Kuyini ukuhweba isikhathi eside ku-forex?

Emhlabeni osheshayo noshintshayo wohwebo lwe-forex, kukhona amasu anhlobonhlobo okuzuza umnyakazo wemakethe. Enye indlela enjalo ukuhweba isikhathi eside, indlela egcizelela ukubekezela kanye nombono obanzi mayelana nezitayela zamanani.

Ukuhweba isikhathi eside ku-forex kubhekisela esu lapho abahwebi bebamba izikhundla isikhathi eside, ngokuvamile kusukela emavikini kuya ezinyangeni, ukuze bazuze amathrendi abalulekile emakethe. Ngokungafani nokuhweba kwesikhathi esifushane, okugxile enzuzweni esheshayo ngaphakathi kokuguquguquka okuncane kwamanani, ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kuhlose ukuthwebula ukunyakaza kwamanani amakhulu ngezikhathi ezinwetshiwe.

Ukuqonda ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kubalulekile kubatshalizimali be-forex abafuna inzuzo esimeme. Ngokwamukela umbono wesikhathi eside, abahwebi bangagwema umsindo nokuguquguquka okuhambisana nokuguquguquka kwesikhashana. Esikhundleni salokho, bagxile ekubambeni izitayela ezinkulu eziqhutshwa yizisekelo zezomnotho, izehlakalo ze-geopolitical, nezinye izici zomnotho omkhulu. Le ndlela ivumela ukuhlaziywa okubanzi kokuguquguquka kwemakethe futhi inciphisa umthelela womsindo wemakethe wesikhashana ezinqumweni zokutshala izimali.

Umqondo wokuhweba isikhathi eside ku forex

Ukuhweba isikhathi eside emakethe ye-forex kuhilela ukubamba izikhundla isikhathi eside, ngokuvamile kusukela emavikini kuya ezinyangeni, ukuze kuzuze izitayela zemakethe ezibalulekile. Ngokungafani nezitayela zokuhweba zesikhathi esifushane ezifana nokuhweba kosuku noma ukuhweba ngokushwiba, okugxile ekusebenziseni uguquko lwentengo yesikhashana, ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kugcizelela umbono obanzi mayelana nokunyakaza kwentengo kanye nezisekelo zezomnotho.

Abadayisi besikhathi eside bahlaziya futhi bahlonze ukuthambekela okukhulu ngokwenza ukuhlaziya okuphelele okuyisisekelo nobuchwepheshe. Bafuna ukuhlonza amapheya emali anamandla okukhula kwesikhathi eside noma ukwehla, besekela izinqumo zabo ezintweni ezifana nezinkomba zomnotho, izinqubomgomo zebhange eliphakathi, imicimbi yezwe, kanye nemijikelezo yemakethe yesikhathi eside.

Uma kuqhathaniswa nokuhweba kwansuku zonke nokuhweba ngokushwiba, ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kunikeza izinzuzo ezihlukile. Abadayisi bosuku bahlose ukuzuza ngokuguquguquka kwentengo yesikhashana phakathi nosuku olulodwa lokuhweba, kuyilapho abadayisi be-swing bebamba izikhundla izinsuku ezimbalwa kuya emavikini ambalwa. Ngokuphambene, abahwebi besikhathi eside bayazuza ezindlekweni ezincishisiwe zokuthengiselana, njengoba bengena futhi bephuma ekuhwebeni kancane kancane. Baphinde bathole amazinga engcindezi aphansi ahambisana nokuqapha njalo imakethe, okuyenza ibe inketho ekhangayo kubatshalizimali ngendlela enesineke kanye namasu.

Izinto ezinomthelela ekufanelekeni kohwebo lwesikhathi eside:

Kunezici eziningana ezithonya ukufaneleka kokuhweba kwesikhathi eside ku-forex. Okokuqala, kudinga ukuthi umhwebi abe nombono wesikhathi eside kanye nekhono lokumelana nokuguquguquka kwentengo yesikhashana ngaphandle kokunqotshwa ukwenza izinqumo ezingokomzwelo. Ukwengeza, ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kufaneleka kakhulu kubatshalizimali abanezisekelo ezinkulu zemali, njengoba kungase kudinge izidingo ezinkulu zemajini kanye nokubekezelela ukwehla okungenzeka.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukutholakala kwamathuluzi okuhlaziya ayisisekelo nezobuchwepheshe athembekile, ukufinyelela kudatha yomlando, nokuqonda okuqinile kwezinkomba zomnotho kubalulekile ekuhwebeni okuyimpumelelo kwesikhathi eside. Abahwebi kufanele futhi bacabangele ukubekezelela kwabo ubungozi kanye nokuzibophezela kwesikhathi, njengoba ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kudinga isineke nokuziphatha ukuze kugwenywe izitayela zemakethe ezinde.

Ngokuqonda umqondo wokuhweba kwesikhathi eside ku-forex, abathengisi bangakwazi ukuzibeka ngendlela ehlelekile ukuze babambe ukunyakaza okubalulekile kwemakethe esikhathini eside. Izigaba ezilandelayo zizodingida amasu athile, izinzuzo, kanye nezingozi ezihlobene nokuhweba kwesikhathi eside, okuhlinzeka ngemininingwane ebalulekile kubatshalizimali abafuna inzuzo esimeme.

Amasu okuhweba isikhathi eside ku forex

Ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo kanye neqhaza lakho ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi eside:

Ukuhlaziya okuyisisekelo kudlala indima ebalulekile ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi eside, ukusiza abathengisi ukuthi bakhombe amapheya emali ngokukhula okuqinile noma ukwehla kwamandla esikhathi eside. Ngokuhlaziya izinkomba zezomnotho, imicimbi yezwe, nezinqubomgomo zebhange eliphakathi, abahwebi bathola ukuqonda ezintweni eziyisisekelo eziqhuba amathrendi esikhathi eside wohlobo lwemali. Lokhu kuhlaziya kuhilela ukuhlola idatha yomnotho omkhulu, njengokukhula kwe-GDP, amazinga okwehla kwamandla emali, izibalo zokuqashwa, nezilinganiso zokuhweba, ukuze kuqondwe impilo yonke namathemba omnotho wezwe. Ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo kunikeza abahwebi isisekelo esiqinile sokwenza izinqumo zokuhweba zesikhathi eside ezinolwazi.

Izindlela zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe zokuhlonza amathrendi esikhathi eside:

Ngaphezu kokuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo, abahwebi besikhathi eside basebenzisa izindlela ezahlukahlukene zokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe ukuze babone futhi baqinisekise izitayela zesikhathi eside. Izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, amaphethini eshadi, namathuluzi okuhlaziya izitayela kusiza abathengisi babone amaphuzu okungaba khona wokungena nokuphuma ohwebo lwabo. Izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezidumile ezifana nezilinganiso ezihambayo, imigqa yethrendi, kanye nenkomba yamandla ahlobene (RSI) inganikeza imininingwane yamandla nokusimama kwethrendi yesikhathi eside. Ukuhlanganisa ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo nobuchwepheshe kuvumela abahwebi ukuthi benze izibikezelo ezinembe kakhudlwana futhi bakhulise amathuba abo okuphumelela ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi eside.

Izindlela zokulawula ubungozi eziqondene nokuhweba kwesikhathi eside:

Ukulawula ubungozi kubalulekile ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi eside ukuze kuvikelwe imali futhi kugcinwe inzuzo esimeme. Abahwebi basebenzisa amasu anjengokusetha ama-stop-loss orders, ukusebenzisa ama-trailing stop, kanye nokwehlukanisa izikhundla zabo. Ama-Stop-loss orders abalulekile ukuze kukhawulwe ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona uma imakethe ihamba ngokuphambene nokulindelwe ngumhwebi. Izitobhi ezilandelanayo ziyalungiswa njengoba ukuhweba kungena esivunweni somthengisi, okubavumela ukuthi bathole inzuzo ngenkathi besanikeza igumbi lokuhweba ukuphefumula. Ukushintshashintsha kwezikhundla kuzo zonke izinhlobo zemali ehlukene kanye nezigaba zempahla kusiza ukunciphisa umthelela wokunyakaza kwezimakethe okungalungile kuwo wonke amaphothifoliyo.

Ukuhlukahluka nokuphathwa kwephothifoliyo:

Abahwebi besikhathi eside bayakuqonda ukubaluleka kokuhlukahluka kanye nokuphathwa kwephothifoliyo ngempumelelo. Ukuhlukanisa phakathi kwamapheya emali, izifunda zendawo, nezigaba zempahla kusiza ukusabalalisa ubungozi futhi kunciphisa ukuchayeka ekuguquguqukeni kohlobo lwemali ngayinye. Abahwebi babala izimali zabo ngokucophelela, baqaphe ukusebenza kwephothifoliyo, futhi benze izinguquko lapho kudingeka. Ukubuyekezwa okuvamile kokusebenza kwephothifoliyo nokuhlaziywa okuqhubekayo kwezimo zemakethe kwenza abahwebi bakwazi ukuthuthukisa amasu abo okuhweba esikhathi eside.

Ngokusebenzisa inhlanganisela yokuhlaziya okuyisisekelo nokwezobuchwepheshe, ukusebenzisa amasu okulawula ubungozi asebenzayo, nokuzijwayeza ukuhlukahluka kanye nokuphathwa kwephothifoliyo, abahwebi besikhathi eside bangazibekela impumelelo emakethe ye-forex.

Izinzuzo zokuhweba isikhathi eside ku forex

Enye yezinzuzo eziyinhloko zokuhweba isikhathi eside ku-forex amandla okuthola inzuzo ephezulu. Ngokubamba izikhundla isikhathi eside, abathengisi bangakwazi ukuthwebula amathrendi abalulekile emakethe futhi bawagibele ukuze bathole izinzuzo ezinkulu. Abahwebi besikhathi eside bahlose ukuhlonza izinhlobo zemali ezibonisa ukukhula okucacile kwesikhathi eside noma ukwehla kwamaphethini, okubavumela ukuba benze imali ngokunyakaza kwamanani amakhulu. Le ndlela yesiguli yenza abahwebi bagweme ukunyakaziswa umsindo wemakethe wesikhashana futhi bagxile ekuguquguqukeni kwezimakethe zesikhathi eside, okungase kuholele ekuhwebeni okunenzuzo eyengeziwe.

Ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kunikeza inzuzo yezindleko zokwenziwa ezincishisiwe. Ngokungafani nezitayela zokuhweba zesikhashana ezibandakanya ukuthenga nokuthengisa njalo, abadayisi besikhathi eside bangena futhi baphume ekuhwebeni kancane kancane. Lokhu kuhumushela ekwehliseni izindleko zokusebenza, njengoba zithola izindleko ezimbalwa zokusabalala nekhomishini. Ukwengeza, abadayisi besikhathi eside bavame ukuzwa ukucindezeleka ngokomzwelo okuncishisiwe uma kuqhathaniswa nabalingani babo besikhathi esifushane. Abavezwa ekuguquguqukeni kwentengo okusheshayo kanye nokuqapha okuqhubekayo okungaholela ekukhathazekeni okuphakeme nasekuthathweni kwezinqumo ezingokomzwelo.

Abahwebi besikhathi eside bangazuza kumehluko wesilinganiso senzalo phakathi kwezinhlobo zemali. Ngokuhweba ngezinhlobo zemali ezinezilinganiso zenzalo ephezulu uma kuqhathaniswa nalezo ezinamanani aphansi, abahwebi bangase bazuze inzuzo ngokuhwebelana. Uhwebo lwe-Carry luhlanganisa ukuboleka ngemali enenzalo ephansi kanye nokutshala imali emalini enenzalo ephezulu, kusizakala ngokwehlukana kwesilinganiso senzalo. Leli su livumela abahwebi ukuthi bathole imali engenayo ngezinga lenzalo elisabalele phakathi nesikhathi sohwebo.

Abadayisi besikhathi eside banethuba lokuvumelanisa izikhundla zabo nemikhuba ye-macroeconomic kanye nezici ze-geopolitical. Ngokuhlaziya izinkomba zezomnotho, izinqubomgomo zebhange eliphakathi, kanye nemicimbi ye-geopolitical, abathengisi bangakwazi ukuzibeka emalini okungenzeka bazuze ekukhuleni komnotho wesikhathi eside noma ukwehla. Ukuqonda lezi zici ezibanzi kwenza abahwebi bakwazi ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi ngokusekelwe ekuhlaziyeni okuyisisekelo futhi bavumelanise ukuhweba kwabo nokuguquguquka kwemakethe okuyisisekelo.

Izingozi nezinselele ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi eside

Ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe kanye nokuguquguquka kwentengo okungalindelekile:

Ukuhweba isikhathi eside ku-forex akukho ngaphandle kwezingozi zayo. Ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe kanye nokuguquguquka kwentengo okungalindelekile kungase kubangele izinselele kubahwebi besikhathi eside. Imakethe ye-forex ithonywa yizici ezahlukahlukene njengokukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho, imicimbi yezwe, kanye nomuzwa wemakethe, okungaholela ekuguqukeni kwentengo okubalulekile. Abahwebi kufanele balungele ukumelana nokunyakaza kwamanani esikhashana futhi bahlale bezinikele ekuhlaziyeni kwabo isikhathi eside, njengoba umsindo wemakethe wesikhathi esifushane ungavivinya isineke nokuqiniseka kwabo.

Ukuchayeka ezingozini zezomnotho, ezepolitiki, nezokulawula:

Abahwebi besikhathi eside bachayeka ezingozini zezomnotho, zezombusazwe, nezokulawula ezitholakala emakethe ye-forex. Ukwehla komnotho, izinguquko zenqubomgomo, nokungezwani kwezepolitiki kungaba nomthelela omkhulu emananini emali namathrendi esikhathi eside. Abahwebi kudingeka bahlale benolwazi ngentuthuko yezomnotho emhlabeni wonke kanye nezenzakalo zezombusazwe ezingase zithinte amazwe abahwebayo. Ukwengeza, izinguquko ezimisweni zokulawula noma ukungenelela kwamabhange amakhulu kungaletha izinselele ezingalindelekile futhi kuthinte inzuzo yohwebo lwesikhathi eside.

Isici esingokwengqondo: isineke, isiyalo, nokuphatha okulindelweyo:

Ukuhweba okuphumelelayo kwesikhathi eside kudinga izimfanelo eziqinile zengqondo. Ukubekezela kuyisihluthulelo, njengoba abahwebi kufanele balinde izikhundla zabo ukuthi zenzeke futhi bangaphazanyiswa ukushintshashintsha kwemakethe yesikhashana. Isiyalo ekubambeleleni ohlelweni lwabo lokuhweba kanye namasu okulawula ubungozi kubalulekile empumelelweni yesikhathi eside. Ukuphatha okulindelekile nakho kubalulekile, njengoba imakethe ye-forex ingase ingahlali ngendlela eqondile, futhi kuzoba nezikhathi zokudonsela phansi noma ukunyakaza okusemaceleni okudinga umqondo oqinile.

Ukuzinikela kwesikhathi eside kanye nezindleko zamathuba angenzeka:

Ukuhweba isikhathi eside kudinga ukuzibophezela kwesikhathi esibalulekile. Abahwebi kudingeka baqaphe izikhundla zabo ngezikhathi ezithile, bahlale benolwazi ngentuthuko yemakethe, futhi benze izinguquko lapho kudingeka. Leli zinga lokubandakanyeka lingase lingafaneleki kubo bonke abantu, njengoba lingase libe nomthelela kwezinye izici zempilo futhi lingenise izindleko zamathuba. Abahwebi kufanele bacabangele ngokucophelela izimo zabo siqu kanye nezibopho zabo ngaphambi kokuqala amasu okuhweba esikhathi eside.

Izibonelo zezifundo kanye nezibonelo zomhlaba wangempela

Kunezindaba eziningi zempumelelo phakathi kwabahwebi besikhathi eside be-forex, ezigqamisa imivuzo engaba khona yale ndlela yokuhweba. Ngokwesibonelo, uWarren Buffett, omunye wabatshalizimali abadume kakhulu emhlabeni, wasebenzisa umbono wesikhathi eside lapho ehweba ngezimali, ehlose ukuzuza ngemikhuba yomnotho omkhulu nokuhlaziya okuyisisekelo. Abanye abadayisi abaphumelelayo besikhathi eside, njengoGeorge Soros noPaul Tudor Jones, nabo baye babonisa ukuphumelela kwamasu abo esikhathini eside. Lezi zindaba zempumelelo zisebenza njengesikhuthazo futhi zinikeza imininingwane ngezinzuzo zohwebo lwesikhathi eside uma lwenziwa ngekhono nokuziphatha.

Ukuhlaziya amasu okuhweba esikhathi eside anganikeza imininingwane ebalulekile ekusebenzeni kwawo kanye nemiphumela. Isibonelo, amasu alandelayo, abandakanya ukuhlonza nokugibela amathrendi emakethe yesikhathi eside, afakazele impumelelo kubadayisi abaningi besikhathi eside. Amasu okuphuma, lapho abahwebi bengena ezikhundleni lapho amanani edlula amazinga ayisihluthulelo okusekelwa noma ukumelana, nawo aveze imiphumela emihle. Ngokuhlola la masu kanye nemiphumela yawo, abahwebi bangathola ukuqonda okujulile kwezimiso ezisekela ukuhweba okuphumelelayo kwesikhathi eside.

Ukuhlola amathrendi emakethe edlule nemicimbi kunganikeza izifundo ezibalulekile kubahwebi besikhathi eside. Iziqephu zomlando, ezifana nenkinga yezezimali yomhlaba wonke yango-2008 noma inkinga yezikweletu zase-Europe, zinikeza imininingwane yokuthi amathrendi esikhathi eside angabonakala kanjani kanye nomthelela wezinto zomnotho nezepolitiki emananini emali. Ngokufunda le micimbi, abathengisi bangathuthukisa ikhono labo lokulindela nokuzulazula ngentuthuko yemakethe yesikhathi esizayo. Ukwengeza, ukuhlaziya imiphumela yezinqubomgomo zebhange eliphakathi, izinguquko zesilinganiso senzalo, kanye nemicimbi ye-geopolitical ezimakethe zemali kungazisa ngokuqhubekayo amasu okuhweba esikhathi eside.

Isiphetho

Sengiphetha, ukuhweba isikhathi eside ku-forex kunikeza ithuba eliphoqayo kubatshalizimali abazimisele ukwamukela izici nezinselelo zakho eziyingqayizivele. Ngokuqonda amasu, ubungozi, kanye nezifundo ezitholwe kumathrendi emakethe edlule, abathengisi bangathuthukisa amathuba abo okuphumelela. Sikhuthaza abafundi ukuthi bahlole kabanzi futhi basebenzise amasu okuhweba esikhathi eside, becabangela imigomo yabo ngabanye, ukubekezelela ubungozi, nokuzinikela ekuhlaziyeni okuqhubekayo kwezimakethe.

Ngokwamukela umbono wesikhathi eside, abatshalizimali be-forex bangazulazula endaweni eguquguqukayo yemakethe yemali ngokuzethemba okukhulu futhi bakwazi ukufeza izinjongo zabo zokutshala imali.