CHIKONYANISO ANALYSIS - Chidzidzo 8
Muchidzidzo chino iwe uchadzidza:
- Chii chinonzi Technical Analysis
- Idzidziso dzinokosha dzekutsvaga mikana yekutengesa
- Nhanganyaya kuZvitsigiri uye Nhamba dzekuramba
Chirongwa chekugadzirisa, sopesana neKunzverwa kweShoko rekutanga, chinonyanya kukoshesa mutengo wedhidhi chati. Zvinotora kufunga nezvekukura, kutama kwemutengo uye chimiro chemusika, kuitira kuti uwane maitiro anotungamirira kune zvinogoneka.
Kuti uwane shanduro yekuongorora, mumwe munhu anofanira kukwanisa kuziva mapeji uye kukudziridza chivimbo mune nhamba yepamusoro. Kuongorora kwekwenyanzvi kwakavakirwa pamutemo mukuru wekufamba, kunyange zvakadaro kune mamwe matatu matatu mazano anoshandiswa mukutsanangurira mikana yekutengesa:
- Misika inodhura zvinhu zvose
- Mutengo unofamba mumatsika
- Nhoroondo inodzokorora
Misika inodhura zvinhu zvose
Zvinorehwa nemutongo uyu ndeyekuti, chero chinhu chipi nechipi chinokanganisa mutengo unoratidzirwa mumutengo, kusanganisira zvakakosha, zvakadai sehupfumi uye zvematongerwe enyika, kupa uye kudiwa, zvakadaro. Zvisinei, kuongorora kwekwenyanzvi hakurevi pamusana pekuchinja kwemutengo , asi kukwira kumusoro kana pasi kwenhamba chaiyo yemusika.
Mutengo Unofamba muTendas
Uyu ndiwo mutemo unokosha semutengo wemitengo. Trend analysis ndiyo chikamu chinokosha cheUkodzero yekuongorora, nekuda kwekuti inogona kupa hutungamiri huripo hwetengo, uchifunga kuti yemusika uri mukufambisa mamiriro akawanda nguva. Nokudaro, chiitiko chichafamba mumutengo wekutengo kana kuti chichava munzira yechipfuva (hapana nzira yakajeka inowanikwa).
Nhoroondo Inopfuurira Izvo
Iyi nheyo inotaura nezvepfungwa dzevanhu, iyo inotaura kuti vanhu havazoshanduki maitiro avo. Mune mamwe mazwi, vanhu vanowanzovimba nenyaya yekare vachidzokorora ivo pachavo, vachitenda kuti maitiro akasiyana-siyana mumataiti kana zvimwe zviito zvakaitika munguva yakapfuura zvichaitika munguva yemberi pamwe chete. Zvinyorwa zvine chimiro chekuumba maumbirwo akamboitika kare uye kuongorora maitiro apfuura anobatsira vatengesi kuti vagone kufanotaura kutungamira kwemashamba.
Mukuwedzera kune zvinyorwa zvitsanangudzo zvakambotaurwa kare, Vaongorori vezvesayenzi vanoshandisawo rubatsiro nekusimbisa mazinga, anozivikanwawo sepivot points.
Sangano rekutsigira ndiro chiyero pamutengo upi unowanzowana kuwana rubatsiro apo inowira. Izvi zvinogona kureva kuti mutengo unowanzoita kuti urege kubva pane iyi, kusiyana nekuputsa. Zvisinei, kana mutengo wakanganisa chiyero ichi, nechiyero chakakura, zvino chinogona kuramba chichiwa kusvikira pachinge chimwe chikwata chekutsigira.
Nhamba yekudzivirira inongopesana nedhigiriro rutsigiro; mutengo unowedzera kuwana chikonzero apo unomuka. Zvakare, izvi zvinoreva kuti mutengo wacho unowanzoita kuti urege kubvisa pahutano ichi kusiyana nekuputsa. Zvisinei, kana mutengo wakaputsa iyi yezinga, nehuwandu hunokosha, saka hunogona kuramba huchikwira kusvikira huchinge imwe nhare yekuramba. Dzidziso ndeyokuti kazhinji rubatsiro uye kana kuti kudzivirira kuongororwa (kugunzwa uye kubviswa pamutengo), kukosha kunopiwa kune iyo chaiyo yepamusoro kana mutengo uchipfuura.
Kana mutengo uri kufamba pakati pekusimbisa nekusimudzira maitiro, ipapo imwe nzira yekutsvaga mari inowanzoshandiswa nevatengesi, ndeyokutenga pakutsigirwa uye kutengesa pakurwisana, uye pfupi pakurwisana uye kuvhara pfupi pakutsigirwa. Muchidimbu kana mutengo ukasara pamusoro peR1 unofungidzirwa kuti mamiriro ekutengeserana emabhizimusi aripo, kana mutengo ukasara pasi peS1, ipapo zvigaro zviripo zviripo.
Kune zvikamu zvitatu zvakajairika zvinotsigirwa nekusimbiswa, zvisizvo mumwe nomumwe anotaridzirwa seanowedzera zvakanyanya. R3 uye S3 hazviwanikwi kakawanda pazuva rekutengeserana seR1 uye S1, iyo inogona kuputswa nguva dzose. Mutemo unorwadza wechigunwe ndeyekuti R3 kana S3 inorohwa iyo inomiririra kudarika 1% mutengo wekutengesa, kuti mari yechikwata ichifambise zvakanyanya muzuva rekutengeserana hazviwanzoitiki.
Kune maitiro mazhinji vatengesi vanoshandisa kushandisa kushandiswa nekusimbiswa chete uye kune vatengesi vekutsvaga iyo nzira yekutengesa inopa mamwe mikana yakanaka kwazvo yekudzidza nzira yekutengesa, kunyanya mubazi re Forex. Semuyenzaniso; kungozvitenga chete kana kupfuura R1 kupikisa uye kutengesa pane kana pasi peS1 kutsigira, inopa chikonzero chakanaka chekuita zvisarudzo; isu tinongotora kutenga bhizimusi pamusoro pekumanikidzwa (mu bullish conditions) uye kutengesa mu bearish conditions. Isu tingashandisa mazinga ekutsigirwa uye kushorwa kunzvimbo nzvimbo dzedu, tichifunga nezvehuwandu hwedu hwemamiriro ekusimudzira.
