CHIFUKWA CHIYANI KUDZIWA ZOTHANDIZA ZOTHANDIZA - Phunziro 3

Mu phunziro ili mudzaphunzira:

• Kodi ndani amene ali ndi Influencers of the Price Movement?
• Kodi ndifunika kotani pa kalendala ya zachuma?
• Akuluakulu omwe ali nawo mu Msika wa Forex ndi ndani?

Pali zifukwa zambiri zoyenera kuti ndalama zizikhala zosiyana, mosakayikira zochitika zomwe zalembedwa pa kalendala zachuma zomwe zilipo mosavuta, zomwe zimaperekedwa kwaulere ndi olemekezeka kwambiri owonetsa katundu, zidzatsimikizira kuti ndizo zikuluzikulu pa mtengo wa ndalama ndi ndalama awiriawiri.

Ndikofunikira kuti amalonda odziwa ntchito zachitukuko azidziŵa yekha kalendala ya zachuma ndikupitirizabe kumasulidwa, kuonetsetsa kuti akudziŵa nthawi zonse za tsiku lotsatira ndi sabata. Kusanthula kotereku kungatanthauzidwe kuti "kusanthula kwakukulu" ndipo kumayesedwa kuti ndilo chinthu chofunikira kwambiri kuti tiziyenda misika yathu ya forex.

Makalendala awa azachuma adzasokoneza zochitikazo m'magulu osiyanasiyana; zochitika zochepa, zosakanikirana ndi zapamwamba. Gawo lotsika kwambiri liyenera (mwazinthu) kuti lisakhudzidwe kwambiri pamene nkhani yamasulidwa, kutulutsa kwakukulu komwe kumasulidwa m'mbiri kumakhudza kwambiri. Komabe, ngati kutulutsa nkhani yochepa kumakhala kosavuta kuneneratu kutalika kwake, ndiye kuti zotsatira za ndalama ndi ndalama ziwiri zikhoza kukhala zoopsa. Ngakhale, ngati chiwerengero chachikulu chotulutsidwa chimakhala pafupi ndi cholosera, zotsatira zingakhale zopanda ndale, monga momwe deta idayenera kale "kugulitsidwa" mumsika.

Maulosi ndi maulosi opangidwa pa kalendala yachuma ndi zofunika kwambiri. Mabungwe amodzi monga Bloomberg ndi Reuters amaphatikizapo mfundoyi pofufuzira omwe amawona kuti ndi akatswiri azachuma pa gulu losonkhana. Kawirikawiri akatswiri azachumawa adzafunsidwa nthawi zonse kuti afunse maganizo awo pa zochitika zomwe zidzachitike. Mwachitsanzo; iwo adzafunsidwa ngati akuganiza kuti bizinesi ya US Central (Feder), idzabweretsa chiwongoladzanja mwezi uno, kodi kuphulika kwa GDP kwa Eurozone kapena kuwonongeka, kodi ntchito ya ku United Kingdom idzasintha kapena kuwononga, kodi kutentha kwa dziko ku Japan kudzuka kapena kugwa? Pomwe maganizo akusonkhanitsa mgwirizano wosavuta amadza pokhapokha atatenga mtengo wotanthawuza, womwe umayikidwa pa kalendala zosiyanasiyana zachuma monga zolosera.

Malingaliro angakhale osiyana pang'ono malinga ndi omwe Reuters ndi kapena Bloomberg akufunsa, koma nthawi zambiri maulosi adzakhala pafupi kwambiri kwa wina ndi mzake, mosasamala kalendala yomwe mukukonzekera malonda anu.

Mu kalendala, zochitika zapamwamba zokhudzana ndi zochitika zokhudzana ndi zochitika zokhudzana ndi mauthenga komanso zokhudzana ndi deta zomwe zikhoza kusuntha misika zathu ziphatikizapo (koma osati kokha), boma la boma, kapena deta ya pakatikati ya Bank monga: CPI (mtengo wogula mitengo yamtengo wapatali), chiwerengero cha ntchito ndi ntchito za kusowa ntchito, chiwongoladzanja komanso zosankha zachuma, GDP (zokolola zapakhomo), malonda ogulitsa malonda, mafakitale ndi mafakitale opanga mafakitale ndi zolankhulidwa ndi abwanamkubwa a banki a boma akufotokozera zoyesayesa zomwe akufuna.

Palinso zosungidwa zapadera zomwe zimatha kusuntha misika yathu, tidzawonetsa kampani imodzi ndi deta yake, chifukwa cha zotsatira zake zogulitsidwa pamsika; Economit Markit, omwe amagula malonda awo, omwe amatchedwa PMIs, amamasulidwa mwatsatanetsatane ndi deta omwe amafunika kuwunika mosamala, ndi amalonda m'magulu onse.

PMI a Markit amapanga chidziwitso pambuyo pa bungwe lomwe lafalitsa ndikupanga malingaliro a masauzande ambiri ogula mameneja, chifukwa cha ziyembekezo zawo pa miyezi yotsatira. Potero Markit wakhala ndi gawo lapaderalo monga momwe ma data awo akuwonekera akutsogolera, kusiyana ndi kukhala zizindikiro, komwe misika yathu ingayambe. Markit akufunsa akatswiri, pa 'nkhope ya malasha' ya bizinesi, kudutsa malonda onse, zomwe ziyembekezero zawo ziri pa gawo lotsatira. Markit ndiye adzapereka chiwerengero cha olemba, omwe amalonda ndi owoneretsa amadziwidwanso; chithunzi pamwamba pa zizindikiro za 50, pamene chithunzi pansipa zizindikiro za 50.

Lembani mchitidwe wogwira ntchito, kupanga ndi kupanga. Mwachitsanzo, iwo akhoza kusonkhanitsa ndikusindikiza chiwerengero cha UK ndi ntchito ya ntchito ya Eurozone imene ikuphonya kuyembekezera ndi chiwonongeko chapatali. Kuwerenga koyambirira kungakhale 55 kwa UK ndi 54 kwa EZ. Komabe, kuŵerenga kwatsopano kungabwere ku 51 ndi 50 motero, kuwonetsa kuti UK ingowonjezereka ndi kukwaniritsa mgwirizanowu, pamene Eurozone ili pamapeto pa kulowetsa zomwe zingatchedwe kuwerenga. Ngati zitsanzozi ziyenera kusindikizidwa, tikhoza kuyembekezera kuti phindu la sterling ndi euro, potsutsana ndi anzawo akuluakulu.

Pali zochitika zachuma, kunja kwa ndondomeko ya kalendala. Zochitika zomwe zingayambitse misika yathu kusuntha, tingathe kuwatcha "zochitika zapadera". Mwachitsanzo; bungwe lodziwika kuti OPEC lomwe (mwalamulo likulamulira) mafuta opangidwa mu mayiko ena, akhoza kulengeza mwadzidzidzi kuchepetsa, kapena kuwonjezeka kwa kupanga. Izi zidzasintha mtengo wa mafuta ndipo zimakhudza mwachindunji kufunika kwa zomwe zimatchedwa "ndalama za ndalama", monga dola ya Canada, yomwe mtengo wake umagwirizanitsa kwambiri ndi mtengo wa mafuta, chifukwa chakuti zogulitsa zikuluzikulu za dziko ndi mafuta ndi mafuta mankhwala.

Chinthu chinanso chimene chikanakhoza kubwera chikhoza kubwera mwa mawonekedwe a ndale komanso mwadzidzidzi kapena kulengeza, mwachitsanzo; Purezidenti watsopano wa USA, Donald Trump, wakhala akuchita zionetsero monga: US dollar yokwera kwambiri, kapena yotsika kwambiri, kapena kuti apange ndalama zamtengo wapatali, kapena kuyambitsa njira zowatetezera pofuna kulimbitsa malonda ku US. Mawu ophweka awa akhala ndi zotsatirapo pa gawo loyambirira la 2017, lazomwe zimasuntha zamtengo wapatali mu ndalama ndi msika wogwirizana.

Kuphunzira kuwerenga zochitika za kalendala zachuma, momwe mungagwiritsire ntchito chidziwitso chomwe chidzamasulidwe ndiyeno ndikugulitsa deta moyenera, ndi luso lomwe limafuna kuchita ndi kufufuza pamwamba pa kufotokoza mwachidule; kodi mumagulitsa nkhani, kapena mumagulitsa malingaliro anu ku nkhani, mumagula mphekesera ndikugulitsa? Mutasankha pazinthu: ndondomeko yamalonda, njira yamalonda / ndondomeko kuphatikizapo njira yowonetsera ndalama (ndi chidziwitso choopsa chadzidzidzi), kuyesa njira zokhudzana ndi kutulutsa uthenga, zingathe kuonedwa ngati gawo lofunika kwambiri pa chitukuko cha malonda.

Kuzindikira Msika Waukulu Ophunzira pa Market Market

Maboma ndi Central Banks

Maboma ndi mabanki apakati, monga Federal Reserve ku United States, adzagulitsa ndalama kuti apititse patsogolo zachuma, kapena kuti apereke ndalama zotsatsa malingaliro awo, kapena kuti athandizire kusintha malingaliro a zachuma kapena zachuma. Mwachitsanzo; Mabanki apakati akhoza kuchepetsa chiwongoladzanja cha chiwongoladzanja pofuna kuyesa kuchulukitsa ndalama zapakhomo, pamene kuwonjezeka kwa kutsika kwapakati kukuthandizira chuma cha pakhomo. Monga maboma osapindula, maboma onse ndi mabanki apakati sakuphatikizidwa mu msika wa forex cholinga chofuna kupeza phindu, komabe, ndi malonda kwa nthawi yaitali, ntchito zina zimapanga phindu.

Ogulitsa ndi Oyendera

Ogulitsa amagula katundu kumayiko akunja pamene akuchezera, kapena mwina pa intaneti ndi debit kapena makadi a ngongole. Ndalama zomwe zimalipidwa mu ndalama zakunja zimasandulika ku ndalama zawo zapanyumba pamsonkhano wawo wa banki. Oyendera alendo amayendera mabanki, kapena malo osinthana ndi ndalama, kuti asinthe ndalama zawo zapakhomo kupita ku ndalama zomwe akupitazo pamene akufuna kugwiritsa ntchito ndalama kugula zinthu ndi mautumiki kudziko lachilendo. Oyendayenda amatha kusinthanitsa ndalama zawo akamagulitsa ndalama zawo.

mabizinesi

Amabizinesi amayenera kusintha ndalama zawo zapakhomo akagwira ntchito kunja kwa dziko lakwawo. Mabungwe akuluakulu kwambiri amasintha ndalama zambiri kuti achite izi. Kampani yamayiko osiyanasiyana monga, mwachitsanzo, mafuta a Shell, amasintha mabiliyoni a madola mwezi uliwonse kudzera kwa ogulitsa awo, ku bank / bank yomwe amasankha. Osati kokha chifukwa cha zokonda zawo m'maiko ambiri ndi makontinenti, komanso chifukwa cha ndalama zambiri zomwe zimakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi mayendedwe amitengo yamafuta.

Otsatsa Ndalama

Odzipereka ndi owonetsa ndalama amafuna malo osinthana nawo nthawi iliyonse komanso paliponse pamene akugulitsa ndalama zakunja. Mwachitsanzo; nyumba, mabungwe, mabungwe, mabungwe a banki, zidzafuna ntchito zowonongedwa kunja. Ogulitsa ndi owonetsa ndalama amalonda malonda kuti ayese kupeza phindu kuchokera ku kusiyana kwa msika wosinthika.

Mabanki azachuma ndi Investment

Mabanki azachuma ndi mabungwe ogulitsa ndalama adzagulitsa ndalama kuti athandize makasitomala awo ambiri amalonda, kuika, ndi kubwereketsa, popanda malonda awa malonda amitundu yonse mu malonda ndi mautumiki sakanakhala kosatheka. Mabungwewa akuphatikizidwa m'misika yamakono kuti akonzekere makasitomala awo ndi zolinga zowonongeka.