Eyona ndlela ilungileyo yokuhlalutya kwi-forex yorhwebo
Urhwebo lotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, okanye urhwebo lwe-forex, lubandakanya ukuthengwa kunye nokuthengiswa kweemali kwimarike yehlabathi. Ukuba yeyona marike inkulu yezemali kwihlabathi jikelele, isebenza imini nobusuku ukuxhasa urhwebo lwehlabathi kunye notyalo-mali ngokutshintshiselana ngemali. Ukuzuza impumelelo kwintengiso ye-forex kuxhomekeke kakhulu kuhlalutyo olucokisekileyo lwemarike, ukuvumela abarhwebi ukuba benze izigqibo ezifundisiweyo kunye nokuhamba ngeemarike zemali ezingalindelekanga.
Uhlalutyo lwemarike luyimfuneko kwintengiso ye-forex. Inika abarhwebi ngolwazi kwiipatheni zexabiso lemali, ukuzinza kwezoqoqosho, kunye notshintsho lwemali olunokwenzeka. Ngokuziqonda ezi zinto, abarhwebi banokucwangcisa urhwebo lwabo ukuze bathathe inzuzo yeenguqu zemarike kunye nokunciphisa umngcipheko.
Abarhwebi banezimvo ezahlukeneyo malunga "neyona ndlela yohlalutyo" exhomekeke kwiindlela zokurhweba ngabanye, ukunyamezela umngcipheko, kunye neemeko zemarike. Nangona kunjalo, ngokuyintloko igxile kwiindidi ezintathu eziphambili: uhlalutyo olusisiseko, uhlalutyo lobugcisa, kunye nohlalutyo lweemvakalelo. Indlela nganye ineenzuzo ezizodwa kwaye inokwenziwa ngokwezifiso ukuze ilingane nezicwangciso ezahlukeneyo zokurhweba.
Ukuqonda izinto ezisisiseko zohlalutyo lwemarike ye-forex
Kurhwebo lwe-forex, uhlalutyo lwemarike yindlela ehleliweyo yabathengisi ukuvavanya izinto ezahlukeneyo ezichaphazela amaxabiso emali kunye nokuxela kwangaphambili iindlela zabo zekamva. Olu hlalutyo luyimfuneko ukwenzela ukudala izicwangciso ezijolise ekuzuzeni ukuguquguquka kwimarike ye-forex. Iindlela zokuhlalutya imarike zahlulwe zaba ziindidi ezintathu eziphambili: uhlalutyo olusisiseko, uhlalutyo lobugcisa, kunye nohlalutyo lweemvakalelo.
Uhlalutyo olusisiseko luphonononga iimeko zoqoqosho, uluntu, kunye nezopolitiko eziphembelela ukuguquguquka konikezelo lwemali kunye nemfuno. Abarhwebi abasebenzisa obu buchule bahlalutya izalathisi zoqoqosho olukhulu olufana namazinga okukhula kweGDP, idatha yengqesho, kunye nezigqibo kumazinga enzala ukuqikelela ukuguquguquka kwemali.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lusebenzisa iipatheni zamanani ukusuka ekuziphatheni kweemarike, njengokutshintsha kwexabiso kunye nomthamo wokurhweba. Abarhwebi bahlalutya idatha yangaphambili, iitshathi, kunye nezixhobo zemathematika ukuqaphela iipateni kunye neendlela ezinokubonisa umsebenzi ozayo.
Uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo luvavanya indlela abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike abavakalelwa ngayo malunga nemali ethile kwaye ngokuqhelekileyo idibaniswe nezinye iindlela zokuhlalutya. Le ndlela ibandakanya ukuphonononga iindlela ezilungileyo okanye ezimbi ngokusebenzisa izikhombisi zentengiso kunye neenkcukacha zokubeka.
Uhlalutyo oluphambili
Kurhwebo lwe-forex, uhlalutyo olusisiseko lubandakanya ukuvavanya imiba yezoqoqosho, yezentlalo, kunye nezopolitiko ukumisela ixabiso lokwenyani lemali esekelwe kubonelelo kunye nemfuno. Le ndlela iqwalasela ukuba imali inokuthi ixatyiswe ngokungalunganga yimarike okwethutyana, kodwa ekugqibeleni iya kulungelelanisa ukumela ngokuchanekileyo iimeko zoqoqosho ezingezantsi.
Iimpawu ezibalulekileyo zoqoqosho oluyimfuneko kolu hlalutyo ziquka iSambuku seMveliso yeLizwe (i-GDP), amazinga emisebenzi, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukuhla kwamandla emali, ibhalansi yorhwebo, kunye nemisebenzi yebhanki enguvimba, ngokukodwa ukhetho lwenzala. Ngokomzekelo, ukunyuka kwe-GDP okanye ukuhla kwentswela-ngqesho kungabonisa ukuphucuka koqoqosho kwaye kunokubangela ukuba imali yelizwe izuze ixabiso. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuphezulu, ibhanki ephakathi inokuthatha isigqibo sokunyusa izinga lenzala, okukhokelela ekunyukeni kotyalo-mali lwangaphandle kunye nemali enamandla.
Inzuzo yohlalutyo olusisiseko lubandakanya amandla ayo okunika ingqiqo enzulu kwiintsingiselo zemarike ixesha elide kunye nemibandela yoqoqosho olukhulu oluphembelela ukuguquguquka kwemali. Nangona kunjalo, imiqobo yayo isuka kubunzima bokudibanisa izalathisi zoqoqosho kunye nokuguquguquka kokwenyani kweemarike. Ukongeza, obu buchule busenokungabi nampumelelo ekuqikeleleni utshintsho lwangoko lwamaxabiso, oluphantsi kovakalelo lwentengiso kunye noqikelelo.
Uhlalutyo technical
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha, olusetyenziswa ngokuqhelekileyo kwi-forex yorhwebo, luhlalutya idatha yemarike yangaphambili njengexabiso kunye nomthamo ukuqikelela utshintsho lwexabiso elizayo. Le ndlela isebenza phantsi kwengcinga yokuba amaxabiso sele ebandakanya lonke ulwazi lwemarike, kwaye iintsingiselo kwiinguqu zexabiso kulindeleke ukuba ziphinde zibuyele.
Ezinye zezalathi zobugcisa ezidla ngokusetyenziswa kolu hlalutyo zezi:
I-Avareji ehambayo (i-MA): Ezi zibonakaliso zidibanisa ulwazi lwexabiso ukuvelisa umgca omnye oqhubekayo, okwenza ukuba kuqatshelwe ngcono indlela yomzila. Ngokomzekelo, xa i-crossover ehambayo ehambayo iyenzeka, ihlala ibonisa utshintsho olunokwenzeka kwindlela yokuthengisa.
I-RSI isalathiso sokukhawuleza esilinganisa isantya kunye nobukhulu beenguqu zexabiso phakathi koluhlu lwe-zero ukuya kwi-100. Ngokuqhelekileyo, i-RSI ephezulu kune-70 ibonisa iimeko ezigqithisiweyo, ngelixa inqanaba elingaphantsi kwe-30 libonisa iimeko ezithengiswa kakhulu.
Isalathisi se-MACD sibala uxhulumaniso phakathi kwee-avareji ezimbini zexabiso lemali ehambayo, ukuncedisa ekuboniseni amathuba okurhweba okunokwenzeka.
Iipateni kwiitshathi, ezinjengentloko namagxa, oonxantathu, kunye neeflegi, zizalathisi ezibalulekileyo njengoko zibonakalisa ukuqhubela phambili kweemarike okanye ukuguqulwa.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lunenzuzo kuba lunokusetyenziselwa ukurhweba kwexesha elifutshane kunye nokuvelisa iimpawu ezingabonakaliyo zokuthenga nokuthengisa. Nangona kunjalo, iintsilelo zayo zibalulekile, njengoko inokuvelisa imiqondiso engachanekanga ngamanye amaxesha kwaye isoloko igwetywe ngokuxhomekeka kakhulu kutshintsho lwamaxabiso oludlulileyo, olunokuthi lungasoloko luqikelela utshintsho oluzayo ngokuchanekileyo.
Uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo
Uvavanyo lweemvakalelo jikelele zabatyali-mali ngokubhekiselele kwimali ethile okanye isibini semali ibizwa ngokuba kuhlalutyo lweemvakalelo kurhwebo lwe-forex. Obu buchule buvavanya ukuba ngaba abarhwebi ubukhulu becala balungile (balindele ukuba amaxabiso anyuke) okanye ambi (amaxabiso alindele ukuhla). Ukufumana ingqiqo kwintengiso yentengiso kubalulekile njengoko kunokutyhila ulwazi oluxabisekileyo malunga notshintsho lwamaxabiso olunokuthi lungabonakali kunye nohlalutyo lwemveli olusisiseko okanye lobugcisa.
Abarhwebi bahlala bephonononga izikhombisi ezininzi ukuvavanya uluvo lwentengiso:
Ulwazi malunga nezikhundla, ezifana neengxelo zokuZibophelela kwabaRhwebi (COT), bonisa izithuba ezinde okanye ezimfutshane zenani labarhwebi abahlukeneyo.
Idatha yemarike evela kwiinketho inokubonisa ukuba imarike ilindele ntoni malunga nokuguquguquka okuzayo kunye neentshukumo zamaxabiso.
Amagqabantshintshi ngemarike kunye nohlalutyo lweendaba lunamandla okubonisa iimvakalelo zabathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike kunye nefuthe kukhetho lorhwebo.
Izixhobo ezenzelwe ngokukodwa uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo ziquka izalathisi zeemvakalelo kunye nee-algorithms ezikhethekileyo ezihlalutya iintloko zeendaba kunye neendaba zoluntu ukuvelisa amanqaku eemvakalelo. Ezi zixhobo ziqokelela iimbono ezidityanisiweyo zabahwebi kunye nabatyali-mali, zinika umbono wentengiso yentengiso nangawuphi na umzuzu.
Uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo lunenzuzo kuba lunokusebenza njengesalathisi esichaseneyo; xa ukufundwa kweemvakalelo kugqithise, kunokubonisa ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka kweemarike. Nangona kunjalo, i-subjectivity kunye nokubakho kweenguqu ngesiquphe kwizimvo ezingacacanga kwimithombo yedatha eqhelekileyo ziphakathi kwemiqobo yazo.
Uhlalutyo lokuthelekisa
Ukuvavanya ukusebenza kakuhle kweendlela ezahlukeneyo zokuhlalutya kwintengiso ye-forex kufuna ukuvavanya ukuhambelana kwazo kunye neemeko ezithile zemarike, izitayela zokurhweba, kunye neenjongo zomthengisi. Uhlalutyo olusisiseko luluncedo kakhulu kutyalo-mali lwexesha elide, njengoko luphenjelelwa yimikhwa yezoqoqosho kunye notshintsho lomgaqo-nkqubo olumisela ukunyakaza kweemarike. Kwi-flip side, uhlalutyo lobugcisa luyathandwa kurhwebo lwexeshana elifutshane kuba luyakwazi ukucacisa ngokukhawuleza ukunyakaza kweemarike usebenzisa iitshathi kunye neepateni zedatha yembali. Uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo luluncedo ekubambeni uluvo lwentengiso, ngakumbi ngamaxesha okuguquguquka okanye ukungaqiniseki.
Kwimeko apho umrhwebi azuze isibhengezo esibalulekileyo sezoqoqosho, uhlalutyo olusisiseko lubonise ukuba ezi zibhengezo zinokuchaphazela njani amandla emali. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, umthengisi wezobugcisa unokusebenzisa iipatheni zeetshathi ukwenza urhwebo olukhawulezayo olusekelwe kwiintshukumo ezilindelekileyo zexesha elifutshane emva kweendaba ezinjalo.
Abarhwebi bakhetha eyona ndlela ifanelekileyo ngokuyithelekisa nezicwangciso zabo zokurhweba kunye neenjongo. Umrhwebi oyilumkeleyo imingcipheko kwaye efuna imbuyekezo engaguqukiyo unokuthembela ekusebenziseni uhlalutyo olusisiseko, ngelixa umrhwebi wosuku ogxile ekwenzeni inzuzo ekhawulezayo angakhetha uhlalutyo lobugcisa. Abarhwebi abathile abanamava badibanisa iindlela ezintathu zokuphuhlisa isicwangciso esibanzi sokurhweba esilungelelanisa neemeko zemarike kunye nokunyamezela komngcipheko ngamnye.
Le ndlela yokuthelekisa igxininisa ukubaluleka kwesicwangciso sokurhweba esiguquguqukayo, esilungiselelwe kwizinto ezikhethwa ngumntu kunye neemeko zemarike, ukuphucula ukwenziwa kwezigqibo kunye neenzuzo ezinokubakho kwimarike ye-forex engalindelekanga.
Ukudibanisa iindlela ezininzi zohlalutyo
Ukudityaniswa kwesiseko, ubugcisa, kunye nohlalutyo lweemvakalelo kunokuphucula kakhulu izicwangciso zokurhweba nge-forex, ukubonelela ngombono ocacileyo wemarike. Le ndlela idityanisiweyo ifumana amandla kumandla ngamnye ngelixa inciphisa imida yazo, ikhokelela ekukhetheni urhwebo olunolwazi olungcono nolujikelezileyo.
Izinto eziluncedo zokuhlanganisa iindlela zokuhlalutya ziquka:
Ukuchaneka okuphuculweyo: Ukudibanisa uhlalutyo olusisiseko lweentsingiselo zexesha elide kunye nohlalutyo lobuchwephesha lokungena kunye namanqaku okuphuma kunokuphucula ukuchaneka kwentelekelelo yabathengisi. Ukubandakanya uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo kunokuphucula la maqhinga ngokubhentsisa utyekelo lweemvakalelo lwentengiso, olunokuthi lulindele utshintsho olunokuthi lubonwe yidatha yemveli.
Ukunciphisa umngcipheko kufezekiswa ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo zokuhlalutya ezinikezela ngeembono ezahlukeneyo malunga nokutshintshwa kweemarike ezinokubakho, ukuncedisa abahwebi ekuboneni iimpawu zobuxoki okanye amathuba alahlekileyo, ekugqibeleni banciphise ingozi.
Ukuguquguquka: Abahwebi banokuhlengahlengisa izicwangciso zabo zokurhweba ngokukhawuleza ekuphenduleni utshintsho lwezoqoqosho ngokukhawuleza okanye iziganeko zeendaba ezinokuchaphazela imarike, ngenxa yeendlela ezininzi.
Ukukhetha eyona ndlela ifanelekileyo kwiimfuno zakho
Ukukhetha eyona ndlela yohlalutyo yorhwebo lwe-forex ixhomekeke kakhulu kwizinto ezikhethwa ngumrhwebi, iinjongo, kunye neemeko zangaphandle. Ukuqonda le miba kunokuncedisa ekwenzeni indlela yokuhlalutya ehambelana kakuhle neemfuno zomntu ngamnye, ukwandisa amathuba okufumana iziphumo zorhwebo eziyimpumelelo.
Izinto ekufuneka uzigcine engqondweni zezi:
Isicwangciso sokurhweba: Ngaba ungumrhwebi wexesha elifutshane onenjongo yokuzuza ngokukhawuleza, okanye umtyali-mali wexesha elide ogxile kwiipatheni zezoqoqosho ezibanzi? Abarhwebi bexesha elifutshane bahlala bekhetha uhlalutyo lobugcisa ngenxa yokuqonda ngokukhawuleza kwizenzo zexabiso, ngelixa uhlalutyo olusisiseko luthandwa ngabahwebi bexesha elide.
Ixesha elimiselweyo: Ukhetho lwakho lokuhlalutya luphenjelelwa lixesha oceba ukurhweba ngalo ngaphakathi. Abarhwebi bexesha elifutshane banokubona inzuzo engakumbi kuhlalutyo lobuchwephesha, ngelixa abantu abanesakhelo sexesha elide banokuthembela kuhlalutyo olusisiseko ukuvavanya iintshukumo zexesha elizayo.
Amandla entengiso: Iimarike ezingazinzanga zinokuba luncedo ekusebenziseni uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo kunye nezalathi zobugcisa zokubona ukuguquguquka okukhawulezileyo, ngelixa iimarike ezizinzileyo zinokuhambelana ngakumbi nohlalutyo olusisiseko.
isiphelo
Iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokuhlalutya zikhona kwintengiso ye-forex, nganye ibonelela ngeembono ezahlukileyo kwiimarike kunye nezenzo zomthengisi. Uhlalutyo olusisiseko lubandakanya ukuvavanywa ngokucokisekileyo kwezalathi zoqoqosho kunye nefuthe lazo kumaxabiso emali ekuhambeni kwexesha. Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lusebenzisa iipatheni kwiintshukumo zexabiso ukuqikelela iindlela ezizayo, okwenza kube ngokufanelekileyo kwizicwangciso zokurhweba zexesha elifutshane. Uhlalutyo lweemvakalelo lubonelela ngokuqonda kwintengiso yentengiso, inika ulwaleko olubalulekileyo lokuqonda olunokuthi luqikelele utshintsho oluqhutywa ziimvakalelo zabarhwebi.
Ukuzama iindlela ezahlukeneyo zobuchule kucetyiswa ngamandla. Impumelelo yawo wonke umrhwebi kwimarike ye-forex kaninzi ixhomekeke ekuchongeni indibaniselwano egqibeleleyo yezi zicwangciso ezihambelana nokukhethwa kwazo kunye neenjongo zokurhweba. Ukusebenzisa indibaniselwano yobuchule kunokubangela amaqhinga orhwebo anamandla kwaye ahlala ixesha elide, alungele ngakumbi ukukhangela izinto ezintsonkothileyo kunye nokungaqiniseki kwemarike ye-forex.
