-Donchian Channel ngokusekelwe esikhathini abasithandayo sokuhweba. Izikhathi ezimfushane (isb., iziteshi zenkathi eyi-10) zilungele abahwebi bosuku abafuna amasiginali asheshayo, kuyilapho izinkathi ezinde (isb., iziteshi zenkathi engu-50) zifaneleka kangcono kuma-swing noma abahwebi bezikhundla abafuna ukuthwebula amathrendi amakhulu. Ukuhlola izikhathi ezihlukile ku-akhawunti yedemo kungasiza abathengisi bathole ukuthi yini esebenza kangcono kumasu abo.

3. Ukusebenzisa ukuphathwa kobungozi ngendlela efanele

Ukulawulwa kobungozi kubalulekile uma usebenzisa i-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy. Abahwebi kufanele balinganisele ubungozi babo ngokuhweba ngakunye kumaphesenti amancane ebhalansi ye-akhawunti yabo—ngokuvamile u-1-2%. Ukwengeza, ukufaka ama-oda okulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngale kwebhendi ephambene nesiteshi kungasiza ekuvikeleni ukuguqulwa kwamanani kungazelelwe.

4. Qonda izimo zemakethe

I-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy isebenza kahle kakhulu ezimakethe ezithrendayo. Ngakho-ke, kubalulekile ukuhlola izimo zemakethe futhi ugweme ukusebenzisa leli su phakathi nenkathi yokuguquguquka okuphansi noma izikhathi zokunqunyelwa ibanga. Ukukhetha okufakiwe kwezohwebo kungathuthukisa amazinga empumelelo kakhulu.

eziyimpumelelo

I-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy isetshenziswe ngempumelelo ezimeni ezihlukahlukene zemakethe. Ngezansi izibonelo zomhlaba wangempela kanye nemininingwane esuselwe kudatha yemakethe yomlando:

1. Izitayela ze-EUR/USD phakathi nokuguquguquka kobhubhane lwango-2020

Ngesikhathi segagasi lokuqala lobhubhane lwe-COVID-19 ngoMashi 2020, imakethe ye-forex yabhekana nokuntengantenga okukhulu. Ipheya ye-EUR/USD yaphuka ngaphezu kwebhendi ephezulu ye-Donchian Channel yezikhathi ezingama-20, okuphawula ukugqashuka kwe-bullish. Abahwebi abangena emakethe ngokulandela lesi siginali bebengase bathole inzuzo ekukhuphukeni kwalaba ababili njengoba amabhange amakhulu ethula izindlela zokunciphisa imali ezinolaka. Ngokwemininingwane ye-Bloomberg, i-EUR/USD inyuke isuka cishe ku-1.07 ngoMashi 2020 yaya ngaphezu kuka-1.20 ekupheleni konyaka. Isiteshi sikaDonchian sithwebule ngempumelelo le threndi yesikhathi eside, ikakhulukazi uma ihlanganiswe nokulahlekelwa kokumiswa okulandelayo ukuze kuvalwe inzuzo.

2. USD/JPY esukela izimakethe ngo-2018

Ngo-2018, umbhangqwana we-USD/JPY ungene esikhathini eside sokuhweba emaceleni phakathi kwamazinga angu-108 nangu-114. Abahwebi abathembele ku-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy bahlangabezane nokuqubuka okungamanga, njengoba inani lalivame ukwedlula amabhendi aphezulu noma aphansi ngaphambi kokubuyela emuva esiteshini. Idatha yomlando evela ku-Investing.com ibonisa ukuthi abathengisi abahlanganise i-Donchian Channel ne-oscillator, njenge-RSI, bakwazi kanjani kangcono ukuhlonza izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu nezidayiswe kakhulu, behlisa umthelela wezimpawu ezingamanga phakathi nale makethe ye-choppy.

3. I-GBP/USD ephumayo ezungeze izimemezelo ze-Brexit ngo-2016

Ireferendamu ye-Brexit ngoJuni 2016 yabangela ukuntengantenga okukhulu emakethe ye-forex. Umbhangqwana we-GBP/USD ubone ukuqubuka okubukhali ezinhlangothini zombili ze-Donchian Channel yezikhathi ezingama-20 njengoba abahwebi besabela ekungaqiniseki ngekusasa le-UK ku-European Union. Ngalesi sikhathi, i-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy isebenze kahle uma isetshenziswa ihlanganiswe nezinkomba zokuguquguquka njenge-Average True Range (ATR). Idatha evela eBhange LaseNgilandi kanye ne-Reuters yembula ukuthi abahwebi abasebenzisa lawa mathuluzi bazuze ngokuphawulekayo ukwehla, okufana nokwehla kwe-GBP/USD kusuka ku-1.50 pre-referendum kuya ku-1.32 ngemva nje kokumenyezelwa kwemiphumela.

Isiphetho

I-Donchian Channel Breakout Strategy isalokhu iyithuluzi elibalulekile labahwebi abafuna ukwenza imali kumathrendi emakethe ku-forex nakwezinye izimakethe zezimali. Njengoba igxilile embonweni wokweqa amanani futhi yakhelwe ebulula benkomba ye-Donchian Channel, leli su lihlinzeka ngendlela ehlelekile yokuhlonza amaphuzu okungaba khona nokuphumayo ngokusekelwe esenzweni senani. Ngokugxila ekukhuphukeni nakwehle kwentengo esikhathini esibekiwe, isu lisiza abathengisi ukuthi babone ngeso lengqondo ukwesekwa okubalulekile namazinga okumelana, linikeza ukucaca ngisho nasezimeni zemakethe eziguquguqukayo.

Enye yezinzuzo ezibaluleke kakhulu ze-Donchian Breakout Strategy ukuguquguquka kwayo. Ingasetshenziswa kumafreyimu wesikhathi ahlukahlukene, iyenze ifanele abahwebi bosuku, abadayisi be-swing, kanye nabatshalizimali besikhathi eside ngokufanayo. Nokho, abahwebi kufanele baqaphele ukuthi alikho isu elingenangqondo. Nakuba i-Donchian Channel ihamba phambili ezimakethe ezithrendayo, ingase ithembeke kancane ezindaweni ezihlukene noma ezishintshashintshashintshayo, lapho kuvame ukuvela okungamanga.

Ukuze unqobe lezi zinselele, abathengisi kufanele bacabangele ukuhlanganisa i-Donchian Channel nezinkomba ezihambisanayo, njenge-RSI noma i-ATR, ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukunqamuka nokuthuthukisa ukwethembeka. Ukwengeza, ukusebenzisa ukulawulwa kobungozi okufanele-ngokulinganisa isikhundla, imiyalo yokulahleka kokuyeka, nezitobhi ezilandelanayo-kubalulekile ukuvikela ekuguqukeni kwemakethe kungazelelwe.