Ukubuyela emuva ku forex

Phakathi kwamathuluzi abalulekile ku-arsenal yomthengisi inqubo eyaziwa ngokuthi "i-backtesting." I-Backtesting isho inqubo ehlelekile yokuhlola ukusebenza kwesu lokuhweba ngokuhlola ukusebenza kwalo komlando kusetshenziswa idatha yemakethe yangaphambilini. Empeleni, kuyindlela yokuhamba ubuye ngesikhathi phakathi kwezimakethe zezimali, usebenzisa isu lakho lokuhweba kudatha yomlando, nokukala ukuthi bekuzohamba kanjani.

Ukubaluleka kokubuyisela emuva akukwazi ukweqiwa emakethe ye-forex. Nakhu ukuthi kungani kudingekile:

Ukunciphisa ingozi: Ngokuhlola isu lakho ngokuqhathanisa nedatha yomlando, uthola imininingwane ngezingozi ezingaba khona kanye nemiphumela engemihle. Lokhu kukusiza ukuthi ulungise indlela yakho futhi uthuthukise amasu okulawula ubungozi.

Ukuqinisekiswa kwamasu: I-Backtesting inikezela ngobufakazi obunamandla bokusebenza kwesu. Iqinisekisa noma iphika inkolelo-mbono eyisisekelo sendlela yakho yokuhweba.

Ukuthuthukisa izinhlelo zokuhweba: I-Backtesting ivumela abahwebi ukuthi bacwenge futhi bathuthukise izinhlelo zabo zokuhweba. Ungakwazi ukubona lapho isu lakho lihamba phambili nalapho kudingeka khona ukuthuthukiswa, okuholela ekwenzeni izinqumo ezingcono.

Ukusekela emuva mathupha

Emhlabeni wokuhweba kwe-forex, kunezindlela ezimbili eziyinhloko zokubuyisela emuva: i-manual kanye ne-automated. Ukuhlolwa kwe-backtesting okwenziwa ngesandla kuhilela ukuhlaziya okwenziwayo, okubuyisela emuva isu lakho lokuhweba ngokumelene nedatha yemakethe yomlando.

Ukubuyisela emuva mathupha kuyinqubo ecophelelayo lapho abahwebi belingisa isu labo lokuhweba ngokuhlaziya idatha yomlando wamanani nokwenza izinqumo zokuhweba ezicatshangelwayo ngaphandle kosizo lwamathuluzi azenzakalelayo. Empeleni, uhlehla ngesikhathi futhi urekhode ngokucophelela isinqumo ngasinye sokuhweba, ukungena, ukuphuma, nokulahlekelwa kokuma, uthobela imithetho yesu.

Izinzuzo:

Ukulawulwa okuphelele: Ukuhlola okwenziwa mathupha kunikeza ukulawula okuphelele kuzo zonke izici zenqubo yokuhlola, okukuvumela ukuthi uphendule ngamanuances nezimo zemakethe.

Sikhungo: Inikeza abahwebi ukuqonda okujulile kwesu labo, ukubasiza ukuba bafake ngaphakathi isizathu sokuhweba kwabo.

Kuqiza kahle: Ngokungafani nezixazululo ezizenzakalelayo, ukubuyisela emuva mathupha akudingi isofthiwe ebizayo noma okubhaliselwe kwedatha.

Ukulinganiselwa:

Kuthatha isikhathi: Kungasebenza kanzima futhi kudle isikhathi, ikakhulukazi uma kuhlaziywa amasethi edatha amakhulu.

ngaphandle kwekutsatsa luhlangotsi: Imiphumela ingase ihluke ngokusekelwe ekuboneni komthengisi nasekuchazeni idatha yomlando.

Ukunemba okulinganiselwe: Angeke ibale ngokushelela, ukusabalala, kanye nokubambezeleka kokubulawa ngokunembile.

I-Metatrader 5 (MT5) ihlinzeka ngenkundla eqinile yokuhlolwa kwe-backtesting ngesandla. Ukuze usebenzise i-MT5 ukuze ubuyisele emuva mathupha, abathengisi bangasebenzisa idatha yomlando eyakhelwe ngaphakathi namathuluzi wokushadi ukuze babuyekeze ukunyakaza kwentengo okwedlule, benze ukuhweba mathupha, futhi bahlole ukusebenza kwesu. Le nqubo ivumela ukuhlolwa okuphelele kwamasu okuhweba endaweni elawulwayo.

I-Metatrader 4 (MT4) enye iplathifomu edumile yokubuyisela emuva ngesandla. Abahwebi bangafinyelela idatha yomlando futhi basebenzise izici zokushadi ze-MT4 ukuze badale kabusha izimo zemakethe zangaphambilini futhi bahwebe mathupha. Ngenkathi i-MT4 ingenazo ezinye izici ezithuthukile ze-MT5, isalokhu iyinketho esebenzayo yabathengisi abafuna ukwenza ukubuyisela emuva ngesandla ngempumelelo.

Amathuluzi wokuhlola okuzenzakalelayo

Ngokuphambene nokuhlolwa kwe-backtesting okwenziwa ngesandla, amathuluzi okubuyisela emuva azenzakalelayo anikeza abahwebi ukusebenza kahle nokunemba kokuhlaziya okuqhutshwa ubuchwepheshe. I-Forex Strategy Tester iyisigaba sesofthiwe eklanyelwe ngokucacile ukubuyisela emuva okuzenzakalelayo. Lawa mathuluzi avumela abahwebi ukuthi bahlole amasu abo okuhweba besebenzisa idatha yomlando futhi baqashwe kakhulu emphakathini wokuhweba ngenxa yokunemba nokunemba kwabo.

Umhloli wecebo le-Metatrader 5

I-Metatrader 5 (MT5) Strategy Tester iyithuluzi elinamandla elishumekwe endaweni yokuhweba ye-MT5. Ihlinzeka abathengisi ngenqwaba yezici:

Izikhathi eziningi: I-MT5 ivumela ukuhlolwa ngezikhathi ezihlukene, isiza ekuhlaziyeni okuphelele kwamasu.

Ukuthuthukisa: Abahwebi bangathuthukisa amasu abo ngokulungisa amapharamitha ukuze basebenze kakhulu.

Imodi ebonakalayo: Abasebenzisi bangabona ngeso lengqondo ukuhweba kumashadi omlando, okusiza ukuqonda kangcono ukuziphatha kwamasu.

Ungasisebenzisa kanjani isihloli samasu we-MT5:

Ukukhetha idatha: Layisha idatha yomlando yamapheya ohlobo lwemali olufiswayo nezikhathi ezimisiwe.

Ukukhetha isu: Khetha isu lokuhweba ofuna ukulihlola.

Ukubeka amapharamitha: Chaza amapharamitha afana nosayizi wenkatho, ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka, ukwenza inzuzo, kanye nediphozithi yokuqala.

Yenza ukuhlolwa: Qalisa i-backtest futhi ubuyekeze imiphumela, okuhlanganisa ama-metric okusebenza namajika wokulingana.

Ukubuyekezwa kwe-Metatrader 4

I-Metatrader 4 (MT4) inikeza amandla ayo okubuyisela emuva, nakuba kunomehluko othile uma kuqhathaniswa ne-MT5:

Kuyasebenziseka: I-interface ye-MT4 yaziwa ngobulula bayo, okwenza ifinyeleleke kubahwebi bawo wonke amazinga.

Ukuhlola okubukwayo: Abahwebi bangakwazi ukuhlola idatha yomlando ngeso lengqondo, babasize benze izinqumo ezinolwazi.

Ungayisebenzisa kanjani isoftware ye-backtesting ye-MT4:

Idatha yomlando: Ngenisa idatha yomlando yamapheya emali kanye nezikhathi ohlose ukuzihlaziya.

Ukukhetha isu: Khetha isu lokuhweba ozolihlola.

Ukucushwa: Cacisa amapharamitha afana nosayizi wenkatho, ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka, ukwenza inzuzo, kanye nebhalansi yokuqala.

Yenza ukuhlolwa: Qalisa i-backtest futhi uhlole imiphumela, okuhlanganisa nezibalo zokusebenza ezinemininingwane.

Amathuluzi okubuyisela emuva azenzakalelayo njenge-Forex Strategy Tester ahlinzeka abathengisi ngendlela ehlelekile nephumelelayo yokuhlola amasu abo okuhweba, okubasiza ukuthi benze izinqumo ezinolwazi ngokusekelwe kudatha yomlando nokuhlaziya.

Ukubaluleka kokubuyisela emuva ku forex

Enye yezindima eziphambili zokuhlehla emuva ukunciphisa ubungozi. Izimakethe ze-Forex zigcwele ukuguquguquka nokungabikezeli, okwenza ukuphathwa kobungozi kubaluleke kakhulu. Ngokubuyisela emuva, abathengisi bangahlola ukuthi amasu abo ngabe asebenze kanjani ezimeni ezihlukene zemakethe. Lokhu kuhlola kuzivumela ukuthi zihlonze izingibe ezingaba khona, zibeke amazinga afanelekile okulahlekelwa kokuyeka, futhi zisungule izilinganiso zomvuzo wengozi ezihambisana nokubekezelela kwazo ubungozi.

Ukuhweba okuphumelelayo kuncike ekubeni neqhinga elichazwe kahle. I-Backtesting isebenza njengokuhlolwa kwe-litmus kulawa masu. Ivumela abathengisi ukuthi baqinisekise imibono yabo futhi balinganise ukuthi indlela yabo iwaphethe yini amanzi uma ingaphansi kwedatha yemakethe yomlando. Isu elisebenza kahle ngokungaguquguquki ezimeni ezahlukahlukene ekuhloleni emuva kungenzeka liqine futhi lithembeke uma lisetshenziswa ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi sangempela.

Ukuthuthukiswa okuqhubekayo kuwuphawu lwabahwebi abaphumelelayo. I-Backtesting inika abahwebi amandla okuthuthukisa amasistimu abo okuhweba ngamapharamitha wokushuna kahle, ukulungisa izimo zokungena nokuphuma, kanye nokuhlola izinkomba ezihlukahlukene. Ngokuhlolisisa ukusebenza kwangaphambilini, abadayisi bangathuthukisa amasu abo futhi bazivumelanise nezimo ezishintshayo zemakethe, ngaleyo ndlela bandise amathuba abo okuphumelela kwesikhathi eside.

Imikhuba ehamba phambili yokuhlehla okuphumelelayo

Ukuqinisekisa ukuthi ukuhlehla ku-forex kuveza imininingwane enembile futhi ephathekayo, abahwebi kufanele bahambisane nesethi yezindlela ezihamba phambili. Le mihlahlandlela idizayinelwe ukuthuthukisa ukuthembeka nokufaneleka kwemiphumela yokuhlehla, ekugcineni kuholele ezinqumweni zokuhweba ezinolwazi olungcono.

Isisekelo sanoma iyiphi i-backtest ephusile ilele kukhwalithi nokunemba kwedatha yomlando. Abahwebi kufanele basebenzise imithombo yedatha ethembekile futhi baqinisekise ukuthi idatha ayinawo amaphutha, izikhala, noma ukunemba. Idatha ye-Subpar ingahlanekezela imiphumela futhi idukise abahwebi, inikeze yonke inqubo yokubuyisela emuva ingasebenzi.

Ekufuneni amasu okwenza inzuzo, abathengisi ngezinye izikhathi babeka imingcele engenakwenzeka ngesikhathi sokubuyisela emuva. Kubalulekile ukugcina umuzwa wokuba ngokoqobo, ucabangela izici ezifana nezimo zemakethe, imali yokuthenga impahla, kanye nezindleko zokuhweba. Izilungiselelo ezinethemba ngokweqile zingadala umuzwa ongamanga wokuphepha futhi ziholele emiphumeleni yomhlaba wangempela edumazayo.

Ukuhweba komhlaba wangempela kuhilela ukushelela (umehluko phakathi kwamanani alindelekile nakhishiwe) kanye nokusabalala (umehluko phakathi kwebhidi nezintengo zokubuza). Ukubonisa izimo zokuhweba zangempela ngokunembile, ama-backtests kufanele ahlanganise lezi zici. Ukungazinaki kungaholela ekulinganiseni inzuzo ngokweqile futhi kubukeze ukulahlekelwa.

Ukubhala kanye nokufaka kungobo yomlando imiphumela ye-backtesting kuwumkhuba obalulekile. Leli rekhodi lomlando lisebenza njengendawo eyinkomba yokuhlaziya ukuguquguquka kwesu kanye nezinqubo zokwenza izinqumo. Futhi kusiza abathengisi ukulandelela ukusebenza kwamasu amaningi ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.

Izimakethe ze-Forex zinamandla futhi zingashintsha. Okusebenze izolo kungase kungasebenzi kusasa. Abahwebi kufanele njalo babuyekeze futhi bahlole kabusha amasu abo ukuze bavumelane nezimo zemakethe ezithuthukayo.

Ukukhetha best forex backtesting software

Zombili i-MT4 ne-MT5 ziyizinkundla ezamukelwa kabanzi, ngayinye inamandla ayo:

I-MT4 (Metatrader 4): Yaziwa ngesixhumi esibonakalayo esisebenziseka kalula nomtapo wezincwadi obanzi wezinkomba zangokwezifiso, i-MT4 ithandwa abahwebi abazisa ubulula nokusebenza kahle. Kodwa-ke, ayinazo ezinye izici ezithuthukile ze-MT5, njengokuhlola imali eningi kanye nekhalenda lezomnotho elakhelwe ngaphakathi.

I-MT5 (Metatrader 5): I-MT5 inikeza uhla olubanzi lwezimpahla, okuhlanganisa amasheya nezimpahla, ngaphezu kwe-forex. Inamakhono aphakeme okubuyisela emuva, okuhlanganisa ukuhlolwa kwemali eningi, amathuluzi ezithombe ezithuthukisiwe, kanye nesivinini sokwenza esithuthukisiwe. Kuvamise ukukhetha kubahwebi abafuna ukuhlaziywa okubanzi.

Amanye amathuluzi okubuyisela emuva adumile

Ngale kwe-MT4 ne-MT5, amanye amathuluzi amaningana okubuyisela emuva anakekela izidingo zabahwebi:

I-NinjaTrader: Yaziwa ngamathuluzi ayo okuhlaziya imakethe aphelele kanye nokuhambisana nabahlinzeki bedatha abaningi.

TradeStation: Inikeza ngolimi olunamandla lokubhala ukuze kuthuthukiswe isu langokwezifiso kanye nokwenza kahle.

cTrader: Yaziwa ngesibonisi sayo esinembile namandla okuhweba e-algorithmic.

Izinto okufanele uzicabangele lapho ukhetha isofthiwe

Lapho ukhetha isofthiwe ye-forex yokubuyisela emuva, cabangela izici ezilandelayo:

Ukuhambelana: Qinisekisa ukuthi isofthiwe iyahambisana nenkundla yakho yokuhweba kanye ne-brokerage.

Ikhwalithi yedatha: Hlola ikhwalithi nokutholakala kwedatha yomlando ukuze kuhlolwe okunembile.

Izici: Hlola izici zesofthiwe, okuhlanganisa izinketho zokwenza ngendlela oyifisayo, amakhono okuthuthukisa, nosekelo lwamakilasi ezimpahla ahlukahlukene.

Cost: Cabangela kokubili izindleko zokuthenga zokuqala kanye nezinkokhelo eziqhubekayo zokubhaliselwe.

Umphakathi nokusekelwa: Bheka inkundla yesofthiwe enomphakathi wabasebenzisi abasebenzayo kanye nokwesekwa kwamakhasimende okuthembekile.

Hlola ngokucophelela izidingo zakho nezinto ozikhethayo ukuze ukhethe isofthiwe ehambisana kangcono nemigomo nesitayela sakho sokuhweba.

Isiphetho

Ukuhlehla ku forex akusona nje isinyathelo sokuzikhethela; kuyisici esibalulekile sokuhweba. Inika abahwebi amandla okwenza:

Nciphisa ingozi: Ngokuhlola ukusebenza kwamasu ezimeni ezehlukene zemakethe.

Qinisekisa amasu: Ngokunikeza ubufakazi obusebenzayo bokusebenza kwesu.

Lungiselela izinhlelo zokuhweba: Ngokulungisa kahle nokulungisa amasu kuguquko lwemakethe.

Lokhu kuhlola okuhlelekile, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi kwenziwa ngesandla noma ngamathuluzi azenzakalelayo, kunikeza abathengisi ukuqonda okujulile kwendlela yabo yokuhweba futhi kubahlomisa ngolwazi oludingekayo ukuze benze izinqumo ezinolwazi.