Imaphi amapheya ohlobo lwemali ashintshashintsha kakhulu?
Imakethe yokushintshiselana ngemali yakwamanye amazwe, evame ukubizwa nge-forex, iyisizinda somhlaba wonke sokuhweba ngemali evela emazweni ahlukahlukene. Kuyisici esibalulekile sokuhweba kwe-forex, njengoba kuthonya ngokuqondile amasu okuhweba, ukulawulwa kwezinhlekelele, kanye namandla okwenza inzuzo. Ukwazi ukuthi yimaphi amapheya emali ajwayele ukuguquguquka kungasiza abahwebi benze izinqumo ezinolwazi futhi babambe amathuba okwenza inzuzo.
Yini i-volatility?
Ukuguquguquka, ngaphakathi kwemakethe ye-forex, isilinganiso sokuguquguquka kwentengo okutholwa ipheya yemali esikhathini esithile. Ibonisa izinga lokungaqiniseki noma ubungozi obuhlobene nokuhamba kwentengo kwaleyo pheya. Ngamagama alula, lapho inani lepheya lohlobo lwemali lihluka kakhulu, kulapho likhuphuka khona ukuguquguquka kwalo.
I-Volatility ivamise ukuvezwa ngokuya ngama-pips, iyunithi yokulinganisa ku-forex emele ukuguqulwa kwentengo okuncane kakhulu. Ipheya yemali eshintshashintshayo kakhulu ingase ibe nokushintshashintsha kwentengo okuphawulekayo ngesikhathi esifushane, okuholela emathubeni enzuzo angaba khona kodwa futhi nengozi ephezulu.
Amapheya ohlobo lwemali abonisa amazinga ahlukahlukene okuguquguquka ngenxa yobuningi bezinto. Esinye sezizathu eziyinhloko ukuzinza komnotho. Amapheya ohlobo lwemali abandakanya umnotho onezimo zezombusazwe ezizinzile, izinhlelo zezimali eziqinile, kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali avame ukuguquguquka kancane. Ngokuphambene, amapheya avela emazweni abhekene nezinxushunxushu zezombangazwe, ukungaqiniseki kwezomnotho, noma ukushaqeka okungazelelwe kungaba nokuguquguquka okukhulu.
Imizwa yemakethe, ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho, imicimbi yezwe, nezinqubomgomo zebhange eliphakathi nazo zidlala indima ebalulekile ekuthonyeni ukuntengantenga. Abahwebi nabatshalizimali basabela kulezi zici, okubangela ukushintshashintsha kwentengo yemali.
Kunezici ezimbalwa ezinomthelela ekuguquguqukeni kokubhanqwa kohlobo lwemali, okuhlanganisa:
Izinkomba zomnotho: Imibiko efana ne-GDP, idatha yokuqashwa, nezibalo zokwehla kwamandla emali zingadala umnyakazo wemakethe.
Imicimbi yezepolitiki: Ukungazinzi kwezepolitiki, ukhetho, nezingxabano kungadala ukungaqiniseki emakethe ye-forex.
Izinqubomgomo zeBhange Elikhulu: Izinqumo zezinga lenzalo nezimemezelo zenqubomgomo yezimali zingaba nomthelela omkhulu kumanani emali.
Ukuzizwa kwemakethe: Abaqapheli nabahwebi abasabela ezindabeni nasemicimbini bangaqinisa ukuguquguquka kwentengo.
zezimali: Amapheya emali ewuketshezi amancane angashintshashintsha kakhulu ngenxa yabahlanganyeli abambalwa bemakethe.
Kungani ukuguquguquka kubalulekile ekuhwebeni kwe-forex?
I-Volatility isici esiyisisekelo sokuhweba kwe-forex esithonya ngokuqondile ulwazi nezinqumo zabahwebi. Ukuqonda umthelela wayo kubalulekile kulabo abafuna impumelelo emakethe.
Ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kunikeza ithuba lamathuba enzuzo abalulekile. Uma izintengo zemali zishintsha ngokushesha, abathengisi bangakwazi ukwenza imali ngalokhu kunyakaza futhi bavikele izinzuzo ezinkulu ngesikhathi esifushane. Kodwa-ke, futhi yethula ingozi eyengeziwe, njengoba ukuguquguquka kwentengo okubukhali kungaholela ekulahlekelweni okukhulu uma kungaphathwa ngendlela efanele.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuntengantenga okuphansi kusho ukunyakaza kwentengo okuzinzile, okungase kunikeze umuzwa wokuphepha kodwa ngokuvamile kube namandla alinganiselwe enzuzo. Abahwebi bangase bakuthole kuyinselele ukuhlonza amathuba okuhweba ngezikhathi zokuntengantenga okuphansi.
Ukuguquguquka kuthinta ngokuqondile amasu okuhweba nezindlela zokulawula ubungozi. Ezimeni zokuntengantenga okuphezulu, abahwebi bangase bakhethe amasu esikhathi esifushane njenge-scalping noma ukuhweba ngosuku ukuze bathole inzuzo ngokuguquguquka kwentengo okusheshayo. Ngokuphambene, ezimeni eziguqukayo eziphansi, amasu esikhathi eside njengokushwibeka noma ukuhweba okuthrendayo angase afaneleke kakhulu.
Imaphi amapheya ohlobo lwemali ashintshashintsha kakhulu?
Ngaphambi kokukhomba amapheya emali ashintshashintsha kakhulu, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuhlukaniswa kwezinhlobo zemali emakethe ye-forex. Amapheya ohlobo lwemali ahlukaniswe ngamaqembu amathathu amakhulu: amakhulu, amancane, nangaphandle.
Amapheya Amakhulu Emali: Lokhu kufaka phakathi amapheya adayiswa kakhulu, njenge-EUR/USD, USD/JPY, kanye ne-GBP/USD. Zibandakanya izimali ezivela kwezomnotho ezinkulu emhlabeni futhi zivame ukuba nemali ephezulu kanye nokusabalala okuphansi.
Amabhanki amancane wezezimali: Amapheya amancane awafaki idola laseMelika kodwa afaka ezinye izinhlobo zemali ezinkulu. Izibonelo zifaka i-EUR/GBP ne-AUD/JPY. Abonakala ngokungabi namali ephansi futhi angase abonise amazinga ahlukahlukene okuguquguquka.
Amapheya emali angaphandle: Amapheya angavamile ahlanganisa uhlobo lwemali olulodwa olukhulu kanye nolunye oluvela emakethe encane noma esafufusa. Izibonelo zifaka i-USD/TRY (i-US Dollar/Turkish Lira) noma i-EUR/TRY. Amapheya angavamile avame ukuba ne-liquidity ephansi kanye nokusabalala okuphezulu, okuwenza aguquguquke kakhulu.
Ukukhomba amapheya emali ashintshashintsha kakhulu kudinga ukuhlaziya idatha yomlando wamanani namathrendi. Ukuguquguquka komlando kulinganisa ukuthi intengo yepheya yemali iye yaguquguquka kangakanani esikhathini esidlule. Abahwebi bavamise ukusebenzisa izinkomba ezifana ne-Average True Range (ATR) ukukala ukuguquguquka komlando.
Nakuba ukupheya kohlobo lwemali kungahluka ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, amanye amapheya aqashelwa ngokuqhubekayo ngenxa yokuguquguquka kwawo okuphezulu. Ngokwesibonelo:
I-EUR/JPY (I-Euro/Yen YaseJapane): Lo mbhangqwana waziwa ngokushintsha kwentengo okuvamile nokubalulekile, okuvame ukuthonywa izehlakalo zezomnotho e-Europe nase-Japan.
I-GBP/JPY (I-British Pound/Yen YaseJapane): I-GBP/JPY yaziwa ngokuntengantenga kwayo, okuqhutshwa ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho evela e-UK nase-Japan.
I-USD/TRY (i-US Dollar/Turkish Lira): Amapheya angavamile njenge-USD/TRY avame ukuguquguquka kakhulu ngenxa yezinto ezihlukile zezomnotho nezombangazwe ezithinta i-Turkish Lira.
I-AUD/JPY (I-Australian Dollar/Yen YaseJapane): Ukuntengantenga kwalokhu kubhangqa kuthonywa izici ezithinta umnotho wase-Australia, njengempahla nezilinganiso zenzalo, kuhlanganiswe nemicimbi yase-Japan.
Izinto ezithonya ukuguquguquka kwe-Currency Pair
Ukuguquka kwesimo sohlobo lwemali kuyisimo esinezimo eziningi, esithonywa izinhlobonhlobo zezinto okufanele abahwebi bazicabangele. Lezi zici zingahlukaniswa kabanzi ngamaqembu amathathu amakhulu:
Izici zomnotho: Izimo zomnotho nezinkomba zezwe zidlala indima ebalulekile ekunqumeni ukuguquguquka kokubhanqwa kohlobo lwemali. Izinto ezifana nokukhula kwe-GDP, amanani okuqashwa, ukwehla kwamandla emali, nezinga lenzalo konke kungaba nomthelela kumandla ohlobo lwemali futhi kamuva kube nomthelela ekuguquguqukeni. Ngokwesibonelo, umnotho oqinile ngokuvamile uholela emalini eqinile, kuyilapho ukungaqiniseki kwezomnotho kungase kubangele ukuntengantenga okukhulu.
Izici ze-geopolitical: Imicimbi ye-Geopolitical kanye nentuthuko ingathumela ama-shockwaves ngemakethe ye-forex. Ukungazinzi kwezombusazwe, ukhetho, izingxabano zezohwebo, kanye nezingxabano konke kungadala ukungaqiniseki nokushintshashintsha. Abahwebi kufanele bahlale benolwazi mayelana nentuthuko yezwe yezwe engase ibe nomthelela emananini emali.
Izici ezihlobene nemakethe: Umuzwa wemakethe, imisebenzi eqagelayo, kanye ne-liquidity kungaqinisa noma kwehlise ukuntengantenga kokubhanqwa kohlobo lwemali. Izikhundla ezinkulu zokuqagela noma izinguquko ezingazelelwe emizweni yemakethe zingadala ukunyakaza kwentengo okubukhali. Ukwengeza, amapheya ohlobo lwemali oluwuketshezi oluncane ajwayele ukuguquguquka kakhulu njengoba esengozini yokushintshashintsha kwentengo enkulu ngenxa yabahlanganyeli bemakethe abambalwa.
Imicimbi yezindaba nezinkomba zezomnotho ziyizici ezibalulekile zokuntengantenga emakethe ye-forex. Abahwebi baqapha ngokucophelela ukukhishwa kwezomnotho okuhleliwe okufana nemibiko yokuntuleka kwemisebenzi, ukukhula kwe-GDP, nezinqumo zezinga lenzalo. Izehlakalo ezingalindelekile, njengezenzakalo zezombusazwe ezingalindelekile noma izinhlekelele zemvelo, nazo zingaba nomthelela osheshayo emananini emali.
Isibonelo, uma ibhange elikhulu limemezela ushintsho lwezinga lenzalo, lingaholela ekuphenduleni okusheshayo kwemakethe. Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho okuhle kungaqinisa imali, kuyilapho izindaba ezingezinhle zingayenza buthaka. Abahwebi bavame ukusebenzisa amakhalenda ezomnotho ukulandelela lezi zenzakalo futhi balungiselele ukuntengantenga okungenzeka.
Amasu okuhweba ama-Currency Pairs aguquguqukayo
Ukuguquguquka kwamapheya emali kunikeza abadayisi amathuba kanye nezinselelo. Ngokuqonda indlela yokusebenzisa lokhu kuguquguquka, abahwebi bangakwazi ukuzuza inzuzo enkulu. Amapheya emali aguquguqukayo kakhulu ngokuvamile aveza amathuba okunyakaza kwamanani okusheshayo namakhulu, okungahumushela ekuhwebeni okunenzuzo.
Scalping: Ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo, i-scalping isu elidumile. Abahwebi bahlose ukuzuza ngokuguquguquka kwamanani esikhathi esifushane ngokwenza uhwebo oluningi olusheshayo. Leli su lidinga ukuthathwa kwezinqumo ngokushesha kanye nekhono lokusabela ezinguqukweni zentengo ezisheshayo.
Ukuhweba ngosuku: Abadayisi bosuku bagxile ekuvuleni nasekuvaleni izikhundla phakathi nosuku olufanayo lokuhweba. Bathembela ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe kanye nedatha yesikhathi sangempela ukuze bakhombe izindawo zokungena nokuphuma. Amapheya aguquguqukayo ahlinzeka ngamathuba amaningi okuhweba nge-intraday.
Swing ukuhweba: Abathengisi be-Swing bafuna ukwenza imali ngokushintsha kwentengo yesikhathi esimaphakathi. Bahlaziya amathrendi futhi bahlose ukungena kwezohwebo ekuqaleni kwethrendi futhi baphume njengoba ifinyelela umvuthwandaba. Amapheya aguquguqukayo angakwazi ukukhiqiza amanani ashintshashintshayo afanele ukuhweba ngokushintshashintsha.
Ukuphatha ubungozi kubaluleke kakhulu lapho uhweba ngamapheya emali eshintshashintshayo:
Ama-oda wokuyeka ukulahleka: Setha ama-stop-loss orders ukuze ubeke umkhawulo ekulahlekeni okungaba khona. Ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo, cabangela amazinga abanzi okulahlekelwa kokuma ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nokuguquguquka kwentengo.
Usayizi wesikhundla: Lungisa usayizi wezikhundla zakho ukuze ubhekane nokunyuka kokushintshashintsha. Izikhundla ezincane zingasiza ukunciphisa ubungozi.
Shintsha: Gwema ukugxilisa ukuthengisa kwakho ekubhanqweni kohlobo lwemali olulodwa olushintshashintshayo. Ukwehlukanisa iphothifoliyo yakho kumapheya ahlukene kungasakaza ubungozi.
Hlala unolwazi: Bheka amakhalenda ezomnotho kanye nokuphakelayo kwezindaba ngemicimbi engase ihambise izimakethe. Zilungiselele ukulungisa isu lakho lokuhweba ngokufanele.
Isiphi isikhathi i-EUR/USD eguquguquka kakhulu?
Imakethe ye-forex isebenza amahora angu-24 ngosuku, izinsuku ezinhlanu ngesonto, futhi ihlukaniswe ngamaseshini amaningi emakethe amakhulu, ngayinye inezici zayo kanye namazinga omsebenzi. Ukuqonda lezi zikhathi zemakethe kubalulekile ekulinganiseni lapho ipheya ye-EUR/USD iguquguquka kakhulu.
- Iseshini Asian: Le seshini ingeyokuqala ukuvulwa futhi ibonakala ngokushintshashintsha okuphansi uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye. Kuhlanganisa izikhungo ezinkulu zezezimali njengeTokyo neSingapore.
- Iseshini yaseYurophu: Iseshini yaseYurophu, iLondon njengesizinda sayo, yilapho umnotho kanye nokuntengantenga kuqala ukukhula. Le seshini ivamise ukufakazela ukunyakaza kwentengo okubalulekile, ikakhulukazi uma kukhishwa idatha ebalulekile yezomnotho.
- Iseshini yaseNyakatho Melika: Iseshini yaseNew York idlulela ekupheleni kweseshini yaseYurophu, okuholela ekwandeni kokushintshashintsha. Izindaba nemicimbi e-United States ingaba nomthelela omkhulu ezintengo zemali.
Kubathengisi abanentshisekelo kubhangqa le-EUR/USD, izikhathi ezikahle zokubona ukuntengantenga okukhulayo namathuba okuhweba kusenkathini yokugqagqana kwezikhathi zase-Europe naseNyakatho Melika. Lesi sikhathi, cishe kusukela ngo-8:00 AM kuya ku-12:00 PM (EST), sinikeza imali ephezulu yezimali kanye nokuguquguquka okukhulu kwentengo, okusenza kube isikhathi esithandwayo kubahwebi abaningi.
Isiphetho
Emhlabeni wokuhweba kwe-forex, ulwazi nokuzivumelanisa nezimo kubaluleke kakhulu. Ukuqonda ukupheya kohlobo lwemali akuyona nje inketho; kuyisidingo. Abahwebi ababamba ukushintshashintsha kokushintshashintsha bangenza izinqumo ezinolwazi, bavumelanise amasu abo nezimo ezihlukene zemakethe, futhi babambe amathuba okwenza inzuzo kuyilapho belawula ubungozi ngempumelelo. Njengoba uqala uhambo lwakho lwe-forex yokuhweba, khumbula ukuthi ukuguquguquka kuyinkemba esika nhlangothi zombili-uma isetshenziswa ngolwazi nokuqapha, ingaba ithuluzi elinamandla ku-arsenal yakho.
