Yintoni i-Elliott Wave kwi-Forex Trading

Ithiyori ka-Elliott Wave yaphuhliswa nguRalph Nelson Elliott emva phayaa ngeminyaka yee-1930. Ucelomngeni kwinkolelo eyamkelweyo ngexesha lokuba iimarike zezemali beziphethe ngokuhamba ngokungenangqondo kunye nokungahambelani.

U-Elliott wayekholelwa ukuba uluvo kunye nengqondo zezona ziqhubi zibalaseleyo kunye nefuthe ekuziphatheni kwentengiso. Ke ngoko, ngokokubona kwakhe, kunokwenzeka ukufumana imarike kunye neepateni.

Kwiminyaka engamashumi alithoba emva kokufunyanwa kwakhe, abarhwebi abaninzi babeka ukholo kwithiyori kaElliott. Apha siza kuthetha ngemiba yomgaqo we-Elliott Wave, kubandakanya nokusetyenziswa kweemarike zanamhlanje ezihamba ngokukhawuleza.

Isiseko se-Elliott Wave Theory

Ithiyori ye-Elliott Wave yindlela yohlalutyo lobuchwephesha ekhangela ukuphindaphindeka kweepateni zexabiso zexesha elide ezinxulumene notyalo mali kunye notshintsho lwengqondo.

Ithiyori ichonga iintlobo ezimbini zamaza. Eyokuqala ibizwa ngokuba ngamaza okushukuma aseta ipateni yendlela-elandelwa ngamaza okulungisa aphikisana nentsingiselo esezantsi.

Iseti nganye yamaza iqulethwe ngaphakathi kwiqela elibanzi lamaza anamathele kwimpembelelo efanayo okanye kwipateni yokulungisa.

Iziseko ze-Elliott Wave

• U-Elliott ucebise ukuba amaxabiso e-asethi yemali ahambele phambili ngenxa yengqondo yabatyali mali.
• Watsho ukuba ukutshintsha kwengqondo ngobuninzi kuqhubeka ukuphindaphinda kwiipateni ezifanayo zamaza (okanye amaza) kwiimarike zezemali.
• Ithiyori ka-Elliott yayifana ne-Dow ithiyori njengoko zombini zibonisa amaxabiso esitokhwe ahamba kumaza.
• Nangona kunjalo, u-Elliott wangena nzulu ngokuchonga indlela yokuziphatha kwiimarike, emvumela ukuba asebenzise uhlalutyo olunzulu.
• Iifractals zizinto zemathematika, eziphindaphindayo eziphindaphindayo kwinqanaba lokuncipha.
• U-Elliott ubanga iipateni zamaxabiso kwiiasethi ezinje ngee-indices zesitokhwe ziziphatha ngendlela efanayo.
• Uye wacebisa ukuba ezi ndlela ziphindaphindayo zinokuqikelela ukuhamba kweemarike ezizayo.

Uqikelelo lwentengiso kusetyenziswa iipateni zamaza

U-Elliott ubala uqikelelo lwentengiso yakhe yesitokhwe ngokusekwe kwiimpawu azibonileyo kwiipateni zamaza.

Umtsalane wakhe, ohamba kwicala elinye kunye nentsingiselo enkulu, unamaza amahlanu kwipateni yawo.

Kwelinye icala, iliza lokulungisa lihamba kwelinye icala lesimo esiphambili.

U-Elliot uchonge amanye amaza amahlanu ngaphakathi kwamaza anyanzelisayo, kwaye wathi le patheni iyaziphinda kwi-infinity ngamaxabiso amancinci amancinci.

U-Elliott wafumanisa olu lwakhiwo lweefalty kwiimarike zezemali kwii-1930s, kodwa kwathatha amashumi eminyaka ukuba izazinzulu ziqaphele le nto njengee-fractal kwaye ziyisebenzise ngokwemathematika.

Kwiimarike zezemali, siyazi ukuba yintoni enyukayo ekugqibeleni iyehla. Nokuba phezulu okanye ezantsi, intshukumo yamaxabiso kufuneka ihlale ilandelwa sisindululo esichaseneyo.

Intshukumo yamaxabiso kuzo zonke iifom zayo inokwahlulwa phakathi kwezinto kunye nokulungiswa. Umkhwa ubonakalisa olona lwalathiso lwexabiso, ngelixa isigaba sokulungisa sihamba ngokuchasene nentsingiselo esezantsi.

Isicelo sethiyori ye-Elliott

Sinokulichitha i-Elliott Wave ngolu hlobo.

• Amaza amahlanu ahamba kwicala lenkqubela phambili, elandelwa ngamaza amathathu kulungiso (iyonke kukuhamba okungu-5-3).
• Ukuhamba kwe-5-3 kuyahlulahlulwa kushukuma oluphezulu olulandelayo.
• Umzekelo ophantsi we-5-3 uhlala uhlala uhleli, kodwa ixesha leliza ngalinye lingahluka.
• Xa zizonke, ufumana amaza asibhozo, amahlanu phezulu, amathathu ezantsi.

Ukwenziwa kwamaza okunyanzelwa, kulandelwa lilungu lokulungisa, lenza umgaqo we-Elliott Wave oquka imikhwa kunye nokuphambana.

Amaza amahlanu akasoloko esiya phezulu, kwaye la maza mathathu akasoloko esihla esihla. Xa imeko yenqanaba elikhulu isezantsi, ukulandelelana kwamaza amahlanu kunokuhla.

Iidigri ze-Elliott Wave

U-Elliott uchonge amadigri alithoba amaza, kwaye wawalebhelisha ukusuka kwelona likhulu ukuya kwelona lincinci:

1. Umjikelo weSuper Super
2. Umjikelo oMkhulu
3. Uhambo
4. EziPrayimari
5. Phakathi
6. Omncinci
7. Mzuzu
8. Umzuzu
9. Inkqutyana Minuette

Ngenxa yokuba amaza e-Elliott angamaqhekeza, iidigri zokutsala zinokwanda ngokwenyani nangakumbi nangaphezulu kunoluhlu olungentla.

Ingcamango elula yokuthengisa i-forex usebenzisa i-Elliott Wave Theory

Umrhwebi unokuchonga umtshangatshangiso ohamba phezulu kwaye uhambe ixesha elide ukusebenzisa ithiyori kuthengiso lwemihla ngemihla lwe-forex.

Emva koko baya kuthengisa okanye banciphise indawo njengoko ipateni igqibezela amaza ayo amahlanu, iphakamisa ukuba ukubuyela umva kusondele.

 Ngaba u-Elliott Wave uyasebenza kurhwebo lwe-forex?

Umgaqo we-Elliott Wave unabazinikeli bawo kunye nabagxeki njengazo zonke ezinye iindlela zohlalutyo.

Kungenxa yokuba iimarike zinokuhlalutywa ziye kwinqanaba le-granular fractal azenzi ukuba iimarike zezemali ziqikeleleke zisebenzisa i-Elliott Wave.

Ii-Fractals zikhona kwindalo, kodwa oko akuthethi ukuba nabani na unokuqikelela ukukhula kwesityalo okanye i-100% inokuthenjwa xa urhweba ngezibini zemali zangaphambili.

Iingcali zethiyori zihlala zihlala zigxeka ukulahleka kwazo ekufundeni kwazo iitshathi okanye indlela yokuziphatha engacaciswanga kunye nengalindelekanga endaweni yobuthathaka kwi-Elliott Wave theory.

Abahlalutyi kunye nabarhwebi banokukufumanisa kunzima ukuqaphela amaza athile kwiitshathi zabo, nokuba ngawaphi amaxesha abawasebenzisayo.

Izicwangciso zeElliot Wave

Kukho imigaqo ethe ngqo emayilandelwe ukubalwa kwe-Elliott Wave ukuze iqinisekiswe:

• I-Wave 2 akufuneki iphinde ibuye ngaphezulu kwe-100% ye-wave 1.
• I-Wave 4 akufuneki iphinde ibuye ngaphezulu kwe-100% ye-wave 3.
• I-Wave 3 kufuneka ihambe ngaphaya kokuphela kwe-wave 1, kwaye ayikaze ibe yeyona imfutshane.

Ukuba intshukumo yamaza ezintlanu ichazwe ngokucacileyo, sinokuchonga iipateni ezahlukeneyo zokulungisa.

Iipateni zokulungisa ziza ngeendlela ezi-2: izilungiso ezibukhali kunye nezilungiso ezisecaleni kuba iipateni zihlelwa ngokweendidi ezintathu eziphambili: iflethi, zig-zag kunye nonxantathu. Ke, makhe sixoxe ngokwamahlelo amathathu ngokweenkcukacha.

I-Elliott Wave Flat Pattern

Ipateni ethe tyaba ye-Elliott Wave ibonwa ngeendlela ezintathu, rhoqo, eyandisiweyo kunye nokusebenza. Le patheni ihamba ngokuchasene nolwalathiso lwendlela ephambili, ebonakalayo ekupheleni komjikelo. Abahwebi balindele ukuqhubekeka kwamaza kunye nokukhula kwicala lesiseko.

Makhe ngoku sigxile kwipateni yesiqhelo yokulungisa ngokuthe tyaba ebonwa kwii-uptrends. Imigaqo ephambili ipatheni ye-Elliott Wave ekufuneka ilandelwe kule fomu zezi:

• I-Wave B ihlala ime ngxi kwindawo yokuqala yentshukumo A.
• Ukuba kukho ikhefu elingaphezulu kweli nqanaba, sineflethi engaqhelekanga okanye eyandisiweyo.
• I-Wave C ihlala igqobhoza ezantsi kwendawo yokugqibela A.

Umzekelo we-Elliott Wave Zig-Zag

Iphethini ye-Elliott Wave zig-zag sisakhiwo samaza amathathu abhalwe i-ABC yahlulwe yangamaza ama-5-3-5 amaza amancinane.

• Omabini amaza A no-C ahlelwa njengamaza angxamisekileyo, ngelixa amaza B engumbane olungisayo.
• I-Wave C ngokubanzi ihamba umgama ofanayo kwixabiso njengombane A.
• Ngokuqhelekileyo ikhula kumaza 2 womjikelo we-5-wave.

Unxantathu we-Elliott Wave

Ipateni yokugqibela yipateni yonxantathu eluhlobo lwentshukumo yecala elide emarikeni.

Le patheni ihlala ibonakala rhoqo kumaza 4 omjikelo we-5-wave.

Makhe sihlalutye le mithetho ilandelayo kufuneka iqinisekise unxantathu onyukayo, oya kuthi umiselwe xa kusenziwa ezi patheni zilandelayo.

• Unxantathu ubonakalisa ngokucacileyo ipateni yomtshangatshangiso yeABCDE.
• Iliza ngalinye lahlulahlulwa laba ngamaza ama-3 amaqondo amancinane ngakumbi.
• A yincopho yoqobo, emva koko u-B uya kuba yincopho entsha ephezulu.
• Emva kokuba iB ifikelelwe, kuyenziwa ipatheni yokulungisa amaza.
• C iba liphantsi elishicilelweyo kuthotho, ngaphantsi koqobo lwencopho A.

Isishwankathelo, i-Elliott Wave Theory / Umgaqo awulunganga okanye mbi kunezinye izixhobo ezininzi zohlalutyo lobugcisa onazo.

Kuya kunceda ukuba uthathe ibhodi ukuba ithiyori yaphuhliswa phantse kwinkulungwane eyadlulayo ngumhlalutyi owacebisa ukuba uyisebenzise kumaxesha esonto nangenyanga.

Ukungazinzi okubonwe kwiimarike kunye nevolumu yokurhweba ngelo xesha yayiliqhezu loko sinako namhlanje.

Uninzi lwabalandeli bethiyori ka-Elliott banokucebisa ukuba umbono unokwethembeka ngakumbi kwiimarike ezixakekileyo zanamhlanje kuba iipateni kufuneka zichazwe ngakumbi. Kwaye ngeendlela ezithile, baya kuba belungile. Uvakalelo lweMarike ngumqhubi obalulekileyo wentsebenzo yamaxabiso kuzo zonke iimarike zezemali.

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