Kodi ndi zinthu ziti zomwe zimakhudza kusintha kwa ndalama
Msika wachuma wonse umakhala wokhazikika m'mwamba ndi pansi, ndi kayendetsedwe ka mtengo kameneka kamasintha chifukwa cha zinthu zosiyanasiyana zachuma, zachilengedwe ndi mabungwe zomwe zidzafotokozedwa mwatsatanetsatane m'nkhaniyi.
Pakati pamagulu ena azachuma monga masheya, ma index, katundu, ma bond, ndi ma cryptocurrencies. Ndalama zimawoneka ngati gulu lalikulu lazachuma lomwe lingagwiritsidwe ntchito m'mbali zonse za chuma chapadziko lonse lapansi ngati njira yosinthira ndi kulipira katundu, ndi ntchito, pamlingo wapadziko lonse lapansi komanso wamba.
Mtengo wa ndalama zofananira ndi ndalama zina zomwe zimadziwika kuti "ndalama zakunja" zimasinthasintha nthawi zonse.
Mlingo wa ndalama zakunja kwachuma ndi imodzi mwa njira zofunika kwambiri momwe thanzi lazachuma ladziko limatsimikizidwira. M'mawu ena, kukhazikika kwachuma kwa dziko kumatsimikiziridwa ndi kuchuluka kwa ndalama zakunja. Itha kuwonedwa, kusanthula ndikugulitsidwa pamsika wakunja.
Choncho ndikofunikira kwambiri kumvetsetsa zinthu zofunika kwambiri komanso kusintha kwa msika komwe kumakhudza chuma cha dziko, zomwe zimakhudzanso kusintha kwa ndalama zake.
Chifukwa chiyani zinthu izi zimakhudza ndalama.
Kusinthana kwamitengo kumakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi zinthu zazikulu zachuma chifukwa zimatsimikizira kwambiri thanzi lazachuma, zomwe ndizofunikira kwambiri kwa osunga ndalama akunja, okhudzidwa, ogulitsa mabungwe ndi zamalonda posankha kuchita bizinesi kapena kuyika ndalama pazachuma.
Mabungwewa ali pabizinesi yopanga phindu. Pachifukwa ichi, zochitika m'dziko zidzatsimikizira momwe ndalama zakunja zidzagwiritsidwira ntchito pachuma chake, motero zimakhudza mtengo wa kusintha kwa ndalama zake.
Ili ndi lingaliro lofunikira kwambiri lomwe limagwira osati amalonda a forex okha. Ndizofunikanso komanso zopindulitsa kwa anthu wamba, eni mabizinesi apadziko lonse lapansi ndi am'deralo, osunga ndalama, mabanki ndi zina zambiri
Phindu lodziwa zinthu zomwe zimakhudza kusinthana kwa ndalama.
- Amalonda osinthanitsa akunja nthawi zambiri amatha kupeza mwayi wa arbitrage posanthula ndalama zingapo kuti apange phindu kuchokera kuzinthu zingapo zapadziko lonse lapansi.
- Kuwunika kofunikira ndikuwunika kufunikira kwandalama ndi kusanthula zinthu zomwe zingakhudze kusintha kwa ndalama m'tsogolomu. Chifukwa chake, ndibwino kuphatikiza kusanthula kofunikira komanso kusanthula kwaukadaulo kuti mupeze zotsatira zabwino kwambiri pamalonda a forex.
- Magulu onse azinthu zamsika zamsika, ma bond, indices, katundu ndi ndalama amalumikizana ndikulumikizana. Ndalama zina zimakhudzidwa mwachindunji ndi zina mwazinthuzi. Choncho ndi mwayi kwa wogulitsa forex kudziwa momwe ndi chuma chomwe chimakhudzira ndalama inayake.
- Kudziwa zinthu zomwe zimakhudza mtengo wandalama kumathandizira osunga ndalama kupanga zisankho zomveka zogulira.
Pansipa, tikambirana mwatsatanetsatane zina mwazinthu zazikuluzikuluzi komanso zochitika zazikulu zachuma zomwe zimakhudza ndalama.
- Lipoti lazachuma.
Chimodzi mwazinthu zofunika kwambiri pa playbook ya forex trader ndi kalendala ya lipoti lazachuma. Amalonda a Forex amadalira kwambiri malipoti azachuma kuti apange zisankho zoyenera.
Malipoti ofunikira kwambiri azachuma akuphatikiza kuchuluka kwa anthu ogwira ntchito, malonda ogulitsa, ma index opanga, Fomc, Non-Farm Payroll ndi zina zambiri zomwe zimakhala ndi chidziwitso chofunikira chokhudza momwe chuma chilili.
GDP yomwe imadziwika kuti Gross Domestic Product ndiye njira yofunikira kwambiri pazachuma yomwe nthawi zambiri imatchulidwa kuti ndi chizindikiro cha mphamvu ndi momwe chuma chikuyendera.
Ndilo mtengo wonse wamsika wa katundu ndi ntchito zomwe zimachokera kumalire a dziko mkati mwa nthawi inayake. Chifukwa chake lipotilo limachedwa chifukwa limafotokoza za zomwe zidachitika kale.
Zotulutsa zambiri zazachuma zitha kupezeka patsamba monga forexfactory.com, investing.com, FX Street, Daily FX ndi zina zotero.
- Chiwongola dzanja ndi kukwera kwa mitengo
Chiwongola dzanja ndi kukwera kwa inflation zimagwirizana kwambiri ndipo zimakhudza kwambiri mtengo wandalama. Banki yayikulu ya dziko ikhoza kuwongolera mitengo ya chiwongola dzanja kuti athe kuwongolera kukwera kwa mitengo komwe kumakhudzanso mtengo wandalama yakumaloko.
Nthawi zonse mabanki apakati a dziko akakweza chiwongola dzanja chake, ndalamazo zimakhala zotsika mtengo chifukwa chiwongola dzanja chambiri m'dziko chimakopa ndalama zakunja ndi obwereketsa. Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, ngati banki yaikulu ya dziko idula chiwongoladzanja, ndalamazo sizikopa zokolola, zomwe zingayambitse kutsika kwa mtengo wa ndalama.
Kodi pali ubale wotani pakati pa chiwongola dzanja ndi inflation?
Nthawi zonse banki yayikulu ikakweza chiwongola dzanja, mphamvu yogulira ndalama yake imakwera (mwachitsanzo, ndalamayo imatha kugula katundu ndi ntchito zambiri). Izi zikutanthauza kuti kukwera kwa mitengo m'dzikolo ndikotsika.
Koma banki yayikulu ikadula chiwongola dzanja, mphamvu yogulira ndalama yake imachepa. Izi zikutanthauza kuti kukwera kwa mitengo m'dziko lomwelo ndikwambiri.
- Inter-market ndi corelative zotsatira
Msika wazachuma wapadziko lonse lapansi uli ndi magulu osiyanasiyana azinthu omwe ali ndi maubwenzi ofanana ndipo amalumikizana wina ndi mnzake. Izi ndizosiyana ndi ndalama. Ngakhale kuti ndalama zonse zimakhudzidwa ndi zochitika zapadziko lonse lapansi, zina zimagwirizananso kwambiri ndi zinthu zina.
Ndikofunikira kuzindikira ndikumvetsetsa kulumikizana uku komanso momwe amagwirira ntchito.
Tiyeni tidutse zitsanzo zodziwika bwino
- Lingaliro loyamba komanso lofunika kwambiri kuti mumvetsetse ndikuti Dollar US ndiye ndalama zovomerezeka padziko lonse lapansi. Kwenikweni, dola yaku US ikakwera, ndalama zakunja zikuyembekezeka kutsika mtengo komanso mosiyana.
- Lingaliro lina lofunikira ndikukhudzidwa kwa msika wa chiwongola dzanja pa dollar yaku US. Nthawi zonse chiwongola dzanja chikakwera, dola yaku US ikuyembekezeka kukwera zomwe zikutanthauza kutsika kwa ndalama zakunja. Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, pamene chiwongoladzanja cha msika chikuchepa, dola yaku US ikuyembekezeka kutsikanso zomwe zikutanthauza kutsika kwa ndalama zakunja.
- Chuma chomwe chimatumiza katundu ngati gwero lalikulu la ndalama chidzakhudzidwa ndi msika wazinthu. Mwachitsanzo, dollar yaku Australia imagwirizana mwachindunji ndi Golide pomwe dollar yaku Canada imagwirizana mwachindunji ndi mafuta.
Kusintha kwa mtengo wa Dollar Canada mpaka Dollar Canada limachitika kamodzi patsiku.
UsdCad yosiyana ndi mitengo ya Mafuta.
- Ngongole zaboma
Ngakhale ngongole ya boma ikhoza kuwononga chuma, ikhoza kugwiritsidwa ntchito kulimbikitsa chitukuko cha zomangamanga komanso kukula kwachuma.
Kutsika kwa mitengo ndi kutsika kwa ndalama nthawi zambiri kumakhala chifukwa cha ngongole zambiri pazachuma.
Kodi izi zimachitika bwanji?
Ngati ngongole ya anthu ikuwonjezeka, boma likhoza kusindikiza ndalama zambiri, kuonjezera kuchuluka kwa ndalama zomwe zimagulitsidwa. Izi zimadziwika kuti quantitative easing. Zotsatira za izi ndikuti mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa ndalama umachepetsa, monganso kukwera kwa inflation.
Pankhani inanso pali chiyembekezo choti ngongole za boma zidzakwera. Otsatsa malonda akunja atha kukakamizidwa kugulitsa ma bondi awo pamsika wotseguka zomwe zingapangitse kuti ndalama zakomweko zichepe chifukwa chakuchulukirachulukira.
- Migwirizano yamalonda
Terms of Trade molingana ndi Wikipedia ndi kuchuluka kwa katundu wolowa kunja komwe chuma chingagule pagawo lililonse katundu wotumizidwa kunja.
Chuma cha dziko chimanenedwa kukhala ndi 'trade surplus' nthawi iliyonse yomwe katundu wake amagulitsa kunja kuposa zomwe amagulitsa kunja'. Mtengo wa ndalama za 'dziko lotumiza kunja' umakwera pamene ogula akunja amagula ndalama zake kuti agule katundu wake kunja, motero kuwonjezeka kwa GDP komwe kumathandizira kuti chuma cha dzikolo chikule bwino.
Kumbali inayi, chuma cha dziko chimakhala ndi vuto la malonda pamene katundu wake ndi wochuluka kuposa wogulitsa kunja. Chifukwa choti dziko likufunika kugulitsa ndalama zake kuti ligule zinthu zochokera kunja, mtengo wandalama yake ukutsika mtengo.
- Kumverera
Malingaliro amsika amatanthauza kukondera komwe osunga ndalama ndi ololera amakhala nako pazachuma chifukwa cha zomwe zikuchitika komanso zomwe zikuchitika.
Kukhazikika kwa ndale za dziko ndi chimodzi mwa zinthu zambiri zomwe zimakhudza momwe chuma chikuyendera.
Zina zomwe zimakhudza momwe chuma chikuyendera ndi monga zochitika zadziko, masoka achilengedwe (kapena achilengedwe), komanso zisankho zomwe zikubwera.
Ogulitsa akunja ndi ongoyerekeza nthawi zonse amakhala okondera. Ndiko kuti, adzaletsa ndi kuchotsa ndalama zawo zomwe zilipo kale ku chuma chomwe chikuwopsezedwa ndi mavuto.
Kumbali inayi, ngati zochitika ndi zomwe zikuchitika panopa pazachuma ndizokhazikika, zabwino komanso zothandizira ndalama zakunja. Kaonedwe kabwino ka chuma ka dziko kameneka kadzakopa osunga ndalama akunja ndipo kudzachititsa kuti ndalama za m’dziko muno zizisangalala nazo.
- Kukula kwachuma ndi kuchepa kwachuma
Kutsika kwachuma kusiyana ndi kukula kwachuma kukutanthauza kuchepa kwakukulu kwa zochitika zachuma m'dziko. Kutsika kwachuma kumatha kudziwika ndi kusowa kwa ntchito, kuchepa kwa GDP, inflation ndi zina zotero.
Panthawi ya kugwa kwachuma, chiwongoladzanja cha dziko chikhoza kukhala chochepa. Kutsika kwachuma muzachuma chilichonse ndi mbendera yofiira kwa osunga ndalama akunja.
Izi zimakhala ndi zotsatira zoipa pa kukhazikika ndi kupita patsogolo kwa chuma motero kuchepetsa mtengo ndi mpikisano wopikisana ndi ndalama mumsika wosinthana ndi mayiko akunja.
Kutsiliza
Palinso zinthu zina zazing'ono zomwe zimakhudza kusintha kwa ndalama koma tawunikanso zinthu zofunika kwambiri.
Kuwerenga nkhaniyi mpaka pano ndikuzindikira zinthu zazikulu zachuma izi zimakupangitsani kuti mukhale odziwa zambiri za msika wogulitsa ndalama zakunja kuposa 90% ya anthu padziko lapansi. Zimakupangitsani inu patsogolo mu bizinesi, ndalama ndi malonda a forex.
Kuphatikiza apo, amalonda onse a forex amatha kubweza kusanthula kwawo kwaukadaulo ndi data yofunikira komanso malipoti azachuma.
Munthu amene akuyesa kupeŵa kutayika kwa ndalama zomwe zingawonongeke chifukwa cha mitengo yosinthira ndalama akhoza kusankha ntchito yokhoma yosinthanitsa, yomwe imatsimikizira kusinthana kwa ndalama pamtengo womwewo ngakhale kuti chuma sichikuyenda bwino.
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