Kodi kuzungulira kwa msika mu malonda a forex ndi chiyani
Mbali zonse za moyo (nthawi, bizinesi, nyengo, nyengo ndi zina) zonse zimayenda mozungulira, ndipo palinso mikombero yomwe imapezeka m'misika yazachuma yomwe nthawi zambiri imatchedwa kuti msika. Lingaliro la kuzungulira kwa msika limatanthawuza magawo a kayendetsedwe ka mitengo omwe nthawi zambiri amakhala obwerezabwereza, ndipo iliyonse imakhala ndi mawonekedwe ake. Kwa amalonda anthawi yayitali komanso anthawi yayitali, ndikofunikira kumvetsetsa mayendedwe amsika omwe amazungulira misika yazachuma.
Izi ndizothandiza kwa amalonda chifukwa zimawathandiza kuti apindule ndi kayendetsedwe ka mtengo m'gulu lililonse lazinthu, kuphatikizapo masheya, ndalama za crypto, katundu, ndalama, ndi zina zotero. kuti apindule ndi kayendedwe ka mtengo wa bullish ndi bearish. Ngakhale mayendedwe amitengo amawoneka ngati akuyenda mwachisawawa m'mwamba ndi pansi, amakhala ndi mikhalidwe yosiyana yomwe imakhudzidwa ndi zinthu zamsika monga kutulutsa nkhani zomwe zimakhudzidwa kwambiri, ndondomeko zandalama, kuchepekera ndi umbombo pakukwera komanso kutsika kwamisika yatsopano.
Vuto lomwe anthu ambiri amakumana nalo pamsika ndikuti mwina sadziwa kapena alibe chidziwitso chowonera magawo amsika, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti zikhale zovuta kusankha njira yoyenera yosinthira mitengo. Amalonda amathanso kukhumudwa ndikutaya ndalama akafuna kupeza phindu kuchokera kumisika yotsika kwambiri komanso yotsika kwambiri. Kodi ochita malonda amatha bwanji kuwona kuzungulira kwamitengo ndikudziwa nthawi yomwe kusuntha kwa mtengo wa katundu kungasinthe kuchokera kugawo lina kupita ku lina?
M'nkhaniyi, tipereka kufotokozera mozama zamayendedwe osiyanasiyana amsika ndikuwonetsa zomwe muyenera kudziwa kuti mukhale m'gulu la 1% la osunga ndalama otsogola komanso amalonda opindulitsa. Pomvetsetsa mayendedwe amsikawa, amalonda ndi osunga ndalama amakhala ndi chidziwitso chambiri kuti apange zisankho zabwino zamalonda ndikuwongolera phindu lawo.
Mitundu yozungulira msika
Kuzungulira kwa msika kumabwera mosiyanasiyana, ndipo gawoli limapereka chithunzithunzi chamsika womwe wafala kwambiri. Kuphatikiza apo, malingaliro othandiza amomwe mungawone magawo awa akuyenda kwamitengo ndi kupindula nawo adzayankhidwanso.
- Wyckoff msika wozungulira
Monga tafotokozera pamwambapa, monga momwe chuma chikuyendera komanso kutsika kwachuma, mayendedwe amsika azachuma amakhalanso ndi magawo.
Magawo amsika a Wyckoff akufotokozedwa motere;
Kudzikundikira / gawo lokulitsa: Kukula kumachitika chifukwa cha kukula kwachuma ndipo kumabweretsa msika wa ng'ombe. Ndi nthawi iyi yomwe osunga ndalama ndi amalonda angapindule ndi malonda aatali. Mu chuma choyendetsedwa bwino, gawoli limatha zaka zambiri
Kuyika / gawo lapamwamba: Apa ndipamene kukakamiza kogula kumafika pachimake ndipo ndalama zanzeru zimayamba kutsitsa malo ake aatali pazinthu zamtengo wapatali zomwe zimatsogolera kugawo lochepetsera kapena kugawa.
Gawo lochepetsera / kugawa: Gawo logawa la wyckoff likuwonetsa nthawi yakutsika kwa msika, kuyambira pachimake mpaka kumapeto. Panthawi imeneyi, akatswiri azachuma amatchula msikawo kuti uli pachiwopsezo.
Mtsinje / kutsika: Pakadali pano, msika watsikira m'malo otsika kwambiri ndipo ndalama zanzeru zitha kusokoneza malo awo amfupi zomwe zingapangitse msikawo kuphatikiza kapena kuyambitsa msika wina.
- Mpikisano wa Msika wa Forex
Kuzungulira kwa msika wa Wyckoff kumatha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kumsika uliwonse, kutengera maziko ake mu psychology yazachuma, koma pali mikombero yomwe imakhala yosiyana ndi magulu apadera azachuma. Mzunguli wodziwika bwino wamsika wa forex ndikumangirira ndi kufewetsa mabanki apakati. Zofanana zingapo zitha kupangidwa pakati pa kuzungulira uku ndi kuzungulira kwachuma.
Munthawi yokulirapo yazachuma, misika yamsika imayamba kubwereranso kumisika yaposachedwa kwambiri ndipo zizindikiro zazachuma zimayamba kuyenda bwino zomwe zikuwonetsa kukwera kwachuma. Gawoli limadziwika ndi ndondomeko yazachuma yomwe mabanki apakati amatsitsa chiwongola dzanja panthawi yachuma kuti athe kulimbikitsa ntchito zachuma ndikupangitsa kubwereketsa kutsika mtengo. Izi zimawonjezera mphamvu zogulira ogula komanso kuthekera kwamakampani kuyika ndalama m'mabizinesi atsopano. Mitengo yamisika imayamba kukweranso mofanana ndi gawo la Wyckoff ndipo osunga ndalama amayambanso kugula masheya, zomwe zimachulukitsa kuthamanga kwa ng'ombe.
- Wall Street Market Cycle
Kuzungulira kwina komwe kumawonedwa kawirikawiri ndi msika wa Wall Street womwe umagwirizana kwambiri ndi msika wa Wyckoff. Imagawa magawo anayi a Wyckoff mwatsatanetsatane zomwe zimagwirizana kwambiri ndi msika wamasheya komanso momwe osungira ndalama amachitira pazigawo zonsezi.
Kuzunguliraku kumayamba ndi gawo lozengereza, fanizo la kukwera kwamitengo yamitengo m'mawonekedwe oyambilira omwe ali ndi mawonekedwe ofanana ndi gawo la kuchuluka kwa kayendetsedwe ka Wyckoff. Panthawi yobisala, apa ndipamene ndalama zanzeru zimadziunjikira maudindo aatali zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale mgwirizano pamitengo yamitengo, motero zimapatsa mwayi kwa osunga ndalama ndi ogulitsa masheya kuti awone malo abwino kwambiri otengera kutsika mtengo kwambiri ndi lingaliro loti mbiya pamsika ndi. chatha. Nthawi zambiri iyi ndi gawo lalitali kwambiri, lomwe limadziwika ndi kukwera kwamitengo pang'onopang'ono popeza osadziwa zambiri komanso omwe akuyamba kugulitsa akupitilizabe kugulitsa. Pamene msika ukuchira kuchokera pansi, gawo lodziwitsira limayamba kumene ndalama zanzeru zimathetsa pang'ono pazitali zawo zomwe zimakhala ndi nthawi yayitali motero kupanga kuwongolera pang'ono kwa msonkhano, wotchedwa msampha wa chimbalangondo. Koma msika wa ng'ombe ukupitilizabe kupeza zokopa, kupanga zokwera zatsopano. Panthawiyi, zofalitsa zachuma zimayamba kuwonetsa mwayi watsopanowu mumsika wogulitsa, kukopa anthu ogulitsa malonda komanso kufulumizitsa msika wa ng'ombe. Gawoli limadziwika kuti mania phase. Apa ndi pamene changu chimalowa m'malo mwa mantha omwe anali ofala kwambiri pamene msika unali pansi. Ndipo osati motalika kwambiri, imasanduka umbombo msanga, ndiyeno umbombo kukhala chinyengo. Ndalama zanzeru komanso osunga ndalama otsogola amayamba kuchoka pamalo awo okwera kwambiri, zomwe zimapangitsa kutsika kwamitengo. Izi zimadziwika kuti bull trap chifukwa osunga ndalama omwe sakudziwa zambiri amawona kuwongolera kocheperako ngati mwayi wabwino wogula kuti awonjezere malo omwe ali kale. Komabe, panthawiyi pamene kukakamiza kugulitsa kumaposa kukakamiza kugula, mitengo ikupitirira kutsika kwambiri, zomwe zimachititsa mantha ndi kutaya mtima motero kumabweretsa chomwe chimatchedwa gawo la kuphulika, nthawi zambiri gawo ladzidzidzi la zinayi komanso zowawa kwambiri. amalonda osadziwa zambiri komanso oyika ndalama.
Kodi Madalaivala Oyendetsa Msika Ndi Chiyani?
Pali zinthu zingapo zomwe zingapangitse kuti msika udutse ma booms ndi mabasiketi, pomwe osunga ndalama amangothamangira kuti agule zinthu zinazake kapena kuchita mantha komanso kuchepa kwakukulu. Pali zifukwa zingapo zomwe zimayendera m'misika yazachuma; Chachikulu pakati pawo ndi chiwongola dzanja chomwe chikuyendetsa msika wazachuma ndi zinthu zina zazikulu zachuma kuphatikiza kukwera kwamitengo, kuchuluka kwachuma komanso kusowa kwa ntchito.
Ndizodziwikiratu momwe malingaliro amsika amathandizira kwambiri pamayendedwe amsika. Pakakhala kutsika kwa chiwongola dzanja, zikuwoneka kuti zikuwonetsa kukula kwachuma komwe kungatumize mitengo yamsika kukhala yokwera. Inflation nthawi zambiri imatsogolera kuwonjezereka kwa chiwongola dzanja zomwe zingayambitse kutsika kwa msika komanso kuchepa kwa kukula kwachuma.
Zitsanzo zakale za kuzungulira kwa msika
Mbiri ya misika yazachuma ili ndi zitsanzo zamayendedwe amsika. Mwachitsanzo, m'zaka za m'ma 1990, panali kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa ndalama ndi zokolola zomwe sizinachitikepo, zomwe zinapangitsa kuti chitukuko cha ana chiwonjezeke komanso kukwera kwa misika. Kuyambika kwa umisiri watsopano, monga Intaneti, kunatsagana ndi chiwongola dzanja chochepa ndi ngongole yaikulu. Kumayambiriro kwa zaka za zana lino, chiwongola dzanja chinawonjezeka kasanu ndi kamodzi, zomwe zinapangitsa kuti dot-com bubble kuphulika ndi kuchepa kwachuma mpaka kuphulika kwa 2007 pamene msika unayambanso. Kuyambira nthawi imeneyo, msika wakhala ukuphulika ndikuphulika.
Kusanthula mayendedwe amsika amsika azachuma
Amalonda onse odziwa zambiri ali ndi njira zomwe amagwiritsa ntchito posanthula magawo osiyanasiyana amsika. Amalonda ambiri amagwiritsa ntchito mfundo ya Elliott wave kusanthula kayendedwe ka mitengo ndi ma Scout trade setups. Lingaliro ili la Elliott wave kusanthula kwakhazikitsidwa pa mfundo yakuti "chilichonse chimapangitsa kuti anthu azigwirizana komanso zosiyana." Izi zikutanthauza kuti kayendetsedwe ka mtengo kakatundu kumadalira msika wakunja ndi malingaliro.
Ndi zizindikiro ziti zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pozindikira mayendedwe amsika?
Mu kusanthula kwaukadaulo, zizindikiro zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kusanthula pafupifupi chilichonse, kuphatikiza kuzungulira kwa msika. Zina mwa zizindikirozi ndi Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ndi Detrend Price Oscillator (DPO). Pofufuza momwe zinthu zilili, zizindikiro zonsezi zingakhale zothandiza kwambiri. CCI idapangidwa makamaka pamisika yamalonda koma ndiyothandizanso pakuwunika masheya ndi ma CFD. DPO imagwira ntchito popanda mayendedwe amitengo, kupangitsa kuti zikhale zosavuta kuzindikira kukwera ndi kutsika kwapang'onopang'ono komanso kugulidwa kwambiri ndi kugulitsa mopitilira muyeso.
Chidule
M'mbiri yonse, misika yonse yatsatira ndondomeko yozungulira, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti maulendo a msika amabwerezabwereza. Mzunguko ukatha, gawo lake lomaliza nthawi zambiri limakhala chiyambi cha china chatsopano. Mayendedwe amsika ndi magawo ake osiyanasiyana ndizinthu zamtengo wapatali kwa osunga ndalama ndi amalonda omwe akufuna kupewa kuchita malonda molakwika pazachuma chilichonse. Otsatsa akanthawi kochepa amathanso kupindula ndi kuzungulira kwa msika pogulitsa zosintha zamisika ndi zokoka panthawi yokulitsa.
