Umhlahlandlela ophelele wokwazi isu le-forex yephethini ye-ABCD.
Iphethini ye-ABCD iyisu elijwayelekile lokuhweba elisetshenziswa emakethe ye-Forex. Le phethini isetshenziselwa ukukhomba ukuguqulwa kwethrendi okungaba khona futhi ingasetshenziswa abadayisi ukwenza uhwebo olunenzuzo. Kulesi sihloko, sihlola iphethini ye-ABCD ngokuningiliziwe, sixoxa ngomlando wayo, ukuthi singayibona kanjani kumashadi wamanani, kanye nendlela yokudayisa ngayo ngokuphumelelayo. Siphinde sihlole ezinye izibonelo zomhlaba wangempela zephethini ye-ABCD esebenzayo futhi sixoxe ngobuhle nobubi bokusebenzisa leli su. Ekupheleni kwalesi sihloko, abafundi bazokwazi ukuqonda ngokucacile ukuthi iyini iphethini ye-ABCD, indlela yokuyibona, nokuthi bangayisebenzisa kanjani kumasu abo okuhweba.
Kusetshenziswa iphethini ye-ABCD ukukhomba ukuguqulwa okungaba khona kwethrendi.
Imakethe ye-Forex yaziwa ngokushintshashintsha kwayo nokungabikezeli, okwenza kube indawo eyinselele kubathengisi abangayizulazula. Kodwa-ke, ngamathuluzi namasu afanele, abahwebi bangakwazi ukwenza imali ngokunyakaza kwemakethe futhi benze ukuhweba okunenzuzo. Elinye isu elinjalo iphethini ye-ABCD, esetshenziselwa ukukhomba ukuguqulwa kwethrendi okungaba khona futhi kungaba ithuluzi elibalulekile labahwebi abafuna ukuthuthukisa ukusebenza kwabo kokuhweba.
Iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi elaziwayo lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe elisetshenziswa ekuhwebeni kwe-Forex. Kuyiphethini abathengisi abayisebenzisayo ukuhlonza amasiginali wokuthenga nokuthengisa okungenzeka. Iphethini yakhiwe ngamaphoyinti entengo amane abalulekile, abhalwe ukuthi A, B, C, kanye no-D. Iphethini iqala ngokusuka kwentengo ukusuka kuphoyinti A ukuya endaweni engu-B, kulandelwa ukuhlehliswa kabusha ukusuka endaweni engu-B kuya ku-C. iphuzu C ukuya ku-D, okufanele libe sezingeni elifanayo nephuzu A. Iphethini iqedile lapho inani lihlehla lisuka endaweni engu-D.
Iphethini ye-ABCD iqanjwe ngamaphuzu amane akha iphethini: A, B, C, kanye no-D. Iphethini nayo ngezinye izikhathi ibizwa ngokuthi iphethini ye-123 noma iphethini ye-zigzag. Iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi eliguquguqukayo elingasetshenziswa ukudayisa noma iyiphi imakethe, hhayi nje imakethe ye-Forex. Kodwa-ke, ilusizo ikakhulukazi emakethe ye-Forex ngenxa yemali ephezulu yemakethe kanye nokuguquguquka.
Ngenkathi iphethini ye-ABCD iyisu elidumile lokuhweba, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi alinangqondo. Abahwebi kufanele baqaphele futhi basebenzise amanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe kanye nezinkomba ukuze baqinisekise ubuqiniso bephethini ngaphambi kokwenza uhwebo. Noma kunjalo, iphethini ye-ABCD ingaba yithuluzi elibalulekile kunqolobane yabahwebi, ibanikeze uhlaka lokuhlonza okungase kube khona ukuhlehla kwenkambiso nokwenza uhwebo olunenzuzo emakethe ye-Forex.
Ukuhlola ukusebenza kwephethini ye-ABCD ekuhwebeni kwe forex.
Kukhona ingcebo yezincwadi zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe namasu okuhweba emakethe ye-Forex, futhi iphethini ye-ABCD ibe yisihloko sezifundo eziningi. Ukubuyekezwa kwezincwadi kuveza ukuthi iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi elisetshenziswa kabanzi phakathi kwabahwebi futhi kuboniswe ukuthi lisebenza ngempumelelo ekuhlonzeni ukuhlehliswa kokuthambekela okungenzeka.
Ucwaningo olulodwa lukaKaraman noKaraman (2018) luhlole ukusebenza kwephethini ye-ABCD ekuhwebeni kwe-Forex. Ababhali bahlaziye idatha yentengo kusuka ku-EUR/USD currency pair futhi bathola ukuthi iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi elithembekile lokuhlonza ukuhlehla kwethrendi. Ababhali baphinde baphawula ukuthi iphethini yayiwusizo ikakhulukazi ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo.
Olunye ucwaningo olwenziwe nguMishra noMaheshwari (2019) luphenye inzuzo yephethini ye-ABCD ekuhwebeni kwe-Forex. Ababhali bahlaziye idatha yentengo kusukela ekubhanqweni kohlobo lwemali ye-USD/JPY futhi bathola ukuthi iphethini ibe nenzuzo uma isetshenziswa ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe. Ababhali baphinde baphawula ukuthi iphethini ibisebenza kakhulu ezinkathini ezinde, njengamashadi ansuku zonke noma amaviki onke.
Naphezu kokutholwe okuhle kwalezi zifundo, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi ukuphumelela kwephethini ye-ABCD kungahluka kuye ngezimo zemakethe nezinye izici. Njengoba kuphawulwe yi-Velioglu and Gumus (2020), abathengisi kufanele baqaphele futhi basebenzise amanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe ukuze baqinisekise ubuqiniso bephethini ngaphambi kokwenza uhwebo. Ababhali baphinde baphawula ukuthi iphethini ye-ABCD kufanele isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namasu okulawula ubungozi ukuze kuncishiswe ukulahlekelwa okungenzeka.
Izindlela nezindlela zokusebenza ngempumelelo kwephethini ye-ABCD.
Izindlela ezisetshenziswa ukuhlaziya ukusebenza kwephethini ye-ABCD ekuhwebeni kwe-Forex ziyehluka phakathi kwezifundo. Kodwa-ke, izifundo eziningi zisebenzisa inhlanganisela yamathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe kanye nokuhlaziywa kwezibalo ukukhomba amaphethini kudatha yentengo.
Indlela eyodwa evamile iwukuhlaziya idatha yentengo yomlando kusuka kubhangqa lwemali ethile usebenzisa isofthiwe yokushadi. Abahwebi bese besebenzisa amathuluzi ahlukahlukene okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe, njengokuphinda kulandelelwe kwe-Fibonacci kanye nezilinganiso ezihambayo, ukuhlonza amaphethini e-ABCD angaba khona. Ukufaneleka kwephethini kungase kuqinisekiswe kusetshenziswa ukuhlaziya kwezibalo.
Ezinye izifundo futhi zisebenzisa ama-algorithms okufunda komshini ukuhlaziya idatha yentengo nokukhomba amaphethini. Isibonelo, u-Guler no-Unal (2021) basebenzise i-algorithm yokufunda komshini ukuze bakhombe amaphethini angaba khona e-ABCD kubhangqa lwemali ye-EUR/USD. Ababhali baqeqeshe i-algorithm besebenzisa idatha yentengo yomlando base beyisebenzisela ukuhlaziya idatha yesikhathi sangempela. Imiphumela yabonisa ukuthi i-algorithm ikhombe ngempumelelo amaphethini angaba khona futhi yakhiqiza ukuhweba okunenzuzo.
Usayizi wesampula namathuluzi okuqoqa idatha asetshenziswe kulezi zifundo angahluka kuye ngombuzo othile wocwaningo. Ezinye izifundo zingase zigxile kupheya yemali ethile noma imakethe, kuyilapho ezinye zingase zihlaziye idatha evela ezimakethe eziningi. Ukwengeza, amathuluzi okuqoqa idatha asetshenziswayo angahluka kusukela kusofthiwe elula yokushadi kuya kuma-algorithms okufunda omshini ayinkimbinkimbi.
Sekukonke, izindlela ezisetshenziswa ukuhlaziya ukusebenza kwephethini ye-ABCD ekuhwebeni kwe-Forex zihlukahlukene futhi zincike embuzweni othile wocwaningo. Kodwa-ke, inhloso evamile ukukhomba amaphethini kudatha yentengo engasetshenziswa ukukhiqiza ukuhweba okunenzuzo.
Ukuqonda iphethini ye-ABCD kanye nokusetshenziswa kwayo ekuhwebeni kwe-forex.
Iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe elisetshenziswa abadayisi ukuze babone ukunyakaza kwentengo okungase kube khona ezimakethe zezimali, ikakhulukazi emakethe yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe (forex). Iphethini iqanjwe ngamaphoyinti amane akha umumo wayo, amele isenzo senani lempahla ethile. Iphethini yakhiwe imilenze yentengo emibili, eyakha izingxenye ze-AB ne-CD, kanye nokuphinda kulandelelwe phakathi kwazo, okwenza ingxenye ye-BC. Abahwebi basebenzisa iphethini ukuze bahlonze izindawo ezingaba khona zokungena kanye nokuphuma kuzo zohwebo ngokusekelwe ekubeni nokwenzeka komnyakazo wentengo.
Ukukhombisa iphethini ye-ABCD, ake sicabangele isibonelo sephethini ye-bullish. Umlenze we-AB umnyakazo wokuqala wentengo ukusuka endaweni A ukuya endaweni engu-B, okuvamise ukuba yiphuzu elibalulekile eliphansi noma eliphezulu esenzweni senani. Umlenze we-BC uwukulandela emuva komlenze we-AB, ngokuvamile ukulungiswa kuka-38.2% kuya ku-61.8% womlenze we-AB. Umlenze we-CD uwukuqhutshekiselwa phambili komnyakazo wentengo yasekuqaleni, usuka ephuzwini C futhi ukhuphukele endaweni engu-D, okuvamise ukuba phezulu ngaphezu kwephuzu B. Umlenze we-CD ngokuvamile ulingana ngentengo nesikhathi kumlenze we-AB, okuyiwo kungani iphethini ivame ukubizwa ngokuthi iphethini "yegagasi elilinganayo".
Abahwebi basebenzisa iphethini ye-ABCD ngokuhlanganyela namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe, njengemigqa yethrendi, amazinga okusekela nokumelana, nezilinganiso ezihambayo, ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthi kungenzeka kube khona ukunyakaza kwentengo. Ngokuhlonza iphethini, abadayisi bangasetha amaphuzu okungena nawokuphuma ohwebo lwabo, kanye nemiyalo yokulahlekelwa kokuyeka ukuze banciphise ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona.
Omunye wemiphumela ebalulekile ekusebenzeni ukuthi abadayisi kufanele basebenzise iphethini ye-ABCD ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe, njengama-avareji ahambayo, ama-oscillator, namazinga okusekela nawokumelana. Ngokusebenzisa izinkomba eziningi, abadayisi bangandisa amathuba abo okwenza ukuhweba okunenzuzo ngenkathi benciphisa izingozi zabo.
Ngokuya ngethiyori, lolu cwaningo lwengeza endikimbeni ekhulayo yezincwadi zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kanye nokusetshenziswa kwamaphethini eshadi ekuhwebeni kwe-Forex. Ucwaningo olwengeziwe luyadingeka ukuhlola ukusebenza kwephethini ye-ABCD ezimeni ezihlukene zemakethe nezikhathi ezimisiwe. Ukwengeza, izifundo zesikhathi esizayo zingaphenya umthelela ongaba khona wemicimbi yezindaba nezinye izici zangaphandle ekuqinisekiseni kwephethini.
Sekukonke, iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi eliwusizo labathengisi abafuna ukuhlonza amasiginali wokuthenga nokuthengisa emakethe ye-Forex. Kodwa-ke, abathengisi kufanele baqaphele futhi basebenzise iphethini ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba ukuze bagweme ukwenza izinqumo zokuhweba ngokuxhamazela ngokusekelwe kuphela iphethini. Ngokuhlaziywa okucophelelayo nokuqonda kahle imakethe, iphethini ye-ABCD ingaba isengezo esibalulekile kunoma iyiphi iqoqo lomhwebi lamathuluzi okuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe.
Isiphetho.
Sengiphetha, iphethini ye-ABCD iyithuluzi elinamandla labathengisi be-forex ukuhlonza okungase kube khona ukuhlehla kwethrendi nokwenza ukuhweba okunenzuzo. Iphethini isuselwe embonweni wokuphinda kulandelelwe kanye nokuqagela kwe-Fibonacci, futhi ihlanganisa ukukhomba amaphuzu amane esenzweni senani akha umumo ohlukile. Ngokuhlaziywa ngokucophelela kwephethini, abahwebi bangathola imininingwane ngokunyakaza kwentengo okungase kube khona futhi benze izinqumo ezinolwazi mayelana nokuthi bangena nini noma baphuma nini kwezohwebo.
Ukusebenza kwephethini ye-ABCD kukhonjiswe ezifundweni eziningi nangokuhlangenwe nakho kwabahwebi abaphumelelayo. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi alikho isu lokuhweba elingenangqondo futhi kukhona njalo izinga lobungozi elihilelekile ekuhwebeni kwe-forex. Abahwebi kufanele basebenzise iphethini ye-ABCD ngokuhlanganyela nezinye izinkomba namathuluzi okuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe ukuze bathuthukise ukunemba kwabo futhi bagweme amaphutha abizayo.
Ucwaningo lwesikhathi esizayo lungagxila ekucwengisiseni ngokwengeziwe iphethini ye-ABCD kanye nokuhlola ukusetshenziswa kwayo kwezinye izimakethe zezimali ngale kwe-forex. Ukwengeza, ucwaningo olwengeziwe lungenziwa ezicini ezingokwengqondo zokuhweba nokuthi abathengisi bangaphatha kanjani imizwa yabo ukuze benze izinqumo ezingcono ngokusekelwe kuphethini ye-ABCD namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe. Sekukonke, iphethini ye-ABCD iyisengezo esibalulekile ku-toolkit yanoma yimuphi umthengisi we-forex, futhi ukuqhubeka kwayo nokucwengisiswa kwayo nokufunda kungaholela empumelelweni enkulu nakakhulu emhlabeni osheshayo wokuhweba nge-forex.
