I-Counter trend trend yokuhweba isu ku-Forex

I-counter trend trend trading strategy ku-Forex iyindlela yokuhweba ebandakanya ukuphambana nesiqondiso semakethe. Le ndlela ingaba yinselele impela njengoba iphikisana nemizwelo yemvelo yabathengisi abaningi, abancamela ukuhwebelana lapho bebheke khona. Kodwa-ke, ukuhweba okuphambene nakho kungase kube nenzuzo enkulu uma kwenziwa ngendlela efanele.

Ukuba ne-counter trend trend yokuhweba isu kubalulekile kunoma yimuphi umhwebi ofuna ukuzuza impumelelo engaguquki emakethe ye-Forex. Ukuhweba okuphambene nethrendi kuvumela abahwebi ukuthi bazuze ngokuhlehliswa kwemakethe nokulungiswa, okungagejwa ngamasu alandelayo. Kungasiza futhi ukuhlukanisa iphothifoliyo yomthengisi futhi kunciphise ingozi iyonke.

Inhloso yalesi sihloko ukuhlinzeka ngokuhlolwa okujulile kwesu le-counter trend lokuhweba ku-Forex. Sizohlola izinhlobo ezahlukene zamasu okuhweba okuthambekela okuphikisayo, i-psychology yokuhweba ngokumelene nethrendi, nezindlela zokulawula ubungozi. Sizophinde sinikeze izibonelo zabadayisi bethrendi abaphumelelayo futhi sixoxe ngezifundo ezingafundwa kokuhlangenwe nakho kwabo.

Izinhlobo ze-Counter trend trend trading strategy

Ukuhweba okuphikisayo kuhilela ukuhweba ngokumelene nethrendi, futhi kukhona amasu ahlukahlukene abathengisi abangawasebenzisa ukuhlonza ukuguqulwa kwemakethe okungaba khona. Kulesi sigaba, sizoxoxa ngamasu amabili adume kakhulu okuhweba okuphikiswayo: isu le-Counter trendline break kanye nesu le-Fibonacci Retracement.

A. I-Counter trendline break strategy

Isu le-Counter trendline break lihlanganisa ukukhomba umugqa wethrendi odwetshiwe oxhumanisa ukuphakama noma ukwehla komnyakazo wentengo lapho kuqondiswa khona ithrendi. Uma intengo inqamula kulo mugqa wethrendi ibheke kolunye uhlangothi, ikhombisa ukuguqulwa okungaba khona. Abahwebi bangafaka isikhundla esifushane noma eside ngokuya ngesiqondiso sekhefu.

Enye yezinzuzo zalelisu ukuthi linikeza amaphuzu acacile okungena nokuphuma. Kodwa-ke, okunye okubi ukuthi kungenzeka ukuqubuka okungamanga, okuholela ekulahlekelweni. Ukunciphisa le ngozi, abadayisi bangasebenzisa izinkomba ezengeziwe noma balinde ukuqinisekiswa ngaphambi kokungena kwezohwebo.

Izinqubo ezingcono kakhulu zokuqalisa leli su zihlanganisa ukudweba imigqa ethrendayo enembile kanye nokuba nesineke lapho ulinde ukuphuma. Abahwebi kufanele futhi bacabange ukusebenzisa ama-stop-loss orders ukuze balinganisele ukulahlekelwa okungase kube khona.

B. Isu lokubuyisela i-Fibonacci

Isu lokubuyisela i-Fibonacci lihlanganisa ukusebenzisa izilinganiso ze-Fibonacci ukuze kuhlonzwe amazinga angahle ahlehliswe. Izilinganiso ze-Fibonacci izilinganiso zezibalo ezenzeka njalo emvelweni futhi kukholakala ukuthi zinenani elibikezelayo ezimakethe zezimali.

Abahwebi abasebenzisa leli su bazohlonza inkambiso yakamuva futhi badwebe amaleveli okubuyisela e-Fibonacci ngokusekelwe kulowo mkhuba. Uma inani libuyela kwelinye lalawa mazinga, libonakala njengeleveli yokusekelwa engaba khona noma yokumelana kanye nendawo yokungena engaba khona yohwebo oluphikisanayo.

Enye inzuzo yaleli su ukuthi inganikeza amaphuzu acacile okungena nawokuphuma ngokusekelwe kumazinga e-Fibonacci amisiwe. Kodwa-ke, okunye okungalungile ukuthi la mazinga angaphansi futhi angahluka phakathi kwabahwebi.

Izinqubo ezingcono kakhulu zokuqalisa leli su zihlanganisa ukusebenzisa izikhathi ezimisiwe eziningi ukuze kuqinisekiswe amazinga angahle ahlehliswe kanye nokucabangela ezinye izinkomba zokusekela ukubuyiswa kwe-Fibonacci. Abahwebi kufanele futhi bacabange ukusebenzisa ama-stop-loss orders ukuze balinganisele ukulahlekelwa okungase kube khona.

Sengiphetha, kukhona amasu ahlukahlukene okuhweba amathrendi abathengisi abangawasebenzisa emakethe ye-Forex. Isu le-Counter trendline break kanye ne-Fibonacci retracement strategy yizibonelo ezimbili nje, ngasinye sinobuhle nobubi baso. Ngokuqonda lawa masu nokusebenzisa izinqubo ezingcono kakhulu, abahwebi bangakhuphula amathuba abo empumelelo lapho behweba ngokumelene nomkhuba.

I-Psychology yokuhweba ekuhwebeni kwe-Counter trend

A. Izingibe ezivamile ezingokwengqondo

Ukuhweba okuphambene nethrendi kudinga isethi ehlukile yezici zengqondo nemikhuba okungebona bonke abahwebi abanayo. Izingibe ezijwayelekile ezingokwengqondo ekuhwebeni okuphikisayo zifaka okulandelayo:

Ukwesaba ukulahlekelwa (i-FOMO): I-FOMO ingaholela abahwebi ukuthi benze uhwebo ngokungananazi, bajahe ukunyakaza kwamanani futhi bakushaya indiva ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, ekugcineni kubangele izinqumo ezimbi.

Isiqinisekiso sokuchema: ukuchema kokuqinisekisa kwenzeka lapho abahwebi bekhetha ukuhumusha ulwazi ukuze basekele izinkolelo zabo ezikhona, kunokuba bahlaziye idatha etholakalayo.

I-Overtrading: ukuhweba ngokweqile kungase kubangele ukuntula isiyalo, okuholela abahwebi ukuthi benze ukuhweba okuningi ngaphandle kokuhlaziywa okufanele, okungaholela ekulahlekelweni okukhulu.

B. Indlela yokunqoba izithiyo ezingokwengqondo

Yakha uhlelo lokuhweba: uhlelo lokuhweba oluklanywe kahle lusiza abahwebi ukuthi bahlale begxilile futhi behlelekile, kunciphisa amathuba okuhweba ngokungazelelwe.

Yamukela ukungaqiniseki: Ukuhweba okuphambene nethrendi kuhilela ukwamukela ingcuphe yokuphambana nethrendi ekhona, edinga ukuzimisela ukwamukela ukungaqiniseki nokungaqondakali.

Prakthiza ukubekezela: ukubekezela kuyisici esiyinhloko ekuhwebeni okuphambene nethrendi. Kubalulekile ukulinda amaphuzu afanele okungena nokuphuma, kunokugxumela ekuhwebeni ngaphandle kwe-FOMO.

Hlala unenjongo: abahwebi kufanele bahlale benomgomo, njalo behlaziya idatha ngendlela eqondile, kunokuba bafune ukuqinisekisa izinkolelo zabo ezikhona.

Ngokugwema lezi zingibe ezivamile kanye nokulandela imikhuba ehamba phambili, abadayisi bangakwazi ukuphatha ngempumelelo i-psychology yabo ekuhwebeni okuphambene nethrendi, okuholela ekuhwebeni okunenzuzo nokuphumelelayo.

Ukulawulwa kobungozi ekuhwebeni kwe-Counter trend

Ukuhweba okuphambene nethrendi kungaba isu elinobungozi obuphezulu obudinga ukuphathwa ngokucophelela kobungozi ukuze kugwenywe ukulahlekelwa okukhulu. Ukulawulwa kobungozi kubalulekile ukuze abahwebi baphile emakethe futhi babe nenzuzo ngokungaguquki. Kulesi sigaba, sizoxoxa ngokubaluleka kokulawulwa kwezinhlekelele ekuhwebeni okuphambene nethrendi kanye namasu okulawula ubungozi.

A. Ukubaluleka kokulawulwa kobungozi

Ukulawulwa kobungozi kubalulekile ekuhwebeni okuphambene nalokho ngoba abathengisi bavame ukubhekana nezingozi ezinkulu kanye nokulahlekelwa okungaba khona lapho behweba ngokumelene nethrendi. Abahwebi kufanele bahlale bekulungele ukuthi kungenzeka ukuthi umkhuba uqalise kabusha, okungase kubangele ukuhlehla okubukhali kanye nokulahlekelwa okukhulu. Ngakho-ke, abahwebi kufanele babe nohlelo olukhona lokunciphisa ubungozi nokulahlekelwa kwabo.

B. Amasu okulawula ubungozi

Usayizi wesikhundla

Ukulinganisa isikhundla kuyindlela ebalulekile yokulawula ubungozi esiza abathengisi banqume inani elifanele lemali abangazifaka engozini kuhwebo ngalunye. Abahwebi akufanele babeke engcupheni ngaphezu kwe-1-2% ye-akhawunti yabo yokuhweba kunoma yikuphi ukuhweba okukodwa.

Yeka ama-oda okulahlekelwa

Ama-Stop Loss orders ama-oda abekwe kumdayisi ukuze adayise isibambiso uma sifinyelela inani elithile. Imiyalo yokumisa ukulahlekelwa isiza abahwebi ukuthi banciphise ukulahlekelwa kwabo ngokuvala ngokuzenzakalelayo ukuhweba okulahlekelwayo ngaphambi kokuthi kubangele ukulahlekelwa okukhulu.

Ukuhweba ngohlelo

Abahwebi kufanele bahlale benesu lokuhweba endaweni ehlanganisa izindawo zokungena nokuphuma, imiyalo yokumisa ukulahlekelwa, kanye nezinhloso zenzuzo. Uhlelo lokuhweba lusiza abahwebi ukuthi bahlale benezigwegwe futhi banciphise amathuba okwenza izinqumo ezisheshayo ngokusekelwe emizweni.

C. Imikhuba emihle namathiphu okusebenzisa

Abahwebi kufanele bagweme ukufaka engcupheni ngaphezu kuka-1-2% we-akhawunti yabo yokuhweba kunoma yikuphi ukuhweba okukodwa, futhi kufanele ngaso sonke isikhathi basebenzise imiyalo yokulahlekelwa kokuyeka ukuze banciphise ukulahlekelwa kwabo. Kubalulekile futhi ukuba nohlelo lokuhweba endaweni oluhlanganisa izindawo zokungena nokuphuma, imiyalo yokumisa ukulahlekelwa, kanye nezinhloso zenzuzo. Abahwebi kufanele futhi baqaphele ukuchema nemizwelo yabo engokwengqondo futhi basebenzise amasu anjengokuzindla nokuba nengqondo ukuze bahlale bezolile futhi begxilile phakathi nezikhathi zokuhweba. Ngokusebenzisa lezi zindlela ezingcono kakhulu namathiphu, abahwebi bangakwazi ukuphatha ubungozi babo ngempumelelo lapho behweba ngethrendi.

Izibonelo Zokuhweba Okuphumelelayo Kwe-Counter

Ukuhweba kwe-counter trend in forex kungaba umzamo oyinselele, kodwa kukhona abadayisi abasebenzise ngempumelelo lawa masu futhi bathola imiphumela emihle. Ngokutadisha laba bahwebi abaphumelelayo, abanye abathengisi bangafunda izifundo ezibalulekile ezingabasiza ukuba bathuthukise ukuhweba kwabo.

Isibonelo esisodwa somhwebi ophumelelayo we-counter trend uGeorge Soros, owaduma ngokwenza inzuzo eyisigidigidi ngo-1992 ngokunciphisa iphawundi laseBrithani. USoros ubikezele kahle ukuthi isinqumo sikahulumeni wase-UK sokuntanta iphawundi sizoholela ekwehleni kwenani, futhi wazibeka ngokufanele.

Omunye umthengisi ophumelelayo we-counter trend uPaul Tudor Jones, owenze ingcebo ngokukhomba amaphuzu amakhulu okushintsha ezimakethe. UJones waziwa ngocwaningo lwakhe olunzulu kanye nokunaka imininingwane, futhi usebenzise amakhono akhe okuhlaziya ukuze abe nomthelela omuhle ekuhlonzeni izitayela zemakethe kanye nemikhuba ephikisayo.

Isifundo esisodwa esibalulekile esingafundwa kulaba bahwebi abaphumelelayo ukubaluleka kokuba nohlelo lokuhweba oluchazwe kahle. USoros noJones bobabili babenamasu acacile okuhlonza izitayela kanye nemikhuba ephikisayo, futhi banamathela ezinhlelweni zabo ngisho nalapho bebhekene nobunzima. Baphinde basebenzisa amasu okulawula ubungozi njengokulinganisa indawo kanye nama-oda wokumisa ukulahlekelwa ukuze bakhawulele ukulahlekelwa kwabo futhi bakhulise izinzuzo zabo.

Sengiphetha, kunezibonelo eziningi zabathengisi be-counter trend abaphumelele abaye bathola imiphumela emihle ekuhwebeni kwe-forex. Ngokufunda laba bahwebi nokufunda empumelelweni nasekuhlulekeni kwabo, abanye abathengisi bangathuthukisa amasu abo okuhweba futhi bakhulise amathuba abo okuphumelela.

Isiphetho

Sengiphetha, isu le-counter trend trading lingaba ithuluzi elibalulekile labathengisi abafuna ukuzuza ezimakethe ze-forex. Ngokuhlonza ukuguqulwa kwethrendi okungaba khona nokusebenzisa ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe ukuze bangene futhi baphume ezikhundleni, abahwebi bangakwazi ukusizakala ngokungasebenzi kahle kwemakethe futhi benze imbuyiselo.

Kubalulekile ukuqaphela, nokho, ukuthi ukuhweba okuphambene nethrendi kuhilela izingozi ezingokwemvelo, futhi abahwebi kufanele bakhuthale ekulawuleni lezi zingozi ngokusebenzisa amasu afanele okulawula ubungozi njengokulinganisa indawo, imiyalo yokumisa ukulahlekelwa, nokuhweba ngohlelo. Ukwengeza, abahwebi kumele baqaphele izingibe ezijwayelekile ezingokwengqondo ezingakhinyabeza impumelelo yabo, njenge-FOMO, ukwenzelela kokuqinisekisa, kanye nokuhweba ngokweqile.

Naphezu kwalezi zinselelo, kunezibonelo eziningi zabathengisi abaphumelelayo be-counter trend abaye bakhiqiza inzuzo ngokungaguquki ngamasu abo okuhweba. Ngokutadisha laba bahwebi nokufunda kokuhlangenwe nakho kwabo, abadayisi bangathola imininingwane ebalulekile yokuthi bangawenza kanjani ngempumelelo amasu okuhweba okuthrendayo.

Uma sibheka phambili, ucwaningo lwesikhathi esizayo lungagxila ekuthuthukiseni nasekucwengisiseni amasu okuhweba okuphambene nethrendi, kanye nokuhlola ukusetshenziswa kweminye imithombo yedatha njengokuhlaziya imizwa namasu okufunda ngomshini. Sekukonke, isu le-countertrend yokuhweba limelela indawo ethembisayo ukuze kuqhutshekwe nocwaningo nokuhlola emkhakheni wokuhweba nge-forex.