PHUNZIRO LA CHIKHULUPIRIRO - Phunziro 7
Mu phunziro ili mudzaphunzira:
- Chofunika Kwambiri Kufufuza
- Kodi kuchuluka kwa deta zachuma kumakhudza bwanji msika
Kusanthula kwakukulu kungafotokozedwe kuti ndi "njira yowunika chitetezo, poyesa kuyeza mtengo wake, pofufuza zokhudzana ndi zachuma, zachuma ndi zina zomwe zimayendera komanso zowonjezera." Mwachidule, malonda a forex anali okhudzidwa; timayang'ana pazomwe zimakhudza zachuma komanso zazing'ono zachuma za dziko kapena dera linalake, pofuna kukhazikitsa ndalama zake, kuphatikizapo ndalama zina.
Zolemba Zosiyana za Kusanthula Kwambiri
Pali malongosoledwe ofunikira omwe amalonda a novice akuyenera kuti adziwe bwino za malonda ogulitsa ndi zomwe zatulutsidwa; kufalitsa mwina: kuphonya, kumenya, kapena kubwera monga akuneneratu. Ngati "saphonya zamtsogolo", zomwe zimakhudza dziko loyenera nthawi zambiri zimakhala zoyipa. Ngati "igunda zolosera", zimawerengedwa kuti ndi zabwino kwa ndalama poyerekeza ndi anzawo. Ngati deta ibwera monga momwe akunenera, ndiye kuti zotsatirazi zitha kusinthidwa, kapena kusinthidwa. Zina mwazambiri zachuma zomwe zingakhudze kwambiri misika yazachuma ndi izi:
- Ulova ntchito ndi nambala za ntchito
- Mawerengero a kuwonjezeka
- GDP
Ulova Ntchito ndi Numeri za Ntchito
Mwachitsanzo, tigwiritsira ntchito ntchito ya boma la USA kuntchito komanso deta. Makamaka ndalama zambiri zomwe sizinalipire malipoti, zomwe zimatha kusuntha misika, ngati deta yosindikizidwa ikugunda, kapena ikusowa. Tidzagwiritsanso ntchito mwina, koma manambala, kuti tiwone momwe deta ingatanthauzire ndi osunga ndalama.
Choyamba, sabata lililonse la malonda, kawirikawiri pa Lachinayi, timalandira chiwerengero cha mlungu ndi mlungu cha ntchito zaposachedwa za ntchito ndi zowonjezera zomwe zimachokera ku BLS; ofesi ya antchito. Zomwe zaposachedwa pa sabata lapitayi zikhoza kukhala 250k, zazikulu kuposa masabata a 230k apitayo ndipo zikusowa zowonongeka za 235k. Kupitiliza zotsutsa kungakhale kwatuluka kuchokera ku 1450k kupita ku 1500k, komanso kumasowa chonchi. Mabukuwa ndi omwe angakhudzidwe kwambiri ndi ndalama za US Dollar. Mwachidziwikire zotsatirazi zidzachepetsedwa, malingana ndi kuuma kwa akusowa.
Chachiwiri; deta yotchuka ya NFP imasindikizidwa kamodzi pamwezi, imayembekezeredwa mwachidwi chifukwa nthawi zambiri imakhudza kwambiri mtengo wa US Dollar. Komabe, ziyenera kudziwika kuti kukhudzidwa kwa dongosololi sikutsika posachedwa (2017) kuposa zaka zam'mbuyomu. Mavuto azachuma atangobwera kuchokera ku 2007-2009 komanso munthawi yomwe zidatsogolera, kuchuluka kwa ntchito zokhudzana ndi NFP nthawi zambiri kumakhala kovuta kwambiri, chifukwa chake mayendedwe amitundu iwiri monga: GPB / USD, USD / JPY ndi EUR / USD zinali zazikulu. Pakadali pano ziwerengero za NFP zosindikizidwa nthawi zambiri zimakhala zolimba, chifukwa chake mayendedwe akulu awiriawiri azachuma ndi ochepa kwambiri.
Zowonjezera Zowonjezera
Pali ziwerengero zambiri zowonjezera kutuluka kwa ndalama zomwe zimafalitsidwa ndi mabungwe a boma, monga ONS ku UK ONS (maiko a boma) amalembetsa maiko a UK inflation mwezi uliwonse. Otsatirawo amafalitsa chiwerengero monga malipiro a kupuma kwa ndalama, maiko okhudzidwa ndi kutengapo mtengo komanso kutengapo mitengo kwapanyumba, koma CPI imawoneka kuti ndiyo yowonjezera kapena yowonjezereka mwezi ndi mwezi (YoY). Timagwiritsa ntchito anthu a ku Britain omwe ali otsika mtengo monga chitsanzo, chifukwa pakali pano (2017), kupuma kwapadera ndi nkhani yaikulu ku UK.
Kutsika kwazako kunayambika posachedwa ku UK kuchokera pa chiwerengero cha 0.2% mu 2016, ku 2.9% mu gawo loyamba la 2017. Kuwonjezeka kumeneku kwachititsa kuti lingaliro loti mabanki apakati a UK (BoE), kudzera mu komiti ya ndondomeko ya ndalama, adzakakamizika kukweza chiwongoladzanja cha chiwongoladzanja. Kupuma kwadzidzidzi kwadzidzidzi kwachitika chifukwa cha chisankho cha UK referendum kuchoka ku EU. Sterling inagwirizana kwambiri ndi anzako enieni (euro ndi dola) kwambiri ndipo ngakhale posachedwa kuchira, akadali pano pafupi. 15% poyerekeza ndi anzawo onse kuyambira June 2016. Ndipo muchuma pafupifupi 70% kudalira wogula amatha, ndi malonda ndi malingaliro pokhala madalaivala ofunikira, zotsatira za kugwa kwa sterling pa chuma zakhala zovuta. Ogulitsa tsopano (Q2 2017) akuwonetsa kugulitsa kugulitsa (kokha kwa 0.9% pachaka), kuphuka kwa malipiro kukugwa; Pokhapokha ku 1.9% chaka ndi chaka, pamene GDP ya UK (zovuta zapakhomo) za Q1 za 2017 zinali 0.2%, zochepa kwambiri m'mayiko a 28 omwe amapanga EU.
Ngati kutsika kwa ndalama kukubwera patsogolo kwambiri pazomwe zakhala zikuchitika, akatswiri ndi mabanki amatha kumvetsera mwatcheru nkhani zochokera ku UK BoE, kuti aone ngati banki yayikulu idzawongolera mitengo kuti iwonetsere kutsika kwa mitengo, choncho pound sterling idzauka ndi anzawo. Otsatsa malonda angathenso kutanthauzira amphongo, kapena kumenya kwakukulu, monga chifukwa choti apite nthawi yaitali kapena aperekere ndalama.
GDP
Ofufuza ndi oyendetsa ndalama nthawi zonse amawunika mosamala zolemba za GDP kuchokera ku mayiko osiyanasiyana kapena m'madera osiyanasiyana, kuti athe kukhazikitsa ubwino wachuma wa wofalitsa. Zotulutsidwazo zimafalitsidwa ndi dipatimenti za boma ndi deta ya GDP nthawi zambiri amatchedwa deta yovuta; Ndikofunika kwambiri kumasulidwa kwapamwamba kuti ngati kuliphonya kapena kugunda zowonongeka, kuli ndi mphamvu yosuntha zamakono, zamtengo wapatali ndi malonda ofanana.
Zokwanira zapakhomo (GDP) ndizoyesa ndalama zamtengo wapatali wa malonda ndi mautumiki omwe amapangidwa m'nthawi, makamaka ndi mayiko, mosiyana ndi chiwerengero cha dziko lonse, kapena GDP ya continent; pachaka kapena chaka. Chosiyana ndi ichi ndi GDP ya Eurozone, yomwe yapasulidwa ku mayiko ena, koma kuwerenganso kumapangidwira ku GDP imodzi yokha GDP.
Kuwerengera kwa GDP kotchulidwa kotero kumagwiritsidwa ntchito pofuna kudziwa momwe chuma chonse cha dziko lonse lapansi, kapena dera, chikuloleza, olola akatswiri ndi ochita malonda kupanga zofananitsa padziko lonse. GDP yosankhidwa ndi munthu aliyense ali ndi vuto lalikulu lalikulu, mochuluka momwe silikuwonetsera kusiyana kwenikweni kwa mtengo wa moyo ndi chiwerengero cha kuchepa kwa maiko, kapena zigawo. Ichi ndichifukwa chake akatswiri ambiri azachuma amakonda kugwiritsa ntchito maziko a GDP kwa munthu amene amatchedwa "kugula mphamvu" (PPP), chifukwa ndizofunikira kwambiri komanso zowona pamene akuyesa kuyerekezera kusiyana kwa miyoyo pakati pa mayiko osiyanasiyana.
Ntchito yaikulu ya GDP kwa munthu aliyense, ikagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati chisonyezero choyenera cha miyoyo ya anthu m'madera osiyanasiyana ndi mayiko osiyanasiyana, ndikuti imayesedwa kawirikawiri, mobwerezabwereza komanso mofanana. Amayesedwa kawirikawiri komanso palimodzi; maiko ambiri amapereka mauthenga a GDP pa maola atatu, ngakhale kuti mayiko ambiri apamwamba amapereka mwezi uliwonse, motero amalola kuti zikhalidwe zilizonse zomwe zikupita patsogolo zidziwike mwamsanga.
GDP ikuwerengedwera kwambiri masiku ano, kuti muyeso wina wa GDP umapezeka pafupifupi dziko lonse lapansi, pogwiritsa ntchito njira zofanana zowerengera, kulola kufanana kwa dziko. Amayesedwa mobwerezabwereza kuti ndondomeko yapamwamba ya GDP tsopano ndiyeso yofanana pakati pa mayiko ambiri a G20.
Kufufuza kusanthula kwakukulu ndi kuigwiritsa ntchito ku malonda athu, ndi ntchito yosavuta. Tiyenera kudziwa zomwe zikuchitika pa kalendala yathu ndikuonetsetsa kuti (ngati tili ogulitsa malonda), timadzipereka kuti tigwirizane ndi zotsatira za buku lililonse. Mosakayikira ndizochitika zofunikira zomwe zimayendetsa misika monga forex, katundu ndi indices ofanana. Ngakhale umboni ulipo kuti mtengo umakwera kufika kumadera ena akuluakulu osunthirapo, kapena mfundo zapivot, kapena madera a Fibonacci, ndizo maziko omwe amasuntha misika yathu.
