Ungawabona kanjani amathrendi e-forex kusenesikhathi
Ukwakheka kwamathrendi kwenzeka ngokuhlanganiswa kwamaphethini obuchwepheshe nokushintshashintsha komfutho kanye nentuthuko yezomnotho omkhulu. Ushintsho olusheshayo emazingeni enzalo ebhange eliphakathi ludala indlela entsha yentengo ngamapheya emali. Izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezihlanganisa ama-crossovers amaphakathi anyakazayo kanye nokugqashuka kusuka ezindaweni zokuhlanganisa zisebenza njengezinkomba zokuqala ezibonakalayo zentuthuko yethrendi engaba khona. Ukuhlonza kusenesikhathi kuhilela ukuhlonza ukuziphatha kwemakethe okusha ngedatha yempokophelo kuyilapho kuqinisekiswa amaphethini ezenzo zentengo.
I-EUR/USD kanye ne-USD/JPY kanye namapheya emali e-GBP/USD abonisa amaphethini emakethe ahlelekile abathengisi abangawahlaziya ngezikhathi ezihlukene. Ikhefu eliphakeme eliphansi noma elihlulekile leleveli yosekelo lesikhathi eside livame ukukhombisa ukuqala kokuthuthuka kwethrendi ngemuva kwemakethe ebophezelekile kububanzi. Abahwebi abathembele kuphela kumasiginali asalibele ngenkathi bengena sekwephuzile komjikelezo basengozini yokuchayeka ngokungadingekile ezingozini zemakethe.
Uyini umkhuba we forex?
Imakethe ye-forex ichaza inkambiso njengenkomba yokunyakaza kwentengo iyonke yamapheya emali phakathi nenkathi ethile yesikhathi. Ukuthambekela okucacile kungase kube phezulu (i-bullish), phansi (ibhere), noma emaceleni (ukuhlanganisa). Isinyathelo esibalulekile sokuhlonza izimo ezizuzisayo zemakethe siqala ngokuqonda lokhu kuhlukaniswa kwethrendi okuyisisekelo.
I-uptrend ivela ngokwakhiwa kokuphakama okuphezulu okulandelanayo kanye nokwehla okuphezulu okubonisa ukwanda komsebenzi wokuthenga. Ukunyakaza kwentengo kuma-downtrends kubonisa kokubili ukuphakama okuphansi nokuphansi okubonisa ingcindezi yokuthengisa eqhubekayo. Ukunyakaza kwentengo ezimakethe eziseceleni ezaziwa ngokuthi ububanzi kubonisa ukuguquguquka kwentengo phakathi kosekelo oluchaziwe nezindawo zokumelana ngaphandle kwanoma iyiphi inkomba eyinhloko.
Ubude besikhathi samathrendi bukhona kububanzi obuhlukahlukene. Ubude besikhathi samathrendi besikhathi esifushane busuka emaminithini siye emahoreni futhi bubangelwa ikakhulukazi imicimbi yezindaba zansuku zonke kanye nokuguquguquka okukhulu. Ubude besikhathi sokuthrenda besikhathi esimaphakathi busuka ezinsukwini kuye emavikini futhi kuvame ukufanisa amashejuli okukhishwa kwezomnotho. Amathrendi esikhathi eside aphikelela izinyanga eziningi noma izikhathi ezinde ngenxa yokuthi abangelwa izinqubomgomo zezomnotho omkhulu kanye nokwehluka kwesilinganiso senzalo kanye nentuthuko yezwe.
Ipheya ye-EUR/USD ikhombisa ukuvala okuphezulu kweshadi nsuku zonke ngemuva kokukhuphuka kwezinga le-European Central Bank. Ithrendi yentengo ebheke ekukhuphukeni ingase iqale lapho kuvela ukwehla okuphezulu okulandelanayo namazinga okumelana ephuka.
Kungani ukuhlonza amathrendi kubaluleke kakhulu
Ukuhlonzwa kwamathrendi ezigabeni zabo zokuqala kwenza abathengisi bakwazi ukusungula izindawo zokuhweba ezingcono kuyilapho belawula ubungozi babo ngempumelelo kakhudlwana. Ukutholwa kwethrendi ekuqaleni kwayo kuvumela abathengisi ukuthi basungule izikhundla eduze nomsuka wethrendi okuholela kuzilinganiso ezingcono zobungozi bomklomelo. Isu linciphisa ukuziphatha kokujaha intengo kuyilapho livimbela abahwebi ukuthi bangangeni ezindaweni eziseduze nokuphela komjikelezo wethrendi lapho ukuhlehla noma ukuhlanganisa kuvame ukwenzeka.
Ipheya ye-GBP/USD iqala ukukhuphuka ngaphezu kwezinga layo langaphambilini lokumelana njengoba ivolumu ikhula kuyilapho ishadi lamahora amane libonisa ukwehla okukhulayo. Izimpawu zikhomba ekuqaleni kokuya phezulu. Ukuqinisekisa okunjalo kwenza abathengisi bakwazi ukwenza izinqumo ezihlelekile ngokuziphatha okubonakalayo esikhundleni sezenzo zokuqagela.
Ulwazi lwesiqondiso semakethe lwenza abahwebi bakwazi ukukhetha amasu okuhweba afanelekile kuyilapho bekhetha izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezifanele futhi benquma amazinga okulahlekelwa nokuthatha inzuzo ngokunemba okungcono. Le ndlela ithuthukisa ukuvumelana kohwebo kuyilapho inciphisa izinqumo ezisheshayo ezibangelwa umsindo wemakethe noma ukushintshashintsha kwentengo yesikhashana.
Ukuhlonzwa kusenesikhathi kwamathrendi kunika amandla ukuphathwa kwephothifoliyo ngokuvumelanisa ukuhweba okungenzeka kakhulu kuyilapho kunciphisa ukuchayeka kwethrendi ephikisayo. Ukunyakaza kwezimakethe kuvame ukuvela ezindabeni zezomnotho kanye nezinqubomgomo zebhange eliphakathi nentuthuko yezwe. Ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kuba namandla lapho abahwebi beqonda ukuthi ukwenzelela okuqondile kuqala kanjani kusuka ezicini zemakethe.
Amathuluzi angukhiye okutholwa kwethrendi kusenesikhathi
Ukutholwa kwamathrendi angaphambi kwesikhathi kudinga ukuhlaziywa kwezakhiwo zamanani kanye nezinkomba zomfutho namathuluzi okuqinisekisa. Izindlela zobuchwepheshe eziningi ezisetshenziswa ndawonye zikhiqiza ukuhlonza okuthembeke kakhulu kunanoma iyiphi indlela eyodwa.
Ukuhamba kwentengo kwangempela kwamapheya emali kusebenza njengesisekelo sokubonwa kwethrendi kusenesikhathi ngoba akuncikile ezinkomba ezibambezelekile. Ipheya yohlobo lwemali ye-USD/JPY ibonisa iphethini ephansi ephezulu kulandela ukuhlukana kwayo okuyimpumelelo ngaphezu kwamazinga okumelana adlule. Isenzo senani sibonisa ukuthi imizwa yemakethe isiqalile ukusuka ekuhlanganisweni kuya ekunyukeni okuphezulu. Izimpawu zokuhlehla kwethrendi zivela emaphethini ekhandlela ahlanganisa amaphethini e-bullish engulfing nama-pin bar atholakala ezindaweni zosekelo.
Ukushintshashintsha kwentengo kuba lula ngokusebenzisa ama-avareji ahambayo esiza abathengisi banqume isiqondiso semakethe. "Isiphambano segolide" sivela lapho isilinganiso sokunyakaza somchazi wenkathi engu-50 (EMA) siwela ngaphezu kwe-EMA yenkathi engu-200 ngokuvamile ebonisa ukukhula kwemakethe. Isimo sama-EMA wesikhathi esifushane nawesikhathi esimaphakathi nawesikhathi eside ngokuhlobene kusiza abahwebi banqume amandla ethrendi.
Inhlanganisela yemigqa ethrendayo kanye namashaneli entengo yenza abahwebi bakwazi ukubona isiqondiso semakethe kanye nezindawo ezingase zibe khona. Umugqa wethrendi oxhumanisa ukwehla okuphakeme ukuya phezulu kuhlanganiswe nevolumu ekhuphukayo ukhombisa amandla okuqhubeka we-bullish.
I-MACD kanye ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI) isebenza njengamathuluzi ashukumisayo anikeza ubufakazi obengeziwe kubahwebi. Ukuqala kwethrendi kuvame ukwenzeka lapho i-histogram ye-MACD yeqa umugqa onguziro noma i-RSI isuka endaweni yayo engathathi hlangothi (50 noma ngezansi) iye endaweni ye-bullish (ngaphezulu kwama-50). Ukusebenza kahle kwala mathuluzi kuyenyuka uma esetshenziswa kanye nezinkomba zevolumu noma ukuhlaziywa kwesakhiwo samanani ukuvimbela amasignali angamanga.
Ukuhlanganisa izinkomba zobuchwepheshe zokuqinisekisa
Ukusetshenziswa kwezinkomba eziningi ndawonye kukhulisa amathuba okuhlonza ithrendi evelayo ngendlela efanele. Isiginali ye-crossover emaphakathi enyakazayo iyodwa ibonisa umfutho kodwa ngaphandle kwamathuluzi okuqinisekisa engeziwe ingase iqalise okufakiwe ngaphambi kwesikhathi noma ukuqagela okungalungile kwethrendi. Ukuhlanganiswa kwezinkomba kunikeza indlela ehlelekile yokuqeda amathuba okuhweba abuthakathaka.
Ipheya ye-EUR/USD iphuka ngaphezu kobubanzi bayo bokuhlanganiswa ngesikhathi esifanayo lapho i-bullish MACD crossover yenzeka eduze komugqa onguziro. Ukukhuphuka okuvelayo kuba nokwenzeka kakhulu lapho i-RSI idlula ama-50 futhi i-EMA yezikhathi ezingama-20 iqala ukukhuphuka ngenkathi ipheya ye-EUR/USD iphuka ngaphezu kwebanga layo lokuhlanganisa. Isiqondiso sethrendi nesikhathi sokungena sithembeka kakhulu lapho izinkomba ezihlukene ziqondana nephethini eyaziwa ngokuthi ukuhlangana.
Inhlanganisela yemibandela eminingi nge-Confluence yenza abathengisi banciphise ukuchayeka kwabo engozini ngokukhetha ukuhweba okufeza zonke izimo ezishiwo. Okufakiwe okudonsa emuva kuba semthethweni kakhulu lapho imigqa yethrendi ihlangana namazinga okubuyisela we-Fibonacci kanye nokuqinisekiswa kwevolumu. Ukusetha kuba nokwenzeka kakhulu uma intengo ifinyelela kuleveli engu-50% kuyilapho ilandela umugqa wethrendi okhuphukayo futhi ibonisa ivolumu ekhuphukile ngesikhathi sokugxuma.
Ukuhlaziywa kufanele kubandakanye ukuhlolwa kwezikhathi ezihlukene. Ithrendi yehora elilodwa iba ngophawuleka kakhulu uma ifana nesiqondiso sokunyakaza kwemakethe kwamahora amane noma kwansuku zonke. Inqubo yokuqinisekisa kuzo zonke izikhathi ezihlukene isiza ukunciphisa ubungozi bokungena ngesikhathi somsindo wemakethe wesikhashana.
Ukuxhumanisa ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo nokutholwa kwethrendi kudinga
Ukuhlonzwa kwethrendi kusenesikhathi kuba yimpumelelo kakhulu lapho amasiginali obuchwepheshe athola ukusekelwa okuvela ekuhlaziyweni okuyisisekelo. Idatha yezomnotho omkhulu kanye nezinqumo zebhange eliphakathi kanye nentuthuko yezwe nezombusazwe zisebenza njengezisusa ezidala izitayela emakethe. Amaphethini wobuchwepheshe athembeka kakhulu lapho abathengisi beqonda abashayeli abayisisekelo ababasekelayo ngenkathi begwema ukuhweba okungqubuzana nomuzwa wemakethe.
Lapho idatha ye-inflation yase-United States idlula izilinganiso zemakethe futhi i-Federal Reserve ikhombisa izinyathelo ezengeziwe zokuqinisa imali. I-USD iyaqina ngoba ukuqagela kwezinga lenzalo kuyalungiswa. Indawo eyisisekelo isekela ukwethembeka kwethrendi lapho ipheya ye-USD/JPY ibonisa iphethini yokuphuma kwe-bullish eshadini layo lansuku zonke. Umongo oyisisekelo usiza abathengisi ukuthi babone amandla agcwele kanye nobude besikhathi sokunyakaza kwemakethe.
Ukunyakaza kwamanani okuqalwa imicimbi ehleliwe ehlanganisa imihlangano yebhange elikhulu kanye nokukhishwa kwe-GDP nemibiko yokuqashwa kuvame ukuthuthuka kube amathrendi emakethe. Abahwebi bangathola imininingwane ebalulekile mayelana nokwenyuka kokuntengantenga okuzayo kanye nezinguquko zokuchema ngokuqapha ukukhishwa kwezomnotho okuhleliwe ngekhalenda lezomnotho.
Ukwehluka kwezinga lenzalo kubaluleke kakhulu. Inani lezinhlobo zemali liyakhuphuka lapho amazwe awo esebenzisa izilinganiso zenzalo ezikhuphukayo ikakhulukazi uma kuqhathaniswa namazwe anezinqubomgomo zezimali ezimbi. I-USD ijwayele ukuqina uma iqhathaniswa ne-euro lapho igebe lesivuno phakathi kwedola laseMelika ne-euro likhuphuka.
Ukuthuthukisa umcabango olandela izitayela
Ipheya ye-AUD/USD ibonisa ukuphakama okuphezulu nokwehla okuphezulu kuwo wonke amashadi awo amahora amane nansuku zonke. Umhwebi oqeqeshiwe ulinda intengo ukuthi ingene endaweni yokusekela noma isilinganiso esinyakazayo ngaphambi kokungena emakethe esikhundleni sokungena ngokushesha ngemva kwekhandlela le-bullish eliqinile. Ukuziphatha okunjalo kubonisa kokubili ukubekezela nokuqonda okufanele kwekhwalithi yokusetha.
Imfuneko eyinhloko yempumelelo elandelayo ifaka phakathi ukugwema imisebenzi yokuhweba eyeqisayo. Imakethe ijwayele ukuhlanganisa phakathi kokunyakaza kwayo okungalindelekile ngaleyo ndlela ukungena ngezikhathi zevolumu ephansi noma umsebenzi osemaceleni kwandisa ubungozi bokuyeka ukuphuma. Isistimu esekelwe emthethweni edinga ukuqondaniswa kwentengo kuzo zonke izikhathi nezinkomba eziningi isiza abathengisi balondoloze ukuvumelana futhi banciphise ukuchayeka ezingozini okungadingekile.
Indlela yokulandela izitayela idinga abahwebi ukuthi basungule imigomo yokusebenza engokoqobo. Amathrendi kwesinye isikhathi ayehluleka ukukhiqiza ukunyakaza kwentengo okubanzi futhi amanye amathrendi abhekana nokuhlehla kungazelelwe. Ukuhlaziywa kwesakhiwo sobuchwepheshe okuhlanganiswe nezimo zemakethe kwenza abahwebi bakwazi ukusungula ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka okuchazwe ngaphambilini kanye namazinga aqondiwe ahlinzeka kokubili ukuvikelwa kanye nemihlahlandlela ecacile yokwenza.
Isiphetho
Ukutholwa kusenesikhathi kwamathrendi e-forex kudinga kokubili ukunemba kobuchwepheshe kanye nokuqwashisa okuyisisekelo kanye nokubulawa okuqondile. Ukuthambekela okuthembekile kuhlanganisa ukunyakaza kwentengo ohlangothini olulodwa oluthola ukwesekwa okusheshayo nokuqinisekiswa kwesikhathi esimisiwe kanye nezishayeli eziyisisekelo zomnotho omkhulu. Inhlanganisela yamathuluzi ahlelekile okuhlanganisa okumaphakathi okuhambayo kanye ne-RSI ne-MACD enokuhlaziywa kwephethini yeshadi kanye nokuqinisekiswa kwevolumu nokugeleza kwezindaba kuthuthukisa ukunemba kokuhweba futhi kunciphisa ukufakwa kwemakethe okungalungile.
I-GBP/USD iphuma endaweni eyinhloko yokumelana kuyilapho okulindelwe kwezinga lenzalo kukhuphuka e-UK. Isiginali yethrendi iba namandla lapho ukunyakaza kwentengo kuqinisekiswa yi-EMA ekhuphukayo yenkathi engama-50 kanye nevolumu eyengeziwe. Inqubo yokuhlanganisa ukuqinisekiswa ngokuphindaphinda yenza abathengisi bakwazi ukuhlakulela ukuzethemba okuqinile emakhonweni abo okwenza izinqumo.
Umphumela wokuhweba uba ngofanayo uma abahwebi begwema amaphutha amathathu ajwayelekile ahlanganisa ukuhweba ngokweqile kanye nokuncika kwenkomba kanye nokuziba izikhathi ezibekelwe isikhathi eside. Umcabango olandela ithrendi osuselwe ebufakazini kunombono uholela ekusebenzeni okuzinzile futhi unciphise ukusabela kwemizwa phakathi nokuguquguquka kwemakethe.
