I-Parabolic stop nesikhombi sokuhlehla

Ukuhweba nge-Forex, nemvelo yakho eguquguqukayo kanye nenqwaba yezinto ezithonyayo, kudinga indlela enolwazi futhi enamasu. Yilapho izinkomba zobuchwepheshe zingena khona ekukhanyeni. Lawa mathuluzi okuhlaziya, asekelwe ekubalweni kwezibalo, idatha yomlando wamanani, namathrendi emakethe, asebenza njengemihlahlandlela ebalulekile kubahwebi.

Izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, njenge-Parabolic SAR, zinikeza abahwebi amaphuzu edatha abalulekile angasiza ekwenzeni izinqumo ezinolwazi. Zisiza ekukhombeni okungaba khona izindawo zokungena nokuphuma, ukukala amandla ethrendi, nokulawula ubungozi ngempumelelo. Emakethe lapho izinqumo zokuhlukaniswa kwesibili zingenza noma ziphule ukuhweba, ukuqonda okuqinile kwezinkomba zobuchwepheshe akugcini nje ngokuzuzisa kodwa kuyadingeka.

Ukuqonda izinto eziyisisekelo

I-Parabolic Stop and Reverse Indicator, evame ukwaziwa nge-Parabolic SAR noma i-PSR, iyithuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe elinamandla elakhelwe ukusiza abadayisi be-forex ekuhlonzeni okungase kube khona ukuhlehliswa kwethrendi kanye nokunquma amaphuzu aphelele okungena nokuphuma ngaphakathi kwethrendi ekhona. Ithuthukiswe umhwebi nomhlaziyi odumile u-J. Welles Wilder Jr., le nkomba izuze indawo yayo njengengxenye ebalulekile kunqolobane yabahwebi emhlabeni wonke.

Emgogodleni wayo, i-Parabolic SAR incike kufomula yezibalo ukuhlela amachashazi eshadini lentengo. Lawa machashazi, avela ngenhla noma ngaphansi kwemishayo yentengo, asebenza njengamaphoyinti asiza abathengisi ukukala isiqondiso sethrendi ekhona. Uma amachashazi engaphansi kwenani, akhombisa ukukhuphuka, futhi uma engaphezulu, akhombisa ukwehla. Injongo eyinhloko ye-Parabolic SAR iwukunikeza abahwebi ukumelwa okubonakalayo kwamaphuzu angahle ahlehliswe, ngaleyo ndlela ibasize ekwenzeni izinqumo ezinolwazi mayelana nokuthi bangene nini noma baphume nini ezikhundleni.

Umlando we-Parabolic SAR ungalandelelwa kusukela ekuqaleni kwawo-1970 ngu-J. Welles Wilder Jr., umuntu ovelele ekuhlaziyeni kwezobuchwepheshe. U-Wilder, owaziwa ngamagalelo akhe ezinkomba ezihlukahlukene zobuchwepheshe, uthuthukise i-PSR njengempendulo ezinselele abahwebi ababhekana nazo ekuhlonzeni ukuhlehla kwezitayela. Inhloso yakhe kwakuwukudala ithuluzi elingakwazi ukuzivumelanisa nezimo zemakethe ezishintshayo futhi linikeze izimpawu ezicacile kubahwebi.

Indlela i-parabolic stop and reverse inkomba isebenza ngayo

I-Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) Inkomba isebenzisa ifomula eqondile kodwa enamandla yokubala kwayo. Ukuqonda le fomula kuyisihluthulelo sokuqonda ukuthi inkomba isebenza kanjani. Nakhu ukuhlukaniswa kwesinyathelo ngesinyathelo:

Inqubo iqala ngokukhethwa kwevelu yokuqala ye-SAR, ngokuvamile ephansi kakhulu kumaphoyinti edatha ambalwa okuqala. Leli nani lokuqala lisebenza njengesiqalo sezibalo ezilandelayo.

Inkomba ikhomba okuphezulu kakhulu (kokunyukayo) noma okuphansi kakhulu (kwamathrendi aphansi) ochungechungeni lwedatha esikhathini esichaziwe. Leli phuzu elidlulele liba ireferensi yesibalo se-SAR.

I-AF iyingxenye ebalulekile enquma ukuthi i-SAR ihamba ngokushesha kangakanani ekuphenduleni izinguquko zentengo. Iqala ngenani elincane futhi ingakhula ngokubala ngakunye okulandelayo, okuvumela i-SAR ukuthi ibambe iqhaza ekunyakazeni kwamanani.

Kusetshenziswa inani lokuqala le-SAR, iphoyinti elidlulele, kanye ne-AF, inani le-SAR lesikhathi samanje liyabalwa. Ifomula yokubala kwe-SAR ku-uptrend ithi:

I-SAR = I-SAR Yangaphambili + I-AF Yangaphambili × (I-EP Yangaphambili - I-SAR Yangaphambili)

Futhi ku-downtrend:

I-SAR = I-SAR Yangaphambili - I-AF Yangaphambili × (I-SAR Yangaphambili - I-EP Yangaphambili)

Inani le-SAR elibaliwe lifakwe eshadini lentengo njengechashaza. Lelichashazi limele ukuma okungaba khona kanye nephoyinti elihlehlayo lethrendi.

Ukuhunyushwa

Ukutolika amasiginali we-Parabolic SAR kubalulekile ezinqumweni zokuhweba ezisebenzayo:

I-uptrend: Uma amachashazi e-SAR engaphansi kwemishayo yentengo, iphakamisa ukuphakama. Abahwebi bangabheka lokhu njengophawu lokuthenga noma ukubamba izikhundla ezinde.

I-Downtrend: Ngokuphambene, lapho amachashazi e-SAR engaphezulu kwemishayo yentengo, kubonisa ukwehla, okubonisa ithuba elingaba khona lokuthengisa noma lokulondoloza izikhundla ezimfushane.

Ukuguqulwa kwesignali: Ukuhlehla kwenzeka lapho amachashazi e-SAR eshintsha izindawo ukusuka phezulu ukuya ngezansi (noma okuphambene nalokho) ngokuhlobene nemishayo yentengo. Lesi siginali yokuhlehla ibalulekile futhi ivamise ukusetshenziselwa ukuphuma ezindaweni ezikhona futhi ingene kwelinye icala.

Isicelo esiwusizo

Uhlelo lokusebenza olusebenzayo lwe-Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) lusekhonweni layo lokunikeza abahwebi izimpawu ezicacile zokungena nokuphuma, okubasiza ukuthi bazulazule ezinkingeni zemakethe ye-forex.

Kumasiginali wokungena, abadayisi bavamise ukucabangela ukuqalisa izikhundla lapho amachashazi e-SAR ehambisana nethrendi yentengo. Ku-uptrend, lokhu kusho ukufuna amathuba okuthenga lapho amachashazi engaphansi kwemigoqo yentengo, okubonisa umuzwa we-bullish. Ngokuphambene, ku-downtrend, amasignali athengiswayo avela lapho amachashazi engaphezulu kwemigoqo yentengo, ebonisa umuzwa we-bearish.

Izimo zokuhweba kwangempela ziyisibonelo sokusetshenziswa kwe-Parabolic SAR. Isibonelo, uma amachashazi e-SAR elokhu engaphansi kwamabha entengo ngokuqhubekayo abese eshintshela ngaphezu kwawo, kungaba isignali enamandla yokuphuma ezindaweni ezinde futhi okungenzeka ungene ezikhundleni ezimfushane, ulindele ukuhlehla kwethrendi.

Lapho umhwebi engena endaweni esekelwe kumasiginali we-SAR, angasetha i-stop-loss order ngaphansi nje kwechashazi le-SAR ku-uptrend (noma ngaphezu kwayo ku-downtrend). Lokhu kubekwa kwamasu kuhambisana nenjongo yenkomba yokuhlonza amaphuzu angahle ahlehliswe. Uma ukuhweba kuphambene nomhwebi, i-stop-loss order isiza ukuvikela imali enkulu ngokuvala isikhundla ngaphambi kokulahlekelwa okukhulu.

Izinzuzo

Ukufaka Inkomba ye-Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) esu lakho lokuhweba le-forex kunikeza izinzuzo ezimbalwa ezihlukile:

Sula ukuhlonza ithrendi: Ukumelwa okubonakalayo kwe-SAR kwesiqondisindlela sethrendi kwenza inqubo yokuhlonza amathrendi ibe lula, kusize abahwebi benze izinqumo ezinolwazi.

Ukujwayela okunamandla: I-SAR ilungisa izimo zemakethe, okuyivumela ukuthi ihlale isabela ekushintshashintsheni kwentengo nokuhlehliswa kwethrendi okungaba khona.

Izimpawu zokungena nokuphuma: Inkomba ihlinzeka ngezimpawu zokungena nokuphuma ezinembayo, isiza abahwebi ekwandiseni isikhathi sabo sokuhweba.

Ukuphathwa kweengozi: Ngokubeka ama-oda okulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngokusekelwe kumasiginali we-SAR, abahwebi bangakwazi ukulawula ubungozi ngendlela efanele, balondoloze imali.

Ilula: Imvelo eqondile ye-SAR iyenza ifinyeleleke kubahwebi bawo wonke amazinga okuhlangenwe nakho.

Imikhawulo nokucatshangelwa

Ngenkathi i-Parabolic SAR iyithuluzi elibalulekile, kubalulekile ukuvuma ukulinganiselwa kwayo futhi usebenzise ukuqapha:

I-Whipaws: Ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo noma ezisemaceleni, i-SAR ingakwazi ukukhiqiza amasiginali avamile noma amanga, okuholela ekulahlekelweni uma abahwebi benza ngokuvumelana nawo ngaphandle kokubona.

Inkomba yokusalele: Njengezinkomba eziningi ezilandela ithrendi, i-SAR ingase inganikezi amasignali afika ngesikhathi ngesikhathi lapho ukuguqulwa kwethrendi kwenzeka.

Ukuncika esimisweni sesikhathi: Ukukhethwa kwesikhathi esibekelwe kungaba nomthelela omkhulu ekusebenzeni kwe-SAR. Abahwebi kufanele balungise izilungiselelo ukuze zifane nesitayela sabo sokuhweba.

Akusona isixazululo esizimele: Nakuba iwusizo, i-SAR kufanele isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe nayisisekelo ukuze kwenziwe izinqumo zokuhweba ezihlanganiswe kahle.

Ukukhetha imakethe: I-SAR ingase yenze ngendlela ehlukile ezimeni zemakethe ezihlukahlukene, ngakho abahwebi kufanele bacabangele ukusebenza kwayo kumapheya emali ethile abawahwebayo.

Indaba 1: Ukugibela ithrendi

Kulesi sibonelo, cabanga ngomhwebi ogxile kubhangqa lwemali ye-EUR/USD. Umhwebi uhlonza ukukhuphuka okuqinile ngokuqaphela ukuthi amachashazi e-SAR avela ngokuqhubekayo ngaphansi kwemishayo yentengo. Eqaphela lokhu njengesignali ye-bullish, umhwebi ungena endaweni ende.

Njengoba lo mkhuba uqhubeka, amachashazi e-SAR alandela ngokwethembeka ngaphansi kwemishayo yamanani, enikeza isiqondiso esicacile. Umhwebi usetha i-oda lokulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngaphansi nje kwechashaza lakamuva le-SAR ukuze alawule ubungozi. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, amachashazi e-SAR ahlala engaphansi kwemishayo yentengo, okuqinisa umfutho ophakeme.

Ekugcineni, lapho amachashazi e-SAR eshintsha izikhundla, ehamba ngaphezu kwemigoqo yamanani, umhwebi uthola isignali yokuphuma endaweni ende. Lokhu kuphuma kwamasu kuphumela ekuhwebeni okunenzuzo, lapho umdayisi ebamba ingxenye enkulu yomnyakazo oya phezulu.

Indaba 2: Ithuba lokuhlehla kwethrendi

Kulesi simo, ake sihlole ukubhanqwa kohlobo lwemali lwe-GBP/JPY. Umhwebi ubona ukwehla kwe-downtrend njengoba amachashazi e-SAR evela njalo ngaphezu kwemishayo yentengo. Eqaphela lokhu njengesignali ye-bearish, umhwebi ungena endaweni emfushane.

Njengoba lo mkhuba uqhubeka, amachashazi e-SAR agcina isikhundla sawo ngaphezu kwemishayo yamanani. Umhwebi usetha i-oda lokulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngenhla nje kwechashazi lakamuva le-SAR ukuze alawule ubungozi. Ngemva kwesikhathi, amachashazi e-SAR ashintsha izindawo, ehamba ngaphansi kwemishayo yamanani. Lokhu kubonisa ukuhlehla kwethrendi okungaba khona.

Umhwebi uphuma esikhundleni esifushane futhi acabange ukungena endaweni ende, elindele ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish. Lesi sinqumo samasu siveza uhwebo olunenzuzo, njengoba umbhangqwana wohlobo lwemali empeleni uqala umkhondo okhuphukayo.

Isiphetho

Sengiphetha, i-Parabolic SAR, eyakhiwe ngu-J. Welles Wilder Jr., isebenza ngefomula eqondile, ekhiqiza amachashazi ngenhla noma ngezansi kwemishayo yamanani ukukhombisa inkomba yethrendi. Kuyithuluzi elisebenza ngezindlela eziningi elifanele abahwebi bawo wonke amazinga.

Izinzuzo ze-SAR zihlanganisa indima yayo ekuhlonzeni izitayela, ukuhlinzeka ngezimpawu zokungena nokuphuma ezinembayo, ukuzivumelanisa nezimo zemakethe, kanye nokulawulwa kobungozi okuphumelelayo.

Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukuxhumana ne-SAR ngokuqaphela okujulile ngemikhawulo yayo. Izimpawu ezingamanga ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo kanye nemvelo yazo exegayo ngesikhathi sokuhlehla kwezitayela yizinto okufanele zicatshangelwe.

Empeleni, abadayisi bangasebenzisa i-SAR ngokuphumelelayo ngokubeka ama-oda okulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngokusekelwe kumasiginali ayo futhi bawahlanganise nesu elibanzi lokuhweba.

Ukhiye wempumelelo nge-Parabolic SAR ulele ekuqondeni okuphelele kwemishini yayo, ukutolika, kanye nokusebenza okuhlakaniphile. Abahwebi ababamba ama-nuances ayo futhi basebenzise isiyalo ekusetshenzisweni kwayo bangasebenzisa amandla ayo ukuze benze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi futhi ezinenzuzo.